CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 also, folks watch the convection over/near Lake Superior... Models have convective QPF migrating through S/SE Ontario and deflect that E of us but I have my worries... These MCS tend to ...well, ALWAYS go S of guidance as they tend to turn SE along the geopotential isopleth gradient - why the models can't physically handle that I am not sure.. Anyway, we see what it did in southern lower Michigan with MCS that punch into the ridge, and they are just now 80F in a few locations where there is Heat Warn underway. We have a shot perhaps late Thursday night I think. Something to watch, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Ok 84 outside, 76 muggy degrees inside and the switch has been flipped on the a/c. Good luck non-a/c people. We have a shot perhaps late Thursday night I think. Something to watch, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 SST now up to 74 at ack sound....can feel that immediately when winds go south down here now as dews jump to the lower 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Perhaps ... Keep in mind though that the hottest readings in our neck of the woods are August found. Also, one thing I am noticing about that big ridge signaled is that the lower troposphere is out of phase with the mid-lvls, ...kinda of keeping with your "purest" idea. In this case, the height may balloon but the llv gradient may not be available to transport. Of course, ...could all just be depictions errors due to the long lead, too. They are? I thought the average high temp hit is peak sometime within the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Still quite a bit of smoke in the sky here obscuring the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 FWIW, the SPC WRF does have a line of storms coming through late tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Here it comes... FIT 201652 FEW050 10 91 64 2311G15 110 201552 CLR 10 87 60 1708 119 201452 CLR 10 84 59 1809 125 Notice the DP spike and temp jump with SW wind acceleration = warm front. Next ob due up shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 SST now up to 74 at ack sound....can feel that immediately when winds go south down here now as dews jump to the lower 70s No kidding any time we switch to a southerly component DPs shoot into the 70s. Even the buoy 25 miles S of Montauk is into the mid 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 FWIW, the SPC WRF does have a line of storms coming through late tomorrow. Cantore was saying something like 9000 jkg CAPE last night in the dakotas. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 No kidding any time we switch to a southerly component DPs shoot into the 70s. Even the buoy 25 miles S of Montauk is into the mid 70s. Out of curiosity, are those SSTs above normal for this time of year? I honestly have no real idea on what is normal with regards to the ocean and coastline temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Out of curiosity, are those SSTs above normal for this time of year? I honestly have no real idea on what is normal with regards to the ocean and coastline temps. It's about a month ahead of normal just based off my experience. But it really depends, south coastal waters are heavily dependent (and easily warmed) on above average summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Tip what are we looking at for dews tomorrow? 71? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Cantore was saying something like 9000 jkg CAPE last night in the dakotas. Lol. LOL 85F dews. I guess that's what happens when you put a 600 decameter ridge over saturated ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Tip what are we looking at for dews tomorrow? 71? I think Scott has a better handle on that... MOS products are 70-75, but we also tend to dry here with downslope W and WSW/WNW winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 87.1, valley torching today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 It's about a month ahead of normal just based off my experience. But it really depends, south coastal waters are heavily dependent (and easily warmed) on above average summers. Cool, thanks man. Ocean temps in the 70s seemed warm to me... I seem to always remember going to Misquamicut in the summer as a kid and having the ocean temps be in like the 55-60F range or something chilly like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Friday sizzlefest on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 90 at BDL...TORCH!!! I can't wait till y'all experience 78-80 degree dews this week Relish it..we may never see it again for many years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Probably a re-torch after next week's cool down. AMOUTEG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 SST now up to 74 at ack sound....can feel that immediately when winds go south down here now as dews jump to the lower 70s Where I can I find this buoy info? The BOX SST link temps near Nantucket always seemed to be so much colder, are these temps accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Cool, thanks man. Ocean temps in the 70s seemed warm to me... I seem to always remember going to Misquamicut in the summer as a kid and having the ocean temps be in like the 55-60F range or something chilly like that. 70 is still a** freezing cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Friday sizzlefest on the Euro. Why anyone would wish for this type of weather is beyond me... it gets too hot to even do normal outdoor activities. This is the first day I find myself sitting inside all summer long... no desire to hike or bike in this weather. Even walking the golf course gets uncomfortable. Mowing the lawn becomes a true chore and everytime you get in your car it feels like its 110F inside it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 70 is still a** freezing cold haha oh ok... maybe it was 60s then and my childhood memories are failing me. 70F didn't register as cold to me for some reason... its about the temp of Lake Champlain as of a week or two ago and that doesn't feel *that* bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Why anyone would wish for this type of weather is beyond me... it gets too hot to even do normal outdoor activities. This is the first day I find myself sitting inside all summer long... no desire to hike or bike in this weather. Even walking the golf course gets uncomfortable. Mowing the lawn becomes a true chore and everytime you get in your car it feels like its 110F inside it. I don't wish it, but it's here. Might as well embrace it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Water temps bump up and down from day to day a lot more than people expect. Here in Newport at the south coast beaches summer temps can be as low as 65 even in August on days with Northerly winds and can briefly bump up to 75-76 on really hot days with calm waves in late July and August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Water temps bump up and down from day to day a lot more than people expect. Here in Newport at the south coast beaches summer temps can be as low as 65 even in August on days with Northerly winds and can briefly bump up to 75-76 on really hot days with calm waves in late July and August. Plus it's only SST. Five feet down and it's still bone chilling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 I don't wish it, but it's here. Might as well embrace it. True enough... from a purely meteorological standpoint it is interesting. A different sort of "extreme weather event" than we are normally used to. I think its about time to suck it up and go find something to do outside. Enjoy the heat everyone. 85/63 currently, tied for my hottest July temp so far (until tomorrow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 relatively cool canadian HP early next week on the euro...850s down under 8C for a lot of NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 What are euro temps for tomorrow and Friday? 40c? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 I'm 100% with you here... It can only be the desire for extreme wx which is understandable as a wx weenie. But I find it too painful to wish for this kind of wx. Why anyone would wish for this type of weather is beyond me... it gets too hot to even do normal outdoor activities. This is the first day I find myself sitting inside all summer long... no desire to hike or bike in this weather. Even walking the golf course gets uncomfortable. Mowing the lawn becomes a true chore and everytime you get in your car it feels like its 110F inside it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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