CranberryWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 The individual cells are making the right hand turn and movement is becoming more west to east. The one that had that signature for a while is going to slide off to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Afternoon disco from LWX regarding severe tomorrow is meh to poor (as in the chance of it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Warning now heading right for you Teays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 Well the one has some weak rotation Weak rotation does not warrant a warning, unless the forecaster is confident that the rotation is going to quickly increase. These cells have not displayed any such behavior as they have remained weak. and the other has hail indicator of 2.11. A computer can't tell you what is really going on with a storm. It can tell you that a storm has 2.75" hail inside it, but if the LCL is at 1500' you can bet your ass that baseballs won't come crashing through your car window. Stop talking and try learning more about how to interpret what the radar and computations are really showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Weak rotation does not warrant a warning, unless the forecaster is confident that the rotation is going to quickly increase. These cells have not displayed any such behavior as they have remained weak. A computer can't tell you what is really going on with a storm. It can tell you that a storm has 2.75" hail inside it, but if the LCL is at 1500' you can bet your ass that baseballs won't come crashing through your car window. Stop talking and try learning more about how to interpret what the radar and computations are really showing. Fiesty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Weak rotation does not warrant a warning, unless the forecaster is confident that the rotation is going to quickly increase. These cells have not displayed any such behavior as they have remained weak. A computer can't tell you what is really going on with a storm. It can tell you that a storm has 2.75" hail inside it, but if the LCL is at 1500' you can bet your ass that baseballs won't come crashing through your car window. Stop talking and try learning more about how to interpret what the radar and computations are really showing. And there is a warning now so ya thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Severe Thunderstorm Warning for my backyard...they said they detected some rotation but don't expect it to develop into anything. That cell is making a bee line right down I-64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Fiesty Woody doesn't want folks crowding his kitchen. He's top dog for the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 And both the cells I been speaking of have warnings. 60 MPH winds + quarter sized hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 And there is a warning now so ya thanks. Hah! Only after the cell strengthened about 15-20 minutes after you said it should be warned (which still didn't need the warning until that last scan). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Hah! Only after the cell strengthened about 15-20 minutes after you said it should be warned (which still didn't need the warning until that last scan). Pretty sure it's been the same strength the whole time but, whatever you say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 Pretty sure it's been the same strength the whole time but, whatever you say. Then you really don't know how to read a radar. VILs have somewhat increased, rotation has slightly improved, and clouds tops have risen as well (which would indicate stronger updrafts capable of sustaining larger hail. They certainly didn't meet warning criteria back when you were "Shocked [there was] only one warned." EDIT: qualified VIL statement more clearly. ---- And now the more southern cell has pulsed down. Northern cell still looks good as it finally heads into the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Then you really don't know how to read a radar. VILs have increased, rotation has slightly improved, and clouds tops have risen as well (which would indicate stronger updrafts capable of sustaining larger hail. They certainly didn't meet warning criteria back when you were "Shocked [there was] only one warned." I did see the vils they were 75-85 for a while before warned. I done arguing about it. Mute point anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Mute point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Cold pool propagation and a MA beat down.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Seems we need some severe weather of our own Anything on the horizon for the future Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Seems we need some severe weather of our own Anything on the horizon for the future Ian? Despair, hallucinations.. Anger. The usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Despair, hallucinations.. Anger. The usual. Would not have it any other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Despair, hallucinations.. Anger. The usual. Im gonna kill myself, dont tell the local authorities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 ---- And now the more southern cell has pulsed down. Northern cell still looks good as it finally heads into the region. If it's the same one I was watching, a small cell developed south of it and crossed paths with it heading more northerly just as it got to my county. That killed the bigger one...and now it's going to merge with the northern warned cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Im gonna kill myself, dont tell the local authorities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 His four emoticons didn't give it away that he was kidding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 His four emoticons didn't give it away that he was kidding? I just felt like adding another one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Im gonna kill myself, dont tell the local authorities well the good news (since it's been mostly painful after the early start) is our typical svr season is heading to the end.. maybe we can have some slow-moving july lightning storms. im tempted to go to FL to go sea breeze hunting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 I just felt like adding another one Yours was, by far, the most appropriate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 If it's the same one I was watching, a small cell developed south of it and crossed paths with it heading more northerly just as it got to my county. That killed the bigger one...and now it's going to merge with the northern warned cell. Northern cell now weakening as it crosses into WV... outflow dominant. New cell doesn't seem to be doing much. When these storms collide, there could be a brief spin-up where the boundaries intersect (though it would be VERY brief). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Yours was, by far, the most appropriate well i dont know if anyone recalls over at EUSWx when I told trix I was gonna hit her over the head with a baseball bat. I felt bad for that, I really did (not saying she didnt deserve it tho). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 what a miserable event east of the apps... too many clouds yesterday. way too many today. cold front passing too early tomorrow. tuesday might end up the most interesting and it was only isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 what a miserable event... too many clouds yesterday. way too many today. cold front passing too early tomorrow. tuesday might end up the most interesting and it was only isolated. Penis shadow wins again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 what a miserable event... too many clouds yesterday. way too many today. cold front passing too early tomorrow. tuesday might end up the most interesting and it was only isolated. Mid-Atlantic just fails all over. To far south for massive nor'easter wins like NE and to far east for good severe from plains lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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