IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Day an night with the southern stream vort compared to 06z. It's much more intense and amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Boy that thing is just sitting over Texas saying, "please Mr. Northern stream, just give me one little piece and we'll have a party". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Boy that thing is just sitting over Texas saying, "please Mr. Northern stream, just give me one little piece and we'll have a party". Want to interject whats been the trend this year with northerm stream S/W, to actually be more energetic and stronger than originally progged. Not all situations are the same but something to consider nonetheless yank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Want to interject whats been the trend this year with northerm stream S/W, to actually be more energetic and stronger than originally progged. Not all situations are the same but something to consider nonetheless yank If there's more interaction we could have a nice event very, very quickly. This is close to being a much bigger event if one or two pieces shift around again, and there's still some time for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like another case of almost but won't quite make it happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Shortwave a perfectly neutral tilt at hour 36. Like a perfect V right over Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks close but no cigar...don't think it'll be huge changes from 6z with the outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 If this doesn't happen it's all the northern streams fault. This southern stream baby is literally sitting with her legs open. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like another case of almost but won't quite make it happen The 9z SREF's give us about .25 from the northern stream as the southern stream stays suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The flow down south is fairly slow with plenty of energy blowing by to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The 9z SREF's give us about .25 from the northern stream as the southern stream stays suppressed.yep southern stream stays separate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Srefs would be a nice event. 2-4/3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Definitely some interaction now going on between the two streams at hour 39 as a piece of the ULL continues to eject eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 If this doesn't happen it's all the northern streams fault. This southern stream baby is literally sitting with her legs open. lol. Dude really? Think before u post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Srefs would be a nice event. 2-4/3-5sold I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Not sure what big changes are seen on this run....it actually looks surprisingly similar to it's 6z run. Usually run to run consistency is not something common for our little NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The southern stream vort digs all the way to New Orleans but what a mess a loft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 yep southern stream stays separate The flow is too fast and the SE Ridge disappears just when we need it to force the southern stream north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dude really? Think before u post What was wrong with my post? Some comic relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like another case of almost but won't quite make it happen So close has happend every time for us this year so lets keep an eye on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 9z SREFs picking up an inverted trough feature: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 That ULL needs to eject the energy faster and I believe it would have stood a better chance at dropping in. You can see a small spike in the western ridge right as all of this is going down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 So close has happend every time for us this year so lets keep an eye on this I posted on previous page that northern S/W have been underforecasted intensity wise. I still think that this still has a chance, certainly slightly better this morning. It was a sizable step in the right direction for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 9z SREFs picking up an inverted trough feature: nmm6 ftw...headed north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 QPF field touches Cape May, Atlantic City hour 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 QPF field touches Cape May, Atlantic City hour 60.pretty much same as before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Eventually the southern stream gets sheared out. The coastal weakens some as it passes our latitude and the northern stream vort takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Eventually the southern stream gets sheared out. The coastal weakens some as it passes our latitude and the northern stream vort takes over.No doubt an improvement and that spike in the ridge out west is something id like see on the 12Z GFS on how it handles it, maybe some trending with sharper N/S interaction today yank? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 We need that costal to miss way se, no way the 2nd wave can amplify. We need more separation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Not a drop from the inverted trough on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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