peregrinator Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The latest HRRR and RAP still look good...they both have light snow continuing until 11am-noon tomorrow. An additional 0.4-0.5" of QPF (on top of what had already fallen at 11pm) on the RAP for KNYC, with more like 0.6-0.8" of additional precipitation on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Look at the Central PA forum and radar once in a while-it could be good for us this storm. There's still some activity going on back there which should consolidate and intensify as it heads towards us. We're in this for I'd say 6 more hours (obviously less well west/north). HRRR tries to really hang an area of snow across Long Island around dawn and it basically snows itself out. This is looking like a system that won't just bodily pull east, it might just sit overhead and snow itself out because of the inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxfoto Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Anyone else spot the mistake? 19 degrees and mod snow I noticed 11:30AM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 as of 1225AM, close to 4", .54" in the last hour. we are really going to have to pick things up quickly for anyone to see double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 appreciate the pics/updates. im from wall twp and always love keeping with the weather conditions up there[/quote Thank you! I'm at my moms house for this one where I grew up right off Brighton ave and rt 18. Will go and measure and shovel again after my tea. Winds really starting to increase outside from what I can hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Look at the Central PA forum and radar once in a while-it could be good for us this storm. There's still some activity going on back there which should consolidate and intensify as it heads towards us. We're in this for I'd say 6 more hours (obviously less well west/north). HRRR tries to really hang an area of snow across Long Island around dawn and it basically snows itself out. This is looking like a system that won't just bodily pull east, it might just sit overhead and snow itself out because of the inverted trough. Yea I was just looking at this too, the back end is still 6-8+ hours away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 as of 1225AM, close to 4", .54" in the last hour. we are really going to have to pick things up quickly for anyone to see double digits. The next few hours should see the heaviest rates -- low is cranking and temps are dropping. 10" is still feasible for NYC though the 8-12" range is probably better -- the park will probably measure 9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Did I read right, Upton possibly extending Blizzard Warnings to NYC? My question is simple, when does accumulating snow end in KNYC? 16.0 degrees Now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Did I read right, Upton possibly extending Blizzard Warnings to NYC? My question is simple, when does accumulating snow end in KNYC? Prop between 6-9am depending on where the trough sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 BTW -- watch out for the last band that comes through in the early AM, radar has it strengthening over PA, and with temps plunging, ratios will be great. Won't be over til it's over and the last hour or few should see a blip of very heavy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Man that band offshore of NJ is just asking to pivot and nail us all i think you've been taking too many tokes, sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 latest meso at 700mb shows -10c continuing to push southeastwards... hopefully ratios will get better although what we have now is certainly very powdery already and not usually seen in these parts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Did I read right, Upton possibly extending Blizzard Warnings to NYC? My question is simple, when does accumulating snow end in KNYC? Yes and I agree they should 16.0 degrees Now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Surface analysis: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 For what it's worth....the sref has high chances of greater than 1"/hour snowfall over NNJ/NYC around 7am....it also clearly shows the heavier band focused over southern NJ right now, as it is. From what I can make of it....it seems the bands coming from the W and NW will move towards us as the storm pivots and moves ENE....interesting to check it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Wow, easily the heaviest of the storm right now, vis def under 1/2 mile. Winds picking up as well. Time for one last jebwalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Moderate Snow, fine flakes, great powder. 17 degrees. Frigid out there, but the snow to liquid ratio is just nice. Northern Manhattan, NYC. 3.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yl715 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 You can see a bit of a pivot on radar last few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 5.1" as of 1230 am..Temp down a degree to 21°, with steady light snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liwxfan Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 White hurricane on Mount Sinai Harbor right now..16°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Lol if they issue a blizzard warring everyone's phones are going to go off at 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 4.5 inches as of 12:20am here in Marlboro, NJ Monmouth County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 For what it's worth....the sref has high chances of greater than 1"/hour snowfall over NNJ/NYC around 7am....it also clearly shows the heavier band focused over southern NJ right now, as it is. From what I can make of it....it seems the bands coming from the W and NW will move towards us as the storm pivots and moves ENE....interesting to check it out Waiting for the heavy band here in NNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Down to 12.6º - Up to 3.4" - Last half hour really picked up in intensity despite only being under 20dbz returns most of the time. Here are a few shots... The quality isn't outstanding, sorry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Latest frames from OKX radar show improvements. More widespread moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Latest radar frame. Snow ripping in northern Queens, ATTM and should continue for several more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Ratios going to go up, it's in the mid teens for most right now, some in the low teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Looks incredible outside right now, wind increasing, snow blowing and falling at a good clip. 18 degrees here in Long Beach-should be down to 10 by dawn. It's drifting here pretty well, and I'm in a fairly sheltered location. Other areas further inland might not have as much wind-I'd estimate some 30 mph gusts. We're not that far from blizzard conditions now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Lol if they issue a blizzard warring everyone's phones are going to go off at 4am or most of the general public is asleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 9 degrees feeling like -3F. Wow. I believe tuesday will be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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