smoof Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 12z ggem looks a lot like 0z euro fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 12z GEM shows a powerful storm moving from Tulsa to Evansville on Saturday. 999mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The 00z Euro was pretty interesting but like the discos said, it's hard to have confidence given the varying run to run solutions. Would be nice to see it hold up for a few more runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 12z EURO continues to show the possibility of accumulating snow across the Ohio Valley and IND just in time for super bowl weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 18z GFS going to have something big for someone, looks very interesting through 120hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 18z GFS going to have something big for someone, looks very interesting through 120hr. Congrats me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Congrats me. And me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Congrats me. I like how the 18z builds a huge ridge towards Alaska. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 boundary layer temps are questionable but a nice solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 boundary layer temps are questionable but a nice solution. what a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 18z GFS looks "warm". But no reason to sweat the finer details at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 18z GFS looks "warm". But no reason to sweat the finer details at this point. Possible ice storm for the Ohio Valley/Kentucky with snow to the north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Possible ice storm for the Ohio Valley/Kentucky with snow to the north? I can hear it now , Columbus Dispatch "Worst icestorm in 50 years, Snowfall still below average, above normal temperatures continue" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 The 18z solution would be sick for Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 The 18z solution would be sick for Toronto. 33" on Bufkit for KBUF lol... that would be something for synoptic snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 JMA looks like it is on board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 0z NAM has a healthy wave digging into the four corners region at 84hr FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 00z GFS looks like its gonna be weaker and south. EDIT: Much weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 00z GFS looks like its gonna be weaker and south. EDIT: Much weaker Yep. It will change again. I promise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 JMA looks like it is on board... Is this the first sighting of the JMA this winter in GLOV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 0z GEM is way west, a big event in the plains but really craps out before it crosses the ole miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 The models are going to be a mess with this. To many pieces and confusing wavelengths to understand right now. The GFS is sitting in its own vomit by 132hrs. tad better consensus with the 00Z's tomorrow night . . . WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 0115 PM EST SUN 29 JANUARY 2012 SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z JANUARY 2012 WSPOD NUMBER.....11-060 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72 A. P54/ DROP 8 (45.0N 166.0W)/ 31/0000Z B. AFXXX 08WSC TRACK54 C. 30/1830Z D. 17 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 31/0600Z 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A. POSSIBLE TEAL C-130J MISSION FOR P56/ DROP 9 (44.3N 151.0W)/ 01/0000Z. B. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV MISSION FOR P56/ DROP 9 (44.3N 151.0W)/ 01/1200Z. SEF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Euro=nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Euro loves to throw out a super goof run. 12z will have it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 From DTX with reference to the pattern PREDICTABILITY TAKES A NOSEDIVE BEYOND MIDWEEK AS THE MODELS APPEAR TO GRAPPLE WITH WHAT LOOKS LIKE A RE-HASH OF SORTS OF THE PATTERN CHANGE THAT WAS ADVERTISED TO TAKE PLACE EARLIER THIS MONTH (WHICH WAS WAS QUICKLY OVERWHELMED AND REDUCED TO A COUPLE OF TRANSIENT COLD SHOTS). BEGINNING EARLY THIS WEEK THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH DEPICT A 200KT JET STARTING TO WORK ITS AWAY ACROSS THE PACIFIC...ULTIMATELY RESULTING IN A SIMILAR DISLODGING OF THE ALASKAN PV...ETC BY FURTHER OUT IN THE EXTENDED. IF TONIGHT`S 00Z ECMWF - WHICH LOOKS LIKE A BIT OF A TRAINWRECK FROM THE DATELINE TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BEYOND FRIDAY - IS ANY INDICATION...THEN A PERIOD OF LOW PREDICTABILITY MAY IN BE STORE AS THE GUIDANCE TRIES TO GET A HANDLE ON THE SUDDENLY ENERGIZED PACIFIC PATTERN...ALTHOUGH TODAY`S RECON FLIGHT SCHEDULED NEAR 45N/165W OUGHT TO GIVE MODEL PERFORMANCE A BOOST FOR THE ENERGY THAT MAY BE LIFTING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I think ultimitely if anyone can get anything out of this it will be an I70 storm to KC then I80 from there. The Atlantic Side is not going to cooperate and allow enough cold air to really help me out even with an idea track it seems. the GFS has shown a couple runs with some immense cooling in the deformation zone to give us snow here, but without that it is in the 40s and 50s with rain. The NAM is already showing even stronger WAA which seems to happen quite a bit with these closed off lows with some very warm air pumping back in during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Gee, what a surprise. I get up and discover that the storm is gone, and that the cold air is delayed yet again. Looks to be a torch tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 That ECMWF run was why I took up drinking liquor. Need it going down hard to deal with that mess. Lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 lols at 12z..gfs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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