weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 What ever happened with Saturday? I never looked at it but the NWS doesn't have t'storms in the forecast anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 What ever happened with Saturday? I never looked at it but the NWS doesn't have t'storms in the forecast anymore. I still have a 30% chance from OKX. Today looks like it will be a decent day for areas to your south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Man these instability values are quite impressive for such awful mid-level lapse rates. BTW, snowNH still lurks around and reads the board. He says hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 12Z SPC WRF is pretty robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 12Z SPC WRF is pretty robust. wow it actually is. Has a prety decent line working through southern NH through eastern MA and then another from western/southern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 This instability is awesome... SBcapes...between 2500-3500 J/KG MLcape...between 2000-3000 J/KG (THIS IS SICK) MUcape...between 2500-4000 J/KG LI...between -5C and -7C Ncape...between 0.15 and 0.25 (This is solid given the mid-level lapse rates) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 This instability is awesome... SBcapes...between 2500-3500 J/KG MLcape...between 2000-3000 J/KG (THIS IS SICK) MUcape...between 2500-4000 J/KG LI...between -5C and -7C Ncape...between 0.15 and 0.25 (This is solid given the mid-level lapse rates) It's really that cap near 600mb that is preventing this from taking off, but the airmass is juiced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 There is a chance some storms could pop over Se NY state and into CT/RI/maybe SE MA in a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 It's really that cap near 600mb that is preventing this from taking off, but the airmass is juiced. That plus 500mb heights are rising rather quickly. We'll just have to hope that second vort max near 0z can do some magic. I guess this is what the 12z mesos are suggesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 BTV rad lighting up decently. also, some sicknasty storms up in CA. I want some of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 There is a chance some storms could pop over Se NY state and into CT/RI/maybe SE MA in a couple of hours. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 We gonna get ripped in NH ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Agreed. What do you envision happening later? Will we see more in the way of isolated activity or more in the way of scattered? Big severe or just run of the mill? Looks like mid-level lapse rates have steepened just a tad over the past hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 We gonna get ripped in NH ftw Yeah nasty complex entering VT from Canada...it's warned now. Will pass through here and looks on track for NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Just had a shower pass through a few minutes ago. There was some heavy rain with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 A few cells popping in E MA. That's a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 It's nice to see cells popping up but we really want to see are cells that are breaking through that cap around 600mb...if cells can get above that they will be highly nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 The key to these storms is getting their cores above 20kft. So far the ones I've seen haven't really exploded through. The real juicy CAPE is up there so any cores that get above the 25kft level can really go to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Popcorn... We'll see what this does. Towering Cu already scaring off people from fireworks along Esplanade tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 What app is that for iphone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 What app is that for iphone? radarscope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 radarscope That's the one that's $10, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 That's the one that's $10, right? Yes. I love that app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 If you look at the showers that have formed they're all capped around 15,000 feet. Updrafts hitting a wall at that level. What we need to see is whether that cap weakens over the next few hours and updrafts can tap into the fat CAPE above 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Someone from here suggested that to me...I was going to buy that when I get my check on Thursday. I bought these two other apps that were $10 and $4...there was also one other one I was going to buy I think but I forgot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 That's the one that's $10, right? totally worth it non-subscription GR3 data was invaluable tornado chasing in the Plains earlier this year (we had mobile broadband and subscription GR3 with us too)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Our 18z WRF is coming in and boy does it get impressive later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 weather 4d is the other one I want to buy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 totally worth it non-subscription GR3 data was invaluable tornado chasing in the Plains earlier this year (we had mobile broadband and subscription GR3 with us too)... There are so many amazing apps out there. So far I have... Weathergeek pro 2 Weatherwall mobile which is awesome weatherTAP MyWeather for svr alerts Next I'll be getting radarscope and weather 4d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 4, 2012 Share Posted July 4, 2012 Our 18z WRF is coming in and boy does it get impressive later. Post images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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