Mr Torchey Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Joe, I've seen you use BDR for a low and some other spot nearby for a high. I remember Will questioned you about it as well. How have I been owned? I think I've nailed the warm temps and the breaks in the torch we've had...the ones the KFS misses and SCF nailed. I'm not out to dumb down the torch. No doubt it has been warm. I am here to reduce the weenie-ism that can run rampant with good old meteorology and facts. I see a blow torch possible Friday and Saturday next week, so don't say I'm a doom and gloomer. My response to you was directed to you once again making a comment seconds after I posted my obs earlier. What station would you like me to use, the weather bug I found less than a mile from my house or BDR, just let me know. Even if my temp is warmer or colder I will just use them since you link me to BDR all the time. Never once said you were a doom and gloomer, your response was sarcastic in nature and I gave it right back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Monthlies through yesterday and todays dailies Bos +0.3 +9 Bdl +1.5 +10 Pvd +0.8 +8 Orh +1.3 +10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Ok where is that from WSFB? Well BOX forecast of mid 70's is funny at the opposite end of the spectrum..middle 80;s are reasonable SAT-MON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 This thread got way too personal. Come on weenies. Just discuss the wx..No need for tantrums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 My response to you was directed to you once again making a comment seconds after I posted my obs earlier. What station would you like me to use, the weather bug I found less than a mile from my house or BDR, just let me know. Even if my temp is warmer or colder I will just use them since you link me to BDR all the time. Never once said you were a doom and gloomer, your response was sarcastic in nature and I gave it right back. It doesn't matter what you use. Look at Kevin, he uses Montpelier VT all the time but he's consistent. It's fine. If you use that station nearby you then that's all good as long as you're consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Well BOX forecast of mid 70's is funny at the opposite end of the spectrum..middle 80;s are reasonable SAT-MON That station might be the worst of all time, based on previous forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Where is Will? Sebatical? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Just saw that the MEX has 91F for CON on Sunday with 850s around 16C...lol. 18z GFS looks just aS hot with the upper ridge closed off over NYC. We may be in BOS that day too. Hopefully the more tame EC verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Stick to weather discussion and keep the snide remark posts in their appropriate thread. Too many people on edge as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 LOL 12z GFS would have 85 while euro 65 on some days next week. 18z GFS seems to hint at that weak low now. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 LOL 12z GFS would have 85 while euro 65 on some days next week. 18z GFS seems to hint at that weak low now. Interesting. Probably some sort of compromise..Like 75-80 with maybe showers/storms on one or 2 of the days..but no 60's and no 90. Both of those extremes seem wrong until the death torch end of week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Probably some sort of compromise..Like 75-80 with maybe showers/storms on one or 2 of the days..but no 60's and no 90. Both of those extremes seem wrong until the death torch end of week It's possible one day may stink, but yeah a compromise would be more srly flow afterwards with some sct shwrs or a tstm. Another bout of rain and then mild temps would being the Amazon to SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 It's possible one day may stink, but yeah a compromise would be more srly flow afterwards with some sct shwrs or a tstm. Another bout of rain and then mild temps would being the Amazon to SNE. I can't believe how much and fast the grass has grown . I mean it's longer than MRG hair in many spots and I moed last Friday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 66.4 here at the eagle hill school 67 on the sand bar sensational evening, breathtaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 66.4 here at the eagle hill school 67 on the sand bar sensational evening, breathtaking. LOL, no need to specify man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 The table below shows the current May departure (including today), the forecast for the next five days provided by the BOX and OKX PFM, and the resulting departure through the 21st. The last section of the table shows the departure required over the final ten days of the month to reach the indicated monthly departure. Looks like a +4 or greater departure may be out of reach unless we really torch over the next five days. MAY THURSDAY MAY 17 FRIDAY MAY 18 SATURDAY MAY 19 SUNDAY MAY 20 MONDAY MAY 21 MAY MONTHLY DEPARTURE CUR NORM FORECAST NORM FORECAST NORM FORECAST NORM FORECAST NORM FORECAST PROJ MAY 22-31 DEPARTURE ID DEP LO/HI LO/HI DEP LO/HI LO/HI DEP LO/HI LO/HI DEP LO/HI LO/HI DEP LO/HI LO/HI DEP DEP + 3.5 + 4.0 + 4.5 + 5.0 + 5.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BOS +0.8 50/66 54/69 + 4 50/67 49/69 + 1 51/67 55/74 + 6 51/67 54/74 + 5 51/68 56/69 + 3 +1.5 + 7.7 + 9.3 +10.8 +12.4 +13.9 BDL +2.0 48/72 50/72 + 1 48/72 44/74 - 1 49/72 52/78 + 5 49/72 52/79 + 5 49/73 55/72 + 3 +2.1 + 6.4 + 8.0 + 9.5 +11.1 +12.6 ORH +1.8 47/66 48/67 + 1 47/67 44/69 - 1 48/67 53/74 + 6 48/67 51/75 + 6 48/67 53/70 + 4 +2.1 + 6.4 + 8.0 + 9.5 +11.1 +12.6 PVD +1.3 49/69 51/72 + 3 49/69 47/71 0 49/69 52/73 + 4 50/70 53/74 + 4 50/70 55/69 + 2 +1.6 + 7.5 + 9.0 +10.6 +12.1 +13.7 BDR +2.7 51/68 51/72 + 2 51/68 50/70 + 1 52/69 52/73 + 2 52/69 55/69 + 2 52/69 56/67 + 1 +2.4 + 5.8 + 7.4 + 8.9 +10.5 +12.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Well GFS now has the little coastal low next week, but euro is en fuego Mem weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Euro ensembles still keep the best heat out west, but I think a piece of it will try to break off into SNE at some point Mem weekend. Hopefully it means ring of fire stuff too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Next week is rather inclement on the euro. Certainly not all that nice with lots of E-SE winds and rain. Euro has another heavy rain event and then remaining unsettled through the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Next week is rather inclement on the euro. Certainly not all that nice with lots of E-SE winds and rain. Euro has another heavy rain event and then remaining unsettled through the week. Both the gfs and euro have it wet for mon and tue scott? Washouts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Well 90's for all of New Eng. Sat-Mon on Mem Day Weekend. Brutal. We thought this would happen modelwise and now it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Both the gfs and euro have it wet for mon and tue scott? Washouts? GFS isn't a washout, but the euro is wet here. It's not bad in NJ, but with the ULL around..it looks like some shwrs around, especially in the aftn down there. Doesn't look all that bad there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Think the GFS is going to be more right and Euro more wrong. I would not be expecting a washout anywhere..Just warm.muggy/temps in 70's with showers/storms..similiar to this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Think the GFS is going to be more right and Euro more wrong. I would not be expecting a washout anywhere..Just warm.muggy/temps in 70's with showers/storms..similiar to this week GFS is caving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 GFS is caving. There;s not going to be an all day or multiple day rainy washout..Euro is not going to win that..It's late May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 There;s not going to be an all day or multiple day rainy washout..Euro is not going to win that..It's late May Nobody said multi day wash out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Nobody said multi day wash out. We can agree it will be something similiar to what we had this week..with times of showers/ storms and sun/muggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 We can agree it will be something similiar to what we had this week..with times of showers/ storms and sun/muggy Eh, maybe. Just not the prettiest week, but maybe it works out like that. Besides, I wouldn't mind some more rain to reduce the deficit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 We can agree it will be something similiar to what we had this week..with times of showers/ storms and sun/muggy Temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 58 degrees at 41.12N 73.31W sunny skies more perfection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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