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February 13-14 Potential Snowstorm II


earthlight

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Hopefully we have a strong enough kicker to nudge the track east. A track almost due north from the Outer Banks to just east of Cape May could be problematic for the city/coast for a time. This can head north for a time but not that far north. We need the northern stream to come in and give it a bit of a push. The NAM is negative tilt just about by hr 63 and is due east of Wallops Island.

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This run is going to crash the board...CCB inbound at 69 hours and tons of precipitation. Will be borderline from NYC south and east.

Looks like the push east begins just in time-the isobars are bending east and the trough is beginning to pull east. SE NJ though might be rain this run. But wow, what a crushing for Philly/DC so far by Thursday morning.

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The vort max is going to pass just inland. 12z had it offshore. This had no choice but to come west given H5.

Yes but the kicker still forces it more east than on the Euro. It doesn't matter that it is west of it's 12z it matters that the kicker is impacting the track noticeably more than on the Euro.

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