Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 That stuff near Buf has its eyes on Pete, Mitch to Will me thinks. Like I said this AM, betcha they do best surface accumulation wise. It will be interesting, its supposed to slide southeast from there/ might stay up to see what happens, working all day Sunday, so tomorrow is my weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Ground truth is pretty unimpressive so far out in W NY...we'll have to see that improve as it moves east. I'm not sold yet on this one...it has that feeling like 2/24 where it could be decent in a narrow area but otherwise it gets chewed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Spatially this won't miss... Models busting slightly too far S with in western NY ...etc, but I am not sure about the physics of the thing. The dry air and the DP depression is deep! Would have to burst to overcome - could almost see it pounding sleet while the last of the trapped 40F diurnally heat air crashes to the DP...then some snow, then a quick end. This thing is hauling ass! Rad bark worse than bite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 36F/19 Moon is barely visible through the clouds. Woodsmoke in the air. xxx winter incoming Nice! I am finally burning the apple I cut way back in the early fall, house smells awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 BOX senses some of the issues as well THE OTHER QUESTION IS PTYPE. TEMPERATURES AT 925 MB AND 950 MB START THE EVENING ABOVE FREEZING BUT COOL BELOW FREEZING DURING THE NIGHT. HIGHER LEVELS ARE BELOW FREEZING ALL NIGHT. EVAPORATIVE COOLING IN THE DRY AIR FAVORS SNOW TEMPS. THIS SUGGESTS INITIAL PTYPE AS SNOW. TIME OF DAY ALSO FAVORS SNOW. WARM GROUND/TIME OF YEAR/ONSHORE FLOW WILL WORK AGAINST THIS. WE WENT WITH INITIAL SNOW EXCEPT IN THE SOUTH WHERE SURFACE TEMPS SHOULD BE TOO WARM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Pete, are there flakes by you attm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Like to see these south winds veer east then ene soon, at the very least give it a more raw feeling, pretty mild out there right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Watched the cloud deck move in this evening while golfing. Cold round, temps here currently ranging from 36-39 high to low elevation. Looks good for a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Pete, are there flakes by you attm? Just got in after driving home through Peru and no flakes to report yet. Looks and feels like snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 41/20, where's that warm air? Dropping steadily. Some echoes high above, can that work to saturate the column at least a little? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Lot of sleet reports to the west and north west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Lot of sleet reports to the west and north west. Where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Where? Seneca area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 WOW bdr's dew point went from 18 to 33 in one hour, impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 WOW bdr's dew point went from 18 to 33 in one hour, impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 yep, hvn up to 33 and gon up to 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 WOW bdr's dew point went from 18 to 33 in one hour, impressive. Yikes. still 41/20 here. Temp not really dropping that fast anymore though, I guess it's going to take precip falling to bring it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Yikes. still 41/20 here. Temp not really dropping that fast anymore though, I guess it's going to take precip falling to bring it down. Probably just rain down there huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Probably just rain down there huh? Unlikely. Down on the coast it's rather obvious but we'll wetbulb down to 31-33. Might have a hard time accumulating under lighter echoes but we'll probably scrape 1-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Hilton, NY check it out http://www.monroetech.com/webcam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Unlikely. Down on the coast it's rather obvious but we'll wetbulb down to 31-33. Might have a hard time accumulating under lighter echoes but we'll probably scrape 1-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Learn some science Pete lol Whats the temperature IYBY? I don't care what it is at your work site or in Lima or whatever at 2k feet...what is it at your house? Do you have a thermometer or do you use your hair to tell the TD lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Hilton, NY check it out http://www.monroetech.com/webcam/ Christ. Why can't I just view the freaking site without installing the "active X" add on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Christ. Why can't I just view the freaking site without installing the "active X" add on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Jaffrey is at 42/10 so whatever falls tonight should be snow, but I have a feeling the bulk of the system misses to the south as is the consensus on most models. My winter moments in the Monadnocks are running out...I got a teaching fellowship in NYC for next year so these are my last months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Learn some science Pete lol I guess the good folks at BOX should learn some science as well. Look at the forecast they put out for you, Tonight: Rain likely before 2am, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday: Rain, mainly before noon. High near 43. North wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northeast wind between 5 and 8 mph becoming calm. Sunday: A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming south between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Sunday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 I'm just messin' with you Chris. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 I guess the good folks at BOX should learn some science as well. Look at the forecast they put out for you, Tonight: Rain likely before 2am, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday: Rain, mainly before noon. High near 43. North wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northeast wind between 5 and 8 mph becoming calm. Sunday: A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming south between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Sunday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. That forecasters name is Mr. Roboto I heard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 I guess the good folks at BOX should learn some science as well. Look at the forecast they put out for you, Tonight: Rain likely before 2am, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday: Rain, mainly before noon. High near 43. North wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northeast wind between 5 and 8 mph becoming calm. Sunday: A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming south between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Sunday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. If he's in NW CT, that would be the good folks at WFO Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Smellin bustorama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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