CandymanColumbusGA Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 June: 0.8/0/0 Seasonal: 16.1/6.8/3.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Rainstorm, is that you? Obvious troll is obvious Rainstorm doesn't hate tropical storms close to as much as I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 A 2011 survivor speaks from the heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 A 2011 survivor speaks from the heart. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Oh, cool... this is interesting! Before I submit mine, can someone explain the decimal places? I was figuring it to be only whole numbers. I'm a newbie to this, so that aspect, and the scoring system, does not make much sense to me. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I guessed 10\4\2 on another board, but because of a potential later start to the el nino which I didn't take into effect Im going to raise my numbers to 14\8\5 as for June 2\1\0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Oh, cool... this is interesting! Before I submit mine, can someone explain the decimal places? I was figuring it to be only whole numbers. I'm a newbie to this, so that aspect, and the scoring system, does not make much sense to me. Thank you I round forecasts to the nearest tenth of a storm, so you can guess decimals if you want. It's really for hedging your bets more than anything. If you believe there's a 50/50 chance you'll get 1 or 2 storms in June, you might go with 1.5 to try to minimize potential losses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Season: 14/7/4 June: 1/0/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I round forecasts to the nearest tenth of a storm, so you can guess decimals if you want. It's really for hedging your bets more than anything. If you believe there's a 50/50 chance you'll get 1 or 2 storms in June, you might go with 1.5 to try to minimize potential losses. Thank you for explaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Season: 16/7/3 June: 2/1/0 Good luck (or skill, in most cases), everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
My Weather Today Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 June: 2/1/1 Season: 19/15/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike.Ventrice Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 June: 1/1/0 Season: 15/6/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Seasonal: 14/7/3 June: 1/0/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 June: 0.8/0/0 Season: 14/5/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 June - 1/0/0 Season - 15/8/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 June.......0.2-1.3/0.0-0.8/0.0-0.2 Season....9-15/4-8/1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 June.......0.2-1.3/0.0-0.8/0.0-0.2 Season....9-15/4-8/1-3 If you give me a range, I'm going to use the mean of the range as your forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 If you give me a range, I'm going to use the mean of the range as your forecast. That's fine, I just want folks to get a feel for my uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Season: 13/4/2 June: 0/0/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 12/5/2 1/0/0 for June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted June 4, 2012 Share Posted June 4, 2012 14/6.5/3 June: 1/0/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanBelles Posted June 4, 2012 Share Posted June 4, 2012 Seasonal: 14/5/2 June: 2/1.5/0 Thanks isohume for providing a range rather than a pinpoint forecast. If it weren't a contest I would personally be against putting in numbers without showing uncertainty.. BTW...on a side note, who do I PM to get my met badge, recent FSU grad. Thanks in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted June 4, 2012 Share Posted June 4, 2012 Season: 15/7/pi (if Beryl is upgraded to a hurricane in post-analysis, 15/8/pi). June: 1.5/(1/3)/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted June 4, 2012 Share Posted June 4, 2012 Season: 11/7/3 June: 1/0/0 It's not the same having a tropical contest without Rainstorm's participation. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted June 4, 2012 Share Posted June 4, 2012 Baaaahaha. I forgot to put in a forecast myself. Looks like I'll be getting a 10% penalty this month. Season: 13/6/3 June: 1.2/0.4/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted June 4, 2012 Share Posted June 4, 2012 Surprised nobody is expecting 20+ storms (except Roger Smith <3), I feel like an outlier right now but I know i'll be closer to reality than most based on what I'm seeing right now in the SOI and ENSO state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 One storm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Season 13.5 /5 /2.5 June 2/0/0 I like my June 2/0/0 right now, with Chris as a gift from NHC, but based on last two posts in ENSO thread from GaWx and Mike Ventrice, may tweak seasonal numbers down a little... Not full bore 1997, where most of the season is over by mid-July, but maybe a split between 1997 and previous numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 NHC giveth, NHC taketh away, my 2/0/0 was looking so perfect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 NHC giveth, NHC taketh away, my 2/0/0 was looking so perfect... At this rate, it may be 2/2/0 before all is said and done. I'll take my half-piece of crow medium well, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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