Stebo Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Looks like the NAM finally picking up the blocking thus transfer the low quicker. There's always a catch in the Detroit area for big events to happen. This is hardly set in stone yet and one model run doesn't mean that it can't jump back on the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Compared to 6z, pretty similar through 24. H5 center is closed off a tad earlier and the trough might have dug a little more, but it doesn't look like anything consequential at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Compared to 6z, pretty similar through 24. H5 center is closed off a tad earlier and the trough might have dug a little more, but it doesn't look like anything consequential at this point. SSC, congrats on your upcoming storm. As you pointed out earlier, no matter the specifics, you and the Toronto crew should be in for some healthy accumulations. I just want to see a few pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 At this point 3" would feel like a foot of snow. If we get the 6" that DTX is expecting from a Monroe-Detroit-Port Huron line, I'd be extremely happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 SSC, congrats on your upcoming storm. As you pointed out earlier, no matter the specifics, you and the Toronto crew should be in for some healthy accumulations. I just want to see a few pics. Well, dont congratulate me yet. Still 60 hours to go and a lot of time for things to go in the crapper. There shall be picks, although, where you're located is progged to do pretty damn well. So please reciprocate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Everything at H5 through 33 looks like its been shifted south about 25 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 NAM looks like its going a little SEward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 NAM looks like its going a little SEward I was comparing the 39hr 12z NAM with the 51hr 0z EURO on wundermap. They're almost identical. So, I'm not expecting a disaster run here. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I was comparing the 39hr 12z NAM with the 51hr 0z EURO on wundermap. They're almost identical. So, I'm not expecting a disaster run here. Fingers crossed. Could be a disaster run For Most of MI minus extreme SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 PatrickSumner...rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 NAM looks like its going a little SEward I cant notice any difference, unless im missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Think I'm in a pretty good spot here at MWA... Just need to ride out any last minute track changes or dry slots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Could be a disaster run For Most of MI minus extreme SEMI Was the 0z EURO not kind? It bumped me to almost 1.00" QPF, an improvement over the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I cant notice any difference, unless im missing something. Low placement is a different but that's not what really looking for it's when transfer occurs and appears blocking is stronger on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Was the 0z EURO not kind? It bumped me to almost 1.00" QPF, an improvement over the 12z run. Gave Detroit some mad love as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 PatrickSumner...rejoice. You do likewise by 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 This run hammers Central Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Was just checking the HPC snow forecasts this morning. 70% chance for 8 inches or greater of snow in place, also 40% chance of 12 inches or greater is also in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 By 54, the earlier southerly/weaker trend has evaporated. H5 low might be a tick north of the 6z prog, same intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 NAM continues with ridiculous QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Not looking hot for SE Michigan, loses a ton of steam before entering the state. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 At hour 54 MUCH colder for CMH... looks like snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Not looking hot for SE Michigan, loses a ton of steam before entering the state. Jon Thanks to the damn BLOCKING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Was comparing the low positions between 0z GEM run, with the 6z NAM and GFS. Seems to be a lot better agreement of lot placement today than previous runs. Will have to see what the 12z runs show when completed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Thanks to the damn BLOCKING! The GEM did something similar, as the precip shield is struggling to make significant northward progression into lower MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Thumping snow at 57! Rejoice, buckeye, we have our Christmas miracle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 for the last 4 runs or so the nam has been showing more and more confluence over se canada and the heights out in front of the storm are getting flatter. This is why it's further south. Question is whether this continues or goes back the other way. my mind still can't compute a se trend....especially on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Looks like a great run for Dtw ...(sarcasm)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 The GEM did something similar, as the precip shield is struggling to make significant northward progression into lower MI. Even DTX noted in MFD that GEM was a strong possibility....uggg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Thumping snow at 57! Rejoice, buckeye, we have our Christmas miracle! still sloppy and riding the edge....pretty much i-70 north it looks like....but MASSIVE improvement. Especially considering the nam was the worst model for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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