Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 This could be a cold bust for NWS Tan for middlesex and N worcester counties down here in Mass.. With the 18z NAM arriving that way it has, verbatim would thump as much as 6 inches of blue high impact snow. This could be one of those deals where the superstar athlete read their own news clippings and got distracted from performing in the next game. Only in this paradigm, caught up in the weeds of a warm day (relative to normal)... might make it hard to wrap heads around the idea that it can still snow given dynamics and a marginal setting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Latest runs pretty good for this neck of the woods--paticularly being over 1k. Ratios and all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 That poster in maine that is now @750' is gonna be lovin his extra elevation tommorrow eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 With the track of lows , there is bust potential for snowier scenario in N Mass , esp hubb dave and esp Westminster poster @1180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 With the track of lows , there is bust potential for snowier scenario in N Mass , esp hubb dave and esp Westminster poster @1180. I think the nrn hills on the east slopes have a shot. The hills kissing the NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think the nrn hills on the east slopes have a shot. The hills kissing the NH border.Scott, i was just gonna clarify my last post and say wrt higher elevations. 850's dont seem much different for cne or sne on meso's im lookin at w/ arctic front well north. W this low track and dynamics i could see e slope berks (Pete, MPM) really busting positive esp AOA 1k and really ditto for subdude @1180 in Westminster and B Irving all the while it could be raining in concord,nh or non accumulating 34f glop. Even Will at weenie hill could cash in w mashd taters/ ditto hubb dave . I see this as dynamics and elevation for the win in interior sne. Imagine if kev flips at 8pm ...4km 18z nam shows this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think GYX is being a little bullish with snowfall in the lower elevations of central NH. I would think 4-6 would be the top end in areas below say 900-1000 feet maybe even less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think GYX is being a little bullish with snowfall in the lower elevations of central NH. I would think 4-6 would be the top end in areas below say 900-1000 feet maybe even lessWhy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 I may literally be sitting on the r/s line with this one. Map shows 4"-6" but I have a bad feeling with this one. ride the Nam. You are outrunning precip mike really? I was anticipating it starting at the put by one. This could be a cold bust for NWS Tan for middlesex and N worcester counties down here in Mass.. With the 18z NAM arriving that way it has, verbatim would thump as much as 6 inches of blue high impact snow. This could be one of those deals where the superstar athlete read their own news clippings and got distracted from performing in the next game. Only in this paradigm, caught up in the weeds of a warm day (relative to normal)... might make it hard to wrap heads around the idea that it can still snow given dynamics and a marginal setting. agree on potential bust (potential). Nit so sure about that analogy, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 This could be a cold bust for NWS Tan for middlesex and N worcester counties down here in Mass.. With the 18z NAM arriving that way it has, verbatim would thump as much as 6 inches of blue high impact snow. This could be one of those deals where the superstar athlete read their own news clippings and got distracted from performing in the next game. Only in this paradigm, caught up in the weeds of a warm day (relative to normal)... might make it hard to wrap heads around the idea that it can still snow given dynamics and a marginal setting. How much for Ayer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Mike i see it starting right as ur leaving...more now cast wrt that but either way ... Ur outrunning 85% of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Mid-coast winter Map adjustment seems like totals keep dropping. More rain or less qpf? Sent from my LG-E980 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 That poster in maine that is now @750' is gonna be lovin his extra elevation tommorrow evehope so. Be nice to score a win for a change Sent from my LG-E980 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think GYX is being a little bullish with snowfall in the lower elevations of central NH. I would think 4-6 would be the top end in areas below say 900-1000 feet maybe even less I think its a difficult call for areas less than say 450-600' bc 850's are close to isothermal in e central nh and BL temps SE of the lake are marginal am im not sure if dynamics will overcome them enuf for slowly accumulating 34 glop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Why? GFS is very marginal at LCI. It has the look of a cold 33 rain for a lot of non elevated areas intuitively. It will be a thread the needle event for sure but I would think you need some elevation for this one. Obviously you know your climo better and I could be way off. GFS busted too cold today as a side note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think its a difficult call for areas less than say 450-600' bc 850's are close to isothermal in e central nh and BL temps SE of the lake are marginal am im not sure if dynamics will overcome them from general concord area SE Yes exactly my thinking. Very stagnant and isothermal south of the whites. Perhaps the Lakes could salvage the stale airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 hope so. Be nice to score a win for a changeSent from my LG-E980 U did score more ice , like i thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Wet snow is not going to be good for the lines. No, And I mentioned that yesterday, it's gong to be problematic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 hope so. Be nice to score a win for a changeSent from my LG-E980 U did score more ice , like i thought thankfully some of it melted today Sent from my LG-E980 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I mean honestly w front well north of cne and best rates from south central nh to mass , and lp tracking over cape , i would think w marginal airmass elevations in interior sne may do better than 400' at KCON. I could be def wrong but just a thought. Will mentioned if secondary develops quicker it could tap cold high pressure better not sure if that line of thinkin looks to apply and help areas aob 500' in east central nh /maine Either way fun to track, esp as im gonna be driving N throughout day ...wether in 34 glop rain or 32.5 paste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Thanks to all who posted the gyx map. I had looked at that nap before posting but it looked weird to me. Print the presidential mountains of NH on the low side of a boundary with a marginal airmass doesn't make any sense to me. I'm thinkingthe 6-8 inch area expands to include the higher elevations of nh and western Maine. Still 4-8 inches of dense snow is a sweet thing this time of year. I'll be snowboarding somewhere on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think its a difficult call for areas less than say 450-600' bc 850's are close to isothermal in e central nh and BL temps SE of the lake are marginal am im not sure if dynamics will overcome them enuf for slowly accumulating 34 glop Yeah. I could see CON and MHT come away with very little. I would go 2-5 over the Lakes Region as of now stretching down into the terrain of SW NH with 1-2 into highly elevated ORH county. But this could turn out a cold rain even there (ORH cnty). I think 6-9 is relegated to NE Carroll country with more in interior Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 seems like totals keep dropping. More rain or less qpf?Sent from my LG-E980 It's coming down to ratios, 7-9:1 would not surprise me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Please ignore my weird spelling errors. Phone won't let me edit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 seems like totals keep dropping. More rain or less qpf?Sent from my LG-E980 It's coming down to ratios, 7-9:1 would not surprise me nice heavy glop. Good for the trails. Snowblower won't like it Sent from my LG-E980 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Yeah. I could see CON and MHT come away with very little. I would go 2-5 over the Lakes Region as of now stretching down into the terrain of SW NH with 1-2 into highly elevated ORH county. But this could turn out a cold rain even there (ORH cnty). I think 6-9 is relegated to NE Carroll country with more in interior Maine I think sw nh in monads esp any hill towns near Warner or so (1500') could score 6-8 and likely will w this track, dynamics and there elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 This could be a cold bust for NWS Tan for middlesex and N worcester counties down here in Mass.. With the 18z NAM arriving that way it has, verbatim would thump as much as 6 inches of blue high impact snow. This could be one of those deals where the superstar athlete read their own news clippings and got distracted from performing in the next game. Only in this paradigm, caught up in the weeds of a warm day (relative to normal)... might make it hard to wrap heads around the idea that it can still snow given dynamics and a marginal setting. What would you forecast in their seat? Not trying to be argumentative in anyway...just wondering. Sooner or later they need to get off the fence and pick a solution... can't blame them for that. You can't say Rain Likely with a chance of 6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 nice heavy glop. Good for the trails. Snowblower won't like itSent from my LG-E980 The riding is going to be awesome down this way once this sets up this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think sw nh in monads esp any hill towns near Warner or so (1500') could score 6-8 and likely will w this track, dynamics and there elevation Yes that's the potential. I think those areas do better than 600 ft in the Lakes region. I think SW NH will do significantly better then N ORH cnty. Perhaps Plymouth to Tilton can salvage the cold air, but likely not SE of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I could see the Lakes doing ok. That is a lot of dynamics. That easily could be a 32F paste of 6" or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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