IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 so how much snow actually falles on Saturday/Sunday? It was already posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 There's still probably a very low chance of a phase for the weekend, but it'll be interesting to see if we see any big changes when all the players are on the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Shades of what this weekend could have been. The southern stream energy is being forced south. Just a matter now whether or not we can get some well timed phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 so how much snow actually falles on Saturday/Sunday? GFS says an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 12Z GFS @135: The Southern vort is slowing down and consolidating over Texas. The Northern Vort is still at the Upper Midwest and they are parallel to each other, but the Northern vort isn't really dropping down towards the Southern vort yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 There's still probably a very low chance of a phase for the weekend, but it'll be interesting to see if we see any big changes when all the players are on the field. Yea its so close now... I would like to see more of the SERFs hinting at that in the 15z run...i think the small piece of energy that exits the SE coast @ 30 hours holds the key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Surface low developing over the northern gulf. High pressure parked over the eastern seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 @HR 144: The Northern Stream is actually digging further south this time around Vs. The 00Z, when that run had the Northern vort sliding east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 We need the southern stream to slow down even more. Another northern stream vort is dropping down at 147. We need that to phase in as well to avoid it acting like a kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 so how much snow actually falles on Saturday/Sunday? lol - anybody who tries to answer that question now is just taking a wild guess the reason I am saying that is if you went by the GFS at 75 hours for the 2/3 event you would have gotten nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So many pieces of energy to deal with. The models are really going to struggle with what piece to focus on as the main players. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 12Z GFS @135: The Southern vort is slowing down and consolidating over Texas. The Northern Vort is still at the Upper Midwest and they are parallel to each other, but the Northern vort isn't really dropping down towards the Southern vort yet. There's no support from the PNA to force the northern S/W to dig. That's what's also killing this threat upcoming for the weekend. It's a flat, progressive and chaotic pattern where nothing can get its act together, and the Atlantic isn't helping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Yea its so close now... I would like to see more of the SERFs hinting at that in the 15z run...i think the small piece of energy that exits the SE coast @ 30 hours holds the key A last second partial phase may occur as it begins to pass to the NE, giving us some enhanced heavier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hr 156 low over northern FL. Heights rising along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Slow crawler incoming up the coast. Looks great for the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Getting it's act together now at hr 162. Looks like a big hit incoming from DC to Boston. The 500mb jet is strengthening in classic fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Ill tell you this weekend still isnt over as far as the final outcome. We may not even be too close to the final outcome yet, 2/3 should've shown a good amount of people that nothing is set in stone until nowcasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Low over eastern NC, snow up to about Philly hour 165. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Getting it's act together now at hr 162. Looks like a big hit incoming from DC to Boston. The 500mb jet is strengthening in classic fashion. We also saw this with this weekends threat yank, DONT RIP ME APART im just saying but you are correct almost a classic big hit from DC-BOSTON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Can we somehow keep the proper storms in their proper threads? This thread is becoming confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Getting it's act together now at hr 162. Looks like a big hit incoming from DC to Boston. The 500mb jet is strengthening in classic fashion. isn't this the same type of storm it was showing this weekend?? Just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Mega hit DC to Philly, the confluence to the north is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The low is coming up the coast at 165 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Low over eastern NC, snow up to about Philly hour 165.sounds familiar.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 isn't this the same type of storm it was showing this weekend?? Just curiousprecisely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Heavy snow hour 171, sub 1000mb low off the DE coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Literally crawls up the coast thanks to the high to the north. Sub 996mb off the NJ coast at 174. CCB developing overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Big hit incoming @ 174 but it looks like it is having problems @ H5 so just take it as one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hour 180 sub 992mb low right over the benchmark. Tracks from the Outer Banks to the benchmark. Awesome track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hour 180 sub 992mb low right over the benchmark. Tracks from the Outer Banks to the benchmark. Awesome track.we just had the weekend sysyem progged to do exactly the same thing....I'm not on board yet until I see a lot more support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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