hckyplayer8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 about a tenth less QPF for just about everywhere compared to NAM and GFS but from text data surface and 850mb temps are the coldest of the 3 models Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Cloudy now and 27 at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Still on 26 degrees here @1:30...forecasted high is 32 and no where near it! I think this storm is going to surprise a lot of people, especially here in the valley IMO. My first call is 3-6 inches of snow for my area with possibly up to .25 of ice if indeed we do get warmed up a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I'm at 24 with variable clouds, which are beginning to thicken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I'm at 24 with variable clouds, which are beginning to thicken. what he said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Strange feeling to know snow is actually coming. Just sitting here with weather channel on and watching the snow creep closer is getting me hyped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Still on 26 degrees here @1:30...forecasted high is 32 and no where near it! I think this storm is going to surprise a lot of people, especially here in the valley IMO. My first call is 3-6 inches of snow for my area with possibly up to .25 of ice if indeed we do get warmed up a bit... surface temps have never been an issue with this event... it will be cold enough at surface... its around 850mb that the models bring the 0C line close enough to cause concern if there will be freezing rain/sleet instead of all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 CTP ups ADV an inch Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 139 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012 PAZ025>028-036-056-057-059-063>066-211200- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0005.120121T0000Z-120121T1500Z/ BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION... LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG... HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 139 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE SOUTH-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE DUE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE ADVISORY. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND OR FREEZING RAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 CTP ups ADV an inch Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 139 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012 PAZ025>028-036-056-057-059-063>066-211200- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0005.120121T0000Z-120121T1500Z/ BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION... LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG... HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 139 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE SOUTH-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE DUE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE ADVISORY. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND OR FREEZING RAIN. Right at the advisory/warning borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 They might up this to a warning if trends hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Final Call IPT: 2 to 3 UNV: 2 to 4 MDT: 3 to 5 HGR: 2 to 4 with mix AOO: 3 to 5 JST 3 to 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Any mets here have a start time for Somerset / Bedford / Johnstown? I'm expecting to travel through there between 8:00pm - 11:00pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Any mets here have a start time for Somerset / Bedford / Johnstown? I'm expecting to travel through there between 8:00pm - 11:00pm Looks like right around 8 in jtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 29.5 Degrees, dewpoint 9.8 degrees, pressure 1023 mb and falling IMBY. Wind 5g8 mph WNW. High level Clouds finally starting to roll in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Final Call IPT: 2 to 3 UNV: 2 to 4 MDT: 3 to 5 HGR: 2 to 4 with mix AOO: 3 to 5 JST 3 to 5 JST more than IPT/UNV? Up to a balmy 20 here. Thin clouds coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Eastbound lane of 283 appears to have been treated already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Long range Euro is starting to look a lot like the Oct setup. High latitude ridge over HB with cold pooling underneath said ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Long range Euro is starting to look a lot like the Oct setup. High latitude ridge over HB with cold pooling underneath said ridge. Winter cancel cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 JST more than IPT/UNV? Up to a balmy 20 here. Thin clouds coming in. JST is a crapshoot at this point. Euro 850s, 925s and thicknesses support a marginal snow event. But go south just a few miles and it's a mix-o-rama. I really think the turnpike is going to be the boundary, perhaps as far south as route 30 once east of Breezewood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Defiantly looks more south on radar. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Time to take that and run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 for purpose of nowcasting... Chicago up to 2" with 1" in past hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 A nice comparison of the modeled radar vs. observed: 18z NAM simulated radar valid at 20z: 20z radar: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Does anyone think State College will update the WWA's to winter storm warnings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Kaboom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 A nice comparison of the modeled radar vs. observed: 18z NAM simulated radar valid at 20z: 20z radar: Ya a good 50 miles or more SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Oh yeah, thats definitly south, Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM agreeing with the GFS on a major ice event for Southern portions of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Yeah, we'll likely end around somewhat normal I'd guess. I was rooting for the least amount of snow on record, just to contrast with the wettest year on record (and by nearly 3 entire feet of extra rain). Normal is around 30" and with any luck this one put us at 10"-ish. February forecast issued yesterday by the CPC is not a snow lovers map. I'll vote for a top ten lowest seasonal total when the final tally is complete. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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