Hoar_Frost Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 The high today here was 93, which was the 37th day this year AOA 90 and the second in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Might get another shot at intense heat maybe 90s - 100 come Thursday. Bust potential is high though given convective debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Might get another shot at intense heat maybe 90s - 100 come Thursday. Bust potential is high though given convective debris. Im going on limb here and say 100's are done buddy. This was are last day of intense heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Hit 96° only here today, which was the forecasted high predicted yesterday. Low 82° - only 14° diurnal spread today. Definitely an influence with the clouds/wetter soils compared to Milwaukee. With it looking like a wetter week, I'm going to say the upper 90s and anything above is done for this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Dew point was up to 77F here...lots of clouds now...holding in the low 90Fs...brutal working out in the garage... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Dew point was up to 77F here...lots of clouds now...holding in the low 90Fs...brutal working out in the garage... Yeah lots of moisture pooling along and about 100 miles south of the boundary. Lots of dews in the 75-79 range. Today was the 32nd 90+ day of the year here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Im going on limb here and say 100's are done buddy. This was are last day of intense heat. Could be right. But Thursay has the potential. I thought the heat was done last July..that was until September 2nd of last year when area wide we had 98-100 degree readings. Plenty of Summer left and a back building western Ridge combined with a drought stricken landmass. Just looked back at Josh's post..looks like only 5 times has Detroit touched 100 in August. So it will be interesting to see if this pattern can add to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Max temps AOA 100 today. HUF: 104 IND: 102 LAF: 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Ottumwa looks to be the hottest ASOS site in Iowa today at 106. Next came Des Moines and Iowa City at 105. Several other AWOS sites hit at least 106. The dew at DVN has shot up to 76 from 67 a few hours back. Up to 74 here. Edit: 79 in Clinton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Max for DTW was 98 which ties the record from 1933. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 4PM CLI has a high of 97 at ORD. This stands as the high for the day. 2F off the record high of 99 (1914). Topped out at 95 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Reasons not to discount further intense/triple-digit heat this summer (from a northern Illinois perspective): --Still six weeks left of summer. --Confidence in widespread/healthy rainfall tonight is waning somewhat. (See 0z TAF issued by LOT.) --Guidance for Wednesday looks promising for quite a hot day (100-105), only possibly amplified by dry soils (which would be more likely if no/little rain tonight). (Of course, de-amplified by debris cloudiness or even convection.) --Recent runs of the Euro are beginning to latch on to another heat wave next week. This scenario has support even from the GFS, which by Monday spits out 90, which is as warm as or warmer than any of the hotter periods to date. --The CPC has acknowledged the previous point, putting out a 6- to 10-day and 8- to 14-day outlooks calling for above-normal temperatures and normal to below-normal precipitation. --Further, the CPC August outlook has a bulls-eye of enhanced probability of above-normal temperatures and of below-normal precipitation over northern Illinois. --Climatology does not nix having 100-degree temperatures in August (or September for that matter); in fact, in many areas in 1988, August had more 100+ temperatures than July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Looks like no rainfall for here overnight/tomorrow. Barring any extensive cloud debris tomorrow, I'm liking 102-103 at lolLAF. As for Wednesday, considering no rainfall in the next 24 hours, have to think mid 100's on the table. As usual, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Reasons not to discount further intense/triple-digit heat this summer (from a northern Illinois perspective): --Still six weeks left of summer. --Confidence in widespread/healthy rainfall tonight is waning somewhat. (See 0z TAF issued by LOT.) --Guidance for Wednesday looks promising for quite a hot day (100-105), only possibly amplified by dry soils (which would be more likely if no/little rain tonight). (Of course, de-amplified by debris cloudiness or even convection.) --Recent runs of the Euro are beginning to latch on to another heat wave next week. This scenario has support even from the GFS, which by Monday spits out 90, which is as warm as or warmer than any of the hotter periods to date. --The CPC has acknowledged the previous point, putting out a 6- to 10-day and 8- to 14-day outlooks calling for above-normal temperatures and normal to below-normal precipitation. --Further, the CPC August outlook has a bulls-eye of enhanced probability of above-normal temperatures and of below-normal precipitation over northern Illinois. --Climatology does not nix having 100-degree temperatures in August (or September for that matter); in fact, in many areas in 1988, August had more 100+ temperatures than July. Excellent points I would agree with all of these you mentioned, the big key is if the heavy rainfall doesn't materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Extremely difficult forecast for this area tomorrow temp wise. Could end up stuck in the 80s if clouds/precip hold on, or top 100 again with a decent amount of sunshine. Just gonna have to wait and see. Wednesday on the other hand looks like the hottest temp of the summer. I'm going with 105 for MLI if they receive no rain between now and then. Even if they do they'd probably still reach the 100 degree mark. Most of the region could see some of the hottest temps of the summer as well. ORD may have wet soil to somewhat limit potential, but they should easily top 100 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 Looks like no rainfall for here overnight/tomorrow. Barring any extensive cloud debris tomorrow, I'm liking 102-103 at lolLAF. As for Wednesday, considering no rainfall in the next 24 hours, have to think mid 100's on the table. As usual, we'll see. Folks, I did not hijack his account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 85°F + a dew point of 68 = a very uncomfortable night. We might not have hit 100 today, but this will certainly help our case for hottest month of all-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Folks, I did not hijack his account. lol Hey now though, you can't say I'm being biased...relative to what I want to see. I'm calling it like I see it. All in I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 lol Hey now though, you can't say I'm being biased...relative to what I want to see. I'm calling it like I see it. All in I guess. Wednesday has been looking like the potential standout day for a while. Mid 100s are definitely on the table if we don't get much rain before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Wednesday has been looking like the potential standout day for a while. Mid 100s are definitely on the table if we don't get much rain before then. I think we're "good to go" with seeing no rainfall. My range is 104-108 for LAF right now for Wednesday. I'll revisit tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 Good luck trying to deal with this kind of gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 I think we're "good to go" with seeing no rainfall. My range is 104-108 for LAF right now for Wednesday. I'll revisit tomorrow evening. Man, you really are all in. I really can't see us getting past 105 or so and that would be if everything goes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Good luck trying to deal with this kind of gradient. Haha, yeah. Makes for a very difficult forecast from eastern Iowa into central Indiana. Smartest thing is to compromise and shoot the middle and wait till early tomorrow morning and see how things are evolving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Man, you really are all in. I really can't see us getting past 105 or so and that would be if everything goes right. Truth be told, I'm banking on the usual LAF warm bias...which seems to be back. Really though, Wed seems like one of the better set ups we've seen to "go nuts". Flies in the ointment remain of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 Truth be told, I'm banking on the usual LAF warm bias...which seems to be back. Really though, Wed seems like one of the better set ups we've seen to "go nuts". Flies in the ointment remain of course. Model consensus other than the GFS (EC/NAM/UKMET/GGEM) has 850 mb temps increasing to about 25C. Should have a deep mixing regime with favorable WSW flow at the surface and probably not too many clouds around. About the only thing that is not "classic" is the positioning of the mid level ridge but this may be a minor detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 It's still 89 at MDW as of midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I think we're "good to go" with seeing no rainfall. My range is 104-108 for LAF right now for Wednesday. I'll revisit tomorrow evening. LOL I like it! Only problem I have with the heat is working in it. Just spent the last 12 hours in the heat working. I figure the way this summer has gone why not try to shoot for the top? I dont think we wil surpass many of the marks set in 1934-1936 but I'd love to try. Ya, Weds. looks good for some 103-108 action in most of Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 It's still 89 at MDW as of midnight. As of 1:20am its still 87.4 at my house. Same at the airport the last 2 hours. If I remember correct this is the warmest its been so late at night at my house this year. Very close also for IND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I guess we will probably end up around 75 tonight here, makes the chances of another 90 degree pretty easy barring any convective debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 The low temp at ORD on Mon was 81. This breaks the previous record max min of 78 (1965). This is the 2nd 80+ low temp of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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