snowlover2 Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 New Day 3 outlook brings a slight risk into the western parts of the OV. I know this is being discussed in the medium range severe thread but figured since we are getting into short range and have an outlined area that it could have a thread of its own. If that's a problem, go ahead and close this. DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0229 AM CDT SUN APR 07 2013 VALID 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS... ...SYNOPSIS... HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST SHOULD EVOLVE INTO TWO DISTINCT SHORTWAVE IMPULSES...ONE MOVING NEWD TOWARDS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS AND THE OTHER REMAINING IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER NWRN MEXICO. MID-LEVEL SWLYS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WARM/MOIST SECTOR IN RESPONSE TO THE LEAD IMPULSE. AT THE SURFACE...CYCLONE IN THE LEE OF THE SRN ROCKIES SHOULD DEVELOP NEWD AND REACH THE LOWER MO VALLEY BY TUE NIGHT. THE SRN PLAINS DRYLINE WILL BE PROGRESSIVELY OVERTAKEN BY A COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD REACH CNTRL TX BY EARLY WED. ...LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS... A BROAD CORRIDOR OF ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH ALL HAZARD TYPES IS ANTICIPATED TUE AFTERNOON INTO WED MORNING. AN UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONSIDERED IN LATER OUTLOOKS. LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN GIVEN RELATIVELY LARGE SPREAD IN GUIDANCE WITH THE HANDLING OF THE LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE EJECTING FROM THE WRN CONUS TROUGH. NCEP GUIDANCE REMAINS FASTER THAN THE ECMWF/UKMET WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE IMPULSE WHICH AFFECTS POSITIONING OF THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT...AND MORE BULLISH WITH THE AMPLITUDE OF KINEMATICS OVER THE WARM/MOIST SECTOR. THIS BREEDS SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY OVER WHERE TO PLACE HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES OR EVEN WHETHER THEY ARE NEEDED BEYOND AN ENHANCED SLIGHT RISK. REGARDLESS OF THE PATTERN DIFFERENCES...GIVEN STRENGTHENING RETURN FLOW IN THE WRN GULF...A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD IN THE S-CNTRL CONUS. WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASING THROUGH THE PERIOD...SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED CLUSTERS SHOULD COMMENCE TUE AFTERNOON IN PARTS OF KS AND DEVELOP S/EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND TOWARDS THE MID-MS VALLEY DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT. LARGE HAIL /SOME SIGNIFICANT/ AND TORNADOES WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. WHILE THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD AS LOWER-LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS AND CONVECTIVE MODE BECOMES MORE CLUSTER/LINEAR. ..GRAMS.. 04/07/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 Day 3 now includes a large portion of IL and OH with all of Indiana included. DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0228 AM CDT MON APR 08 2013 VALID 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO THE WRN GULF COAST STATES... ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY PROGRESS EWD FROM THE ROCKIES ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS THROUGH EARLY THU. A DOWNSTREAM MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE GREAT LAKES. AT THE SURFACE...A CYCLONE SHOULD SLOWLY MOVE EWD IN PARTS OF THE MIDWEST WITH AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT FROM THE LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS PROGRESSING AT LEAST ACROSS THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY BY 12Z/THU. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD BE DRAPED E OF THE MIDWEST CYCLONE TO THE NRN APPALACHIANS. ...MIDWEST TO THE WRN GULF COAST STATES... A BROAD SWATH OF ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD WITH ALL SEVERE HAZARDS PROBABLE. MODEL PREDICTABILITY LESSENS SUBSTANTIALLY FROM D2 WITH THE EVOLUTION OF KEY SYNOPTIC FEATURES...RENDERING LOW CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE AMPLITUDE OF THE SEVERE THREAT AND IN IDENTIFYING ANY CORRIDOR OF COVERAGE AOA 45 PERCENT. MODELS DIFFER WITH THE EJECTION OF A SRN HIGH PLAINS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE...WITH THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF/CMC SUGGESTING A SLOWER AND MORE N/NELY TRACK TOWARDS THE MID-MO VALLEY. THIS YIELDS A SLOWER EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND LOW/MID-LEVEL S/SWLYS NOT AS INTENSE OVER THE WARM SECTOR COMPARED TO THE GFS/NAM. REGARDLESS OF THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONES. SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...LIKELY THROUGH THE 60S FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO THE GULF COAST. WITH A REMNANT EML PLUME OVER MOST OF THE ERN CONUS CONTRIBUTING TO STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...STRENGTHENING LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS...A FEW TORNADOES...AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. AS FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY PARALLEL TO THE COLD FRONT...AN EXTENSIVE QLCS MAY ULTIMATELY FORM PRIOR TO THE FRONT REACHING THE MS VALLEY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 Whaddya know, a "see Text" for a large portion of the subforum today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 Whaddya know, a "see Text" for a large portion of the subforum today Yeah like I noted in the other thread if only this was later in the spring and we had good instability because that is a stout MCV near Chicago atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 Yeah like I noted in the other thread if only this was later in the spring and we had good instability because that is a stout MCV near Chicago atm. It wouldn't take too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 It wouldn't take too much Yeah and the nam/rap do show some instability building in within the next 4-8hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 There's a nice dry slot heading across the southern part of Lake MI now. Maybe there will be some sun this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrettenBailey Posted April 8, 2013 Share Posted April 8, 2013 Sunny here in Southwest Michigan. Temps are picking up and a strong wind field coming across the lake. If only this had happened earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 Hoping to see some decent severe weather here on Wednesday Sent from my iPhone 5 using Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 Hoping to see some decent severe weather here on Wednesday Sent from my iPhone 5 using Tapatalk! Tentatively targeting I72 area for chasing near the triple point on Weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 New SPC outlooks are out. Day 1 has a slight risk in the western areas of the subforum and day 2/Wednesday has a high-end slight with 45% probs in parts of IL/MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 New SPC outlooks are out. Day 1 has a slight risk in the western areas of the subforum and day 2/Wednesday has a high-end slight with 45% probs in parts of IL/MO. ...MIDWEST TO THE WRN GULF COAST... A BROAD SWATH OF ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD WITH SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES APPEARING PROBABLE. OVERALL INTENSITY DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE AREA WHICH MITIGATES A MODERATE RISK ISSUANCE ATTM. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM THE WRN/CNTRL GULF COAST REGION WITH A PLUME OF 12-14 G/KG MEAN MIXING RATIOS SAMPLED IN RAOBS MON EVENING. THIS SHOULD YIELD AN INCREASINGLY BROAD WARM SECTOR WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS REACHING THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MIDWEST TO THE UPPER 60S IN THE WRN GULF COAST STATES BY WED AFTERNOON. PRESENCE OF A ROBUST EML PLUME THAT HAS BEEN MAINTAINED/ADVECTED EWD OVER MUCH OF THE S-CNTRL/SERN CONUS IN RECENT DAYS HAS FAVORABLY CONTRIBUTED TO STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. AS SURFACE HEATING OCCURS...COMBINATION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FACTORS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A BROAD MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DIFFER WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A SRN HIGH PLAINS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE...WITH THE ECMWF CONSISTENTLY SLOWER AND ON A MORE N/NELY TRACK TOWARDS THE MID-MO VALLEY THAN THE GFS. THIS YIELDS A SLOWER EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND LOW/MID-LEVEL S/SWLYS NOT AS INTENSE OVER THE WARM SECTOR. STILL...LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING AT 12Z/WED FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MO VALLEY. CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS SUGGEST MUCH OF THIS WILL BE BEHIND THE SHARP COLD FRONT...AS STRONG CAPPING MITIGATES WARM SECTOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND MODERATE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS...CONVECTION WILL INCREASE ALONG BOTH FRONTAL ZONES...LIKELY BECOMING WIDESPREAD BY WED EVENING. MIXED CONVECTIVE MODE WOULD BE MOST LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDWEST WHERE A MIX OF SEVERE HAZARDS IS ANTICIPATED. WITH SRN EXTENT...MORE MERIDIONAL FLOW FIELDS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COLD FRONT WITH SOME ASPECT OF VEER-BACK-VEER PROFILES SHOULD BE CONDUCIVE TO A PREDOMINANT LINEAR MODE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. ..GRAMS.. 04/09/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 I could've sworn 45% forced a Moderate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted April 9, 2013 Author Share Posted April 9, 2013 I could've sworn 45% forced a Moderate... 45% and hatched on day 2 is moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 Can't say I'm particularly excited about the Wednesday night severe threat in my backyard. Mid level lapse rates are pretty mediocre...there is some instability that lingers after dark especially on the NAM but some uncertainty with how well we will be able to keep the low levels mixed into the overnight hours. Anything that tries to come down may be dealing with a bit of an inversion. Not saying no threat but leaning more toward the lower end at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 Can't say I'm particularly excited about the Wednesday night severe threat in my backyard. Mid level lapse rates are pretty mediocre...there is some instability that lingers after dark especially on the NAM but some uncertainty with how well we will be able to keep the low levels mixed into the overnight hours. Anything that tries to come down may be dealing with a bit of an inversion. Not saying no threat but leaning more toward the lower end at this time. I agree. Some areas receiving heavy rains look good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 9, 2013 Share Posted April 9, 2013 see text added for chicagoland. nothing special but this wet period is working out nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted April 9, 2013 Author Share Posted April 9, 2013 45% area is a little bigger on the new day 2. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1214 PM CDT TUE APR 09 2013 VALID 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WRN GULF COAST AND LOWER-MID MS VALLEY TO PORTIONS NRN MID-ATLC REGION... ...SYNOPSIS... UPPER-AIR SUPPORT FOR SVR POTENTIAL OVER CONUS WILL BE DOMINATED BY LARGE CYCLONE -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER INTERMOUNTAIN W AND CENTERED OVER 4-CORNERS REGION. CYCLONE CENTER ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ENEWD ACROSS S-CENTRAL ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...REACHING SWRN NEB BY 11/00Z. REMARKABLE CONSISTENCY IS EVIDENT AMONG OPERATIONAL AND SREF GUIDANCE IN TIMING/TRACK THROUGH THAT TIME. SLGT POSITIVE TILT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED WITH ACCOMPANYING SYNOPTIC TROUGH...AS STG SPEED MAX AND ACCOMPANYING BASAL SHORTWAVE PERTURBATION CROSS W-CENTRAL/NWRN MEX. PROGGED PHASE SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM STARTS TO DIFFER DURING LATTER HALF OF PERIOD BASED ON IMPACT OF LOW-AMPLITUDE VORTICITY PERTURBATIONS EJECTING NEWD ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...BUT WITH GEN CONSENSUS OF 500-MB LOW SOLUTIONS OVER ERN NEB BY 11/12Z. AT SFC...FRONTAL-WAVE CYCLONE NOW IN EARLY STAGES OVER SWRN-CENTRAL KS IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE UNSTEADILY THROUGH REMAINDER DAY-1...BEFORE BECOMING BETTER DEFINED AROUND START OF PERIOD OVER NRN MO. AT THAT POINT...ARCTIC COLD FRONT NOW SURGING SWD ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS SHOULD EXTEND FROM MO LOW SWWD ACROSS SERN OK AND CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL TX. LOW SHOULD DEEPEN AND MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS NERN MO THROUGH 11/00Z...AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS EWD/SEWD OVER WRN OZARKS...ARKLATEX REGION AND REMAINDER OF S TX. QUASISTATIONARY FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM LOW EWD ACROSS OH AND PORTIONS NRN MID-ATLC REGION AND SRN NEW ENGLAND. BY END OF PERIOD...SFC CYCLONE SHOULD OCCLUDE OVER NWRN IL WITH SECONDARY/TRIPLE-POINT LOW DEVELOPING FARTHER E ALONG QUASISTATIONARY FRONT...MOST LIKELY OVER NERN IL/NWRN INDIANA AREA. COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THERE SWD ACROSS WRN KY THEN SSWWD OVER WRN MS...SRN LA AND W-CENTRAL GULF. ...MS VALLEY REGION AND WRN GULF COAST... BAND OF STG-SVR TSTMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG AND/OR BEHIND SFC COLD FRONT AT START OF PERIOD...OFFERING THREAT OF OCNL SVR HAIL AND GUSTS. MEAN-WIND AND DEEP-SHEAR VECTORS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SVR THROUGHOUT PERIOD...INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS. HOWEVER...GEOMETRY OF DEEP-LAYER WINDS WITH RESPECT TO FRONTAL ZONE INDICATE DOMINANT MODE FOR NEAR-FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL BE QUASI-LINEAR. ACTIVITY IS FCST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH DAYLIGHT HOURS...INTO PROGRESSIVELY DESTABILIZING AIR MASS...WITH INCREASING COVERAGE OF SVR. MOST SVR EVENTS SHOULD BE IN FORM OF DAMAGING WIND AND MRGL HAIL...THOUGH A FEW TORNADOES ALSO ARE POSSIBLE. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LARGEST DAYTIME LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS IN MID-SOUTH PORTION OF OUTLOOK...OVERLAID WITH 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES. 60S F SFC DEW POINTS WILL BE COMMON IN PREFRONTAL AIR MASS...CONTRIBUTING TO 1000-2000 J/KG AFTERNOON MLCAPE. SVR THREAT GENERALLY WILL WANE FROM N-S DURING EVENING...AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO REGIME OF GRADUAL STABILIZATION. EXCEPTION MAY BE OVER LA/MS AND LOWER DELTA REGION DURING EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WHERE MAIN BAND OF CONVERGENCE IMPINGES ON OPTIMALLY MODIFIED MOIST SECTOR. WEAKENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT SHOULD BE OFFSET BY RICH LOW-LEVEL THETAE -- WITH SFC DEW POINTS UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 F OVER MS/LA -- IN HELPING TO MAINTAIN SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE INFLOW PARCELS THROUGH MUCH OF OVERNIGHT TIME FRAME. ATTM...THERE IS NO SPECIFIC MESOSCALE FEATURE APPARENT ALONG CONVECTIVE BAND THAT WOULD FOCUS MORE THAN ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT-SEVERE WIND...HAIL OR STRONG TORNADOES...WITHIN RELATIVELY DENSE CONCENTRATION OF TOTAL SVR. AS SUCH...WILL MAINTAIN PRIOR PROBABILITIES WITH MINOR SPATIAL ADJUSTMENTS...WHERE GREATEST JUXTAPOSITION OF FRONTAL LIFT...SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIURNAL THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS ARE FCST...AND JUST SHORT OF MDT-RISK PROBABILISTIC CRITERIA. ...IL-NJ... WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG AND N OF QUASISTATIONARY FRONT THROUGH PERIOD. ACTIVITY N OF FRONT WILL POSE RISK OF OCNL HAIL...WITH DAMAGING GUSTS NEAR FRONT...AND A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LACK OF MORE ROBUST LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN ADJACENT WARM SECTOR KEEPS HODOGRAPH SIZE LIMITED...EXCEPT IN VERY NARROW FRONTAL CORRIDOR...THOUGH 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES ARE POSSIBLE IN SUPPORT OF TSTM ORGANIZATION. 60S SFC DEW POINTS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE DURING AFTERNOON...LOCALLY HIGHER IN AREAS OF MOST PERSISTENT INSOLATION. ..EDWARDS.. 04/09/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Some pretty decent soundings coming off the 00z NAM/GFS for Eastern MO into the southern half of IL tomorrow afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Some pretty decent soundings coming off the 00z NAM/GFS for Eastern MO into the southern half of IL tomorrow afternoon/evening. Still debating chasing tomorrow. Would like to see what the SPC has to say, but agreed, some pretty good soundings. Jacksonville, IL (KIJX) at 00z tomorrow evening: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 I am also noticing a build up of 0-3 km CAPE across S IL as well, some soundings that I have pulled have had near 200 J/kg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Even if I could chase, I wouldn't today. Looks like a QLCS day. GFS and NAM will obviously be too slow with the cold front across IL, just as the were yesterday down in the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 New watch just came out. SPC AWW 101750 WW 88 SEVERE TSTM IL IN OH 101755Z - 110100Z AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE.. 25WSW MTO/MATTOON IL/ - 20E MFD/MANSFIELD OH/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /26SSE AXC - 38SSW CLE/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035. LAT...LON 39978870 41478213 40168213 38688870 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Severe t-storm warning east of Kokomo. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA158 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013INC009-053-075-179-101815-/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130410T1815Z/WELLS IN-GRANT IN-JAY IN-BLACKFORD IN-158 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLACKFORD...WESTERN JAY...EASTERN GRANT AND SOUTHERN WELLS COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PMEDT...AT 155 PM EDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG ALINE EXTENDING FROM VAN BUREN TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VAN BUREN TOUPLAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. POWER LINES HAVE BEEN REPORTED DOWN ACROSS PORTIONS OF GRANT COUNTY WITH THESE STORMS.IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... MONTPELIER AND HARTFORD CITY AROUND 205 PM EDT. DUNKIRK AROUND 210 PM EDT. PENNVILLE AROUND 215 PM EDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LIBERTY CENTER...MOUNT ZION...KEYSTONE...DILLMAN...MILL GROVE...TRAVISVILLE...TRENTON...FIAT...BALBEC AND NOTTINGHAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Tornado Warning for line in Eastern IL BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 111 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... NORTHERN MOULTRIE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHEASTERN PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... NORTH CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 145 PM CDT * AT 106 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BETHANY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SULLIVAN...BETHANY...LOVINGTON...HAMMOND...ARTHUR...ATWOOD... CADWELL...CHESTERVILLE...BOURBON AND GARRETT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 That's a nasty looking storm downstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Last scan was much better, but something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 After being diverted to IND my flight was cancelled to ORD. Rented a car and am driving back... Time for an unexpected chase. Closing in on the E. IL activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 About to cross into Douglas county just north of Arthur. Last radar sweep looked pretty good. Edit: Warning expired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 After being diverted to IND my flight was cancelled to ORD. Rented a car and am driving back... Time for an unexpected chase. Closing in on the E. IL activity. Damn, I could've met up with you. I ended up not going, still would like to go lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.