weatherwiz Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 dp of 23 even better, its going to snow......somebody in interior sw ct will see 6+ I agree there could be a second jackpot area in interior SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 RGEM came considerably NW too. I think the game is on. Now it's the multiple catch 22s. Areas with the most QPF may be mostly rain. Some will run with the NAM/wetter models because they were "first" to come around. The Euro comes in on the dryer but still NW side and I'd probably run with it lock stock and barrel over the others even though it's been slow on the uptake it appears this time. In either case, it's more of a system then all but the winter warlock on Mt Tolland had thought. BTW: First real northern rockies s/w of the year. Models played catch up pretty much every run since they ejected out of the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 BWI changes on new model runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 okx to all snow now, would expect wwa flying out in the wee hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 dp of 23 even better, its going to snow......somebody in interior sw ct will see 6+ Giuseppe going balls to the wall! Giuseppe come home from-a da park it's-a gonna snow tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 In either case, it's more of a system then all but the winter warlock on Mt Tolland had thought. The KURO/KFS/KFALLS has had a miraculous run lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Giuseppi going balls to the wall! Giuseppi come home from-a da park it's-a gonna snow tomorrow! Ridgefield east through Georgetown and Redding into Shelton area, many places 600+ only 15 miles from the sound. Here, I would guess around 1-2 tops. Ciao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Don't try to verify radiationally cooled temps with model 2m temps. The model will always be too warm. One of the rules of the weenie playbook when temps might be marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 NAM even got .2 back to BDL. We'll see soon enough whether the GFS likes the idea as well. Meh.... it's spread out over a long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Ridgefield east through Georgetown and Redding into Shelton area, many places 600+ only 15 miles from the sound. Here, I would guess around 1-2 tops. Ciao It'll have some surprises bambino, im sure we'll see something interesting in a bit here with the GFS and I'm excited to see the meso models upon waking tomorrow am. Maybe they can key in on some smaller features...which a storm like this will no doubt have a lot of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 When NAM and RGEM agree, it usually verifies pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Meh.... it's spread out over a long duration. everything's moving in the right direction Deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 The KURO/KFS/KFALLS has had a miraculous run lately If we forget about the disaster of a forecast last week....Nor' Easter with snow and a white Thanksgiving and no 50s for highs later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 One of the rules of the weenie playbook when temps might be marginal. Yes, outrageous reasoning, its all about the wetbulb and precip rates, people will start freaking in the am when temps start to rise due to clouds, then they will breathe as temps settle back as precip begins lol lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 NAM for SNE actually jackpots Sultan's area in its snowfall algorithm...those hills in E CT and W RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 everything's moving in the right direction Deb I'd be getting a bit more excited in southern areas. Just not expecting much up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 sultginxy gets the waa and the left teet of the comma head on the nam......moosup massacre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Yea I would not hand out any Kudos yet. Brian so a ten degree difference between modeled BL/ DP and actual temp means nothing? Just asking, of course Will has to throw the weenie comment in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Yea I would not hand out any Kudos yet. Brian so a ten degree difference between modeled BL/ DP and actual temp means nothing? Just asking, of course Will has to throw the weenie comment in. I'd look at a place that does not radiate like ORH. The NAM had 31F at 10pm there and the 10pm obs was 30F. So its not like a huge bust is occurring. The lowest 20 feet of the atmosphere won't mean a thing when the precip comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Looks like the GFS beafed up totals. Hopefully KGAPS pulls off a few inches out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Initial waa thump is more robust on the gfs, lets see if the comma head can get into sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 congrats grandpa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Looks like the GFS beafed up totals. Hopefully KGAPS pulls off a few inches out of this. [especially across the eastern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Almost like a mini-NORLUN signal for SE Mass on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Wow KTAN through Messenger FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Congrats Scooter and cweat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Wow, GFS really gives it to E MA....BOS even getting over a half inch of QPF. Should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 GFS even gives DE Maine snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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