Tropopause_Fold Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 too bad that's still 7 days out. that would be a pretty good event. hits E areas pretty good after the cold collapses in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Let's get it under 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 LOL, what the heck is it doing? lol...low bombs east of the cape. kind of organizes late but pulls down enough cold to get PVD-BOS corridor with a nice little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 lol...low bombs east of the cape. kind of organizes late but pulls down enough cold to get PVD-BOS corridor with a nice little snow. What about Sunday deal? or does the Sunday snow sort of morph into the storm for us Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 What about Sunday deal? or does the Sunday snow sort of morph into the storm for us Monday? sun would likely be just some light stuff going over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 sun would likely be just some light stuff going over to rain. doesn't appear to be a big CAD signal there but then again HP is there to the NE and the flow is probably pretty weak so i could see where interior areas maybe go to some freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 doesn't appear to be a big CAD signal there but then again HP is there to the NE and the flow is probably pretty weak so i could see where interior areas maybe go to some freezing drizzle. Hires Euro is pretty toasty at 2M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 From an OES standpoint looks like nothing more than some clouds and maybe a few flurries unless I'm missing something. Plenty cold aloft but winds off the deck really aren't favorable unless you're on the extreme outer cape. Whether or not lower levels winds off the water are able to generate more significant precip...I doubt it based on current progs but fingers crossed. Second event looks warm on the coast and anywhere south of the Pike as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Euro looks pretty good, getting colder each run with the midweek system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 doesn't appear to be a big CAD signal there but then again HP is there to the NE and the flow is probably pretty weak so i could see where interior areas maybe go to some freezing drizzle. Yeah maybe 1-2 inches to some ice at 31-32 or something..and then we see what Monday storm brings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 From an OES standpoint looks like nothing more than some clouds and maybe a few flurries unless I'm missing something. Plenty cold aloft but winds off the deck really aren't favorable unless you're on the extreme outer cape. Whether or not lower levels winds off the water are able to generate more significant precip...I doubt it based on current progs but fingers crossed. Second event looks warm on the coast and anywhere south of the Pike as of now. It's not an ideal set-up. But do think there will be some flakes in the air. Maybe confined to mid and outer cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 What does CAD mean? Simple terms, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 What does CAD mean? Simple terms, please. Cold air damming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 We'll have to keep an eye on that coastal....high pressure is nosing down a bit and its been trending closer. The airmass is kind of stale so there's not much margin. Before that, we should see some light snow break out on sunday, but it will be warming throughout the day, so it could change to RA-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 That is a very convoluted pattern next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I don't like the OES signal or lack thereof for Sunday. Monday looks to be a coastal front developing into warm front and move into Warm air advection signal. Coastal storm for Monday and Tuesday looks colder through today's model runs compared to previous runs. I see a potential OES event Saturday as initial clipper moves through and reinforces cold air aloft and at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 I don't like the OES signal or lack thereof for Sunday. Monday looks to be a coastal front developing into warm front and move into Warm air advection signal. Coastal storm for Monday and Tuesday looks colder through today's model runs compared to previous runs. I see a potential OES event Saturday as initial clipper moves through and reinforces cold air aloft and at 850mb. yes, OES would not be sunday. certainly not. fri PM / sat. and most likely rather light. interior may get some mood snows sat night into sun before things likely transition to light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I like Saturday for some clipper flurries and snow showers across interior New England and maybe some ocean enhancement along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I like Saturday for some clipper flurries and snow showers across interior New England and maybe some ocean enhancement along the coast. I don't think Saturday will have much of anything in the interior. Sunday is th ebetter day for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I don't think Saturday will have much of anything in the interior. Sunday is th ebetter day for that. I think the coastline will have ocean enhanced snows Friday night into Saturday, as flow backs northerly at the surface and to northwest at 850mb. Cld temps at 850mb in combination with 40F sea surface temperatures will aide in delta Ts approaching 20C+ for a time as clipper low moves overhead and to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 This small event is still a go on most guidance. Still looks like light snow on early Sunday perhaps transitioning to a light rain before ending. We still have to watch the potential coastal/scraper behind it for next Tuesday. It is cold enough on guidance for mainly snow now, but it might go wide right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yeah ensembles are pretty far east, but seems cold enough if it were to come west like the euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Does this thread for today/tomorrow include observations as well? Not sure where to put things. But, I'll start here until directed otherwise. Winds are blowing pretty good here at the Pit. Have recorded a 30mph gust and 20mph sustained. Not too cold, but the breeze will undoubtedly have it feeling nippy. Happy Thanksgiving everyone! 22.8/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Let's grab 1-2 inches Sunday and with the cold high to the Ne lock in ll cold and cap it off with some freezing drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Let's grab 1-2 inches Sunday and with the cold high to the Ne lock in ll cold and cap it off with some freezing drizzle I'm not very optimistic about locking in the low level cold as the high slides pretty far east. It will try and hold for a while but I think eventually it warms up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Prior to the main area of precip moving up from the south, it looks like one of those light snow/snow grains/snizzle setup with crappy lift and some weak WAA above the cold dome on Sasturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Let's grab 1-2 inches Sunday and with the cold high to the Ne lock in ll cold and cap it off with some freezing drizzle Here's to hoping.... I'll be at world headquarters in Cedar Rapids and in Philadelphia M-F. I hope you guys get a good storm on Tuesday while I'm sitting in 40* in IA. 22.3/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 I think Sunday morning could be a decent burst of precip under stronger WAA. Seems like a narrow area especially near and north of the Pike and inland that may squeeze out some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 I think Sunday morning could be a decent burst of precip under stronger WAA. Seems like a narrow area especially near and north of the Pike and inland that may squeeze out some snow. Scott--is this leaning more toward eastern areas? Some flurry activity going on here at the Pit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Scott--is this leaning more toward eastern areas? Some flurry activity going on here at the Pit now. Well I could see the cape getting a little OES and then a separate area from CT up into the Berks getting snow-->ice-->rain and points east. It may start over CT and the berks first..then move east. So sort of two separate things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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