famartin Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 You do realize that its a field where you are allotted to be wrong 50% of the time and still get paid? Weather forecasters (pros) are more often wrong then they are correct...and they have no accountability to anyone either. I don't think this is true. I'd like to think I've had a better than 50% batting average when it comes to forecasting back home... and I've been doing that for free Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 It's probably wise to use the climo argument by now. How often do we get significant snows post 3/20? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 It's probably wise to use the climo argument by now. How often do we get significant snows post 3/20? As often as DC gets two 4"+ storms in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 *****ATTENTION EARTHLIGHT/SICKMAN***** PLEASE GIVE US AN EXPLANATION AS TO WHY FORKY IS PERMITTED TO CONSTANTLY PUT DOWN POSTERS, GIVE PERSONAL ATTACKS, TROLL CONSTANTLY AND TALK DOWN TO PEOPLE WITH SEEMINGLY NO CONSEQUENCES!!! Is this like some NWS Special statement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 I don't think this is true. I'd like to think I've had a better than 50% batting average when it comes to forecasting back home... and I've been doing that for free I never understood that stat. What does it mean to be wrong 50% of the time?...if I say sunny and 40 and it ends up PCldy and 39 is that wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Is this like some NWS Special statement? More like DT....**ALERT...ALERT*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 The weenies are going after forky Futile attempts, Forky is battle-tested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Is this like some NWS Special statement? Yes, it's actually a Severe Weather Statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 It's probably wise to use the climo argument by now. How often do we get significant snows post 3/20? Tell that to DC yesterday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 More like DT....**ALERT...ALERT*** LMAO, those are the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Futile attempts, Forky is battle-tested. What about JetsPens? He's a red tagger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 I don't think this is true. I'd like to think I've had a better than 50% batting average when it comes to forecasting back home... and I've been doing that for free Well I will give you an example... This last storm that went to our south ...was forecasted to bring a coating to an inch of snow to my area.. Meanwhile I known for days that we were not going to see any snow from that system... we might have seen a flurry... Its not a knock down its just a fact that they are more often wrong then they are correct... The storm that dropped 19.4 inches across my area was underforecasted and they had to keep playing catch up... Where five days in advance i was telling the people that come to me for the weather that we were getting 12-20 inches... Its not an exact science so this is the reason for the often failed forecasts ... but at the same time I think they could be better then what they are.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Futile attempts, Forky is battle-tested. he is tested in the field of internet ball busting and butt-hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Why does Forky act like a butt head? The world will never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Tell that to DC yesterday . climo this month is pretty much as close as you can get to being flushed down the toilet. for all intents and purposes we are in an extended February pretty much from what we've experienced and are experiencing currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Why does Forky act like a butt head? The world will never know. Maybe you can find a way to arrest him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Why does Forky act like a butt head? The world will never know. its the internet. there are no consequences like doing it to someone in person where one can get actually get a left hook to jaw physically and not emotionally online Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Why does Forky act like a butt head? The world will never know. It's been his schitck for many years. When even the Red taggers are tired of it, it's time to do something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 why is your IQ lower than NYC's seasonal snow total? forky is spot-on, and idiots like you & Yanksfan dictating disco here have ruined the forum. Who are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Euro ensemble mean looks pretty frigging awesome at 186-198 hrs. It take a 1004 mb low to a point south of the Benchmark and at 198 hrs, it still has it snowing here with a 1000 mb low just east of the Benchmark. Low tracks from Hatteras at 180 hrs to the Benchmark at 198 hrs, deepening while doing so, with heavy snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 its the internet. there are no consequences like doing it to someone in person where one can get actually get a left hook to jaw physically and not emotionally online Forky is cool in person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 climo this month is pretty much as close as you can get to being flushed down the toilet. for all intents and purposes we are in an extended February pretty much from what we've experienced and are experiencing currently I wouldn`t care if it was Jan 15th - Its day 8 - its noise . The models have been bundling energy on the E C for the last 3 weeks and outside of 1 - they broke down and came S . I can`t get caught up in OP runs 192 hours out . J M O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Who are you? Just report him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Number 1 analog on cpc is March 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 25-30 you understand that the number at a specific location, when an average, needs to be a number not a range....correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 why is your IQ lower than NYC's seasonal snow total? forky is spot-on, and idiots like you & Yanksfan dictating disco here have ruined the forum. speaking of someone who doesn't contribute much to this forum, don't knock yanks or snow88 they do add pretty good analysis and are here to learn more as well. no one that comes here as a new member etc. is going to know everything, you take your swings and misses and learn from them. saying those two have ruined the forum Is VERY inaccurate and do yourself a favor start building more of a rep here by posting and letting other people know who you are before placing jabs from your keyboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Euro ensemble mean looks pretty frigging awesome at 186 hrs. It's way NW of 00z. Sub 1000mb east of Cape Cod at hour 198. Buries the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 I wouldn`t care if it was Jan 15th - Its day 8 - its noise . The models have been bundling energy on the E C for the last 3 weeks and outside of 1 - they broke down and came S . I can`t get caught up in OP runs 192 hours out . J M O not talking about if the storm verifies or not im talking about the pattern. South of the area has been a consistent outcome a la PV or poor trough orientation. getting a true HECS is very hard to do anyway and MUCH harder late in march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Number 1 analog on cpc is March 1993. Now we wait to see how many people rip into you like they ripped into me last week for saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Tell that to DC yesterday . Right and the chances of seeing multiple anomalous/record snowfalls even further into the month of March is even more unlikely. It's like hitting the lottery twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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