The Iceman Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Better check out the new NAM...cuts the precip. in half. pretty similar to 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 pretty similar to 12z gfs yeah, i just looked too. It dropped a little, but not in half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 currently 40F here but dew point's down at 22F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Latest CTP snowmap, includes both tonights initial snows as well as the snows associated with the Arctic front tomorrow. Also a good detailed discussion this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Better check out the new NAM...cuts the precip. in half. It's 18Z no worries. It being 18Z doesn't matter - it's a significant dropoff here. Will have to see 0Z to know if this is just a blip. Anyone else with any thoughts on the 18Z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It being 18Z doesn't matter - it's a significant dropoff here. Will have to see 0Z to know if this is just a blip. Anyone else with any thoughts on the 18Z NAM? earlier MDT was at 3.9, then 18Z it went to 3.5, so just a small drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Thanks for the timing answers, everyone. As a thank you, here's a purple squirrel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It being 18Z doesn't matter - it's a significant dropoff here. Will have to see 0Z to know if this is just a blip. Anyone else with any thoughts on the 18Z NAM? It kinda does. 18Z for the past 2 storms have went dry before 0Z cam back even wetter then previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I am thinking 2-4 inches for SRV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Thanks for the timing answers, everyone. As a thank you, here's a purple squirrel. Lol i posted the Accuwx article about the purple squirrel a couple nights ago, he resides up close to wsptwx. Maybe he got so depressed from the lack of snow to frolic in so he tried to off himself in an porta-potty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Lol i posted the Accuwx article about the purple squirrel a couple nights ago, he resides up close to wsptwx. Maybe he got so depressed from the lack of snow to frolic in so he tried to off himself in an porta-potty. I can't freaking believe those people released him. I declare him, whereever he is, as our thread's official mascot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 earlier MDT was at 3.9, then 18Z it went to 3.5, so just a small drop. It kinda does. 18Z for the past 2 storms have went dry before 0Z cam back even wetter then previous run. Well, one thing I've learned for arctic fronts is I don't really put too much on the models for them. I've been disappointed and thrilled by them, no matter what the models were saying in the leadup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Well, one thing I've learned for arctic fronts is I don't really put too much on the models for them. I've been disappointed and thrilled by them, no matter what the models were saying in the leadup. I think there will be an area that gets crushed tomorrow. Not sure where yet. Think it could be like that Lancaster event a few years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I just started a blog myself not too long ago and I just wrote about tonight and tomorrow: http://acmazweather.blogspot.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It being 18Z doesn't matter - it's a significant dropoff here. Will have to see 0Z to know if this is just a blip. Anyone else with any thoughts on the 18Z NAM? The difference in Centre seems to revolve around the arctic front/disturbance tomorrow afternoon. I wouldn't worry about the decrease in qpf too much. Banding and squalls are tough to nail down a day out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 I can't freaking believe those people released him. I declare him, whereever he is, as our thread's official mascot. How do you edit the thread's caption? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I just started a blog myself not too long ago and I just wrote about tonight and tomorrow: http://acmazweather.blogspot.com/ Nice start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Wow...did Jamie and I just agree on something??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 It being 18Z doesn't matter - it's a significant dropoff here. Will have to see 0Z to know if this is just a blip. Anyone else with any thoughts on the 18Z NAM? The difference I saw between the 12 and 18z NAM was associated with this initial wave of precip that will be rolling through this evening. QPF pentrated much further into PA at 12z than it did at 18z. The axis of heaviest snowfall (solid 2 or perhaps a bit more) from this first wave is likely to again run the turnpike corridor with prob an inch or two up our way.. and probably not very much further north. You can also get that vibe from current radar trends as well as latest 18z HRRR. This arctic frontal passage looks like it has more potential, given the dynamics, to deliver a widespread 1-3 to pretty much everyone. That part of the event looks pretty much unchanged on the newer NAM. Take a gander at the CTP afternoon disco, pretty nice explanation of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Wow...did Jamie and I just agree on something??? People can thank us when the widespread 3-4 foot snowstorm hits everyone in mid-March. The difference I saw between the 12 and 18z NAM was associated with this initial wave of precip that will be rolling through this evening. QPF pentrated much further into PA at 12z than it did at 18z. The axis of heaviest snowfall (solid 2 or perhaps a bit more) from this first wave is likely to again run the turnpike corridor with prob an inch or two up our way.. and probably not very much further north. You can also get that vibe from current radar trends as well as latest 18z HRRR. This arctic frontal passage looks like it has more potential, given the dynamics, to deliver a widespread 1-3 to pretty much everyone. That part of the event looks pretty much unchanged on the newer NAM. Take a gander at the CTP afternoon disco, pretty nice explanation of things. Also, looking at radar, it seems like the most snow will fall later tonight. Looks like snow developing in OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 People can thank us when the widespread 3-4 foot snowstorm hits everyone in mid-March. ALERT ALERT lol I'd do something crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It is snowing ever so lightly right now, hopefully we can get the 3" predicted by CTP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It is snowing ever so lightly right now, hopefully we can get the 3" predicted by CTP Yeah there is snow to the north and south of UNV I see. Radar is looking better to our west...hopefully flakes will begin falling in an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 light snow falling here. 36.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Flurries here in lancaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 had a snow shower come through here...still flurrying now. temps dropped down to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Some light snow here. Dusting so far on picnic table. LWX has 3-4" just south of me in their zones hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Snowing nicely in Mechanicsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 light snow with dusting on the deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Steady light snow here in pit. Coating everthing except main roads are wet. Visibility is just under a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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