ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 its to bad nothing wants to develop this year i would love to see a cat 1 or 2 this year... We had one of the biggest winters.. I saw the the largest hail i have even seen and a tornado in the same day which something hit my windshield and broke it but it was worth it.. Now all i need to see is a hurricane this year and my life of everything weather related will be complete. op Euro places a hurricane magnet over us by day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 new jersey needs an arc on the 18z nam and its only out to 48! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 looks like it also brings a good amount of rain around here to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 i think with placement of the low on the nam it would bring more rainfall up here then it shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 18z nam 72hr total!! WOW http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamp72_NE072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 The tropics will flip like a switch in a week or two..it'll take the global models some time to get the timing right. I think come Aug 30-Sept 5th the EC will have a contender or two. (fish) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 18z nam 72hr total!! WOW http://raleighwx.ame...amp72_NE072.gif It looks like it might be good to have an umbrella in Morristown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 im thinking new jersey w ct w ma and eastern newyork are going to see some huge totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 im thinking new jersey w ct w ma and eastern newyork are going to see some huge totals Looks like the Mass extent would be to SW portion. NW looks okay. Much needed, but not excessive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 18z gfs gives connecticut and mass the most rain what a mess models still dont have a good handle on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 72 hour qpf total! WOW nam and gfs are far apart on where the heavies rains will set up but someone is going to get crushed! http://raleighwx.ame...8zgfsp72072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Walking a picketline is going to just be "great" Temps in the 90's Dews in the 70's with full sun would be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 GFS will be wrong as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/18zgfsensemblep120120.gif GFS will be wrong as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 http://raleighwx.ame...mblep120120.gif Meh..I think a widspread 1-3 is more likely..with maybe some 2-4 inch amts in Western CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/18zp72f084.html almost every ensemble member agrees were in for a soaking Meh..I think a widspread 1-3 is more likely..with maybe some 2-4 inch amts in Western CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Meh..I think a widspread 1-3 is more likely..with maybe some 2-4 inch amts in Western CT A preview of winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 will the washout be underway tomorrow night in full force? Outdoor concert to go to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 seems to me that the 0z nam is going to shift north and east with the heaviest rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 GFS will be wrong as usual NAM caves to GFS, north and east she goes.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 i think the nam is going to give some huge totals around here NAM caves to GFS, north and east she goes.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 nam has almost no precip where it is pouring right now in jersey and eastern ny overperformer ftw i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_ref_000s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 SREFs now hitting southern newengland hard http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201107_model.html a little off topic but this makes me wonder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 SREFs now hitting southern newengland hard Please refrain from multiple posts/ try combining thoughts in to one large post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 sorry about that just posting as i look at the models Please refrain from multiple posts/ try combining thoughts in to one large post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 sorry about that just posting as i look at the models Don't worry about it. I do it all of the time. If you click Edit on your post, you can go in a edit a post. Its good to use when you want to add more stuff into you previous post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 SREF mean is 4" over NYC. Thats amazing for an ensemble mean. Our 12km mesoscale model has 7.5" in Fairfield County lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 SREF mean is 4" over NYC. Thats amazing for an ensemble mean. Our 12km mesoscale model has 7.5" in Fairfield County lol. Ryan, what is the game time for this, just got back from vacation and I am stressed out about taking care of my properties!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Ryan, what is the game time for this, just got back from vacation and I am stressed out about taking care of my properties!!!! Tomorrow and Monday look pretty wet. Start drying out Tuesday but still a chance of showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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