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I drove from NJ up here on Tuesday and hit that line of storms in Greene County - a lot of vivid cloud to cloud lightning started all the way down near SWF to my west, but the skies didn't open up with torrential rain until I was in southern Greene County. Then I drove north and out of it and this lovely weather commenced.

Yesterday didn't get out of the upper 60's and today it is sunny and 70 at 3:30 PM.....

I :sleepy: right thru it :lol:

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I drove from NJ up here on Tuesday and hit that line of storms in Greene County - a lot of vivid cloud to cloud lightning started all the way down near SWF to my west, but the skies didn't open up with torrential rain until I was in southern Greene County. Then I drove north and out of it and this lovely weather commenced.

Yesterday didn't get out of the upper 60's and today it is sunny and 70 at 3:30 PM.....

I am actualy cold this morning sitting outside this morning, not bad for July 1st but it will be short lived.

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I am actualy cold this morning sitting outside this morning

What a sissy! :P

Short lived, as you said but glorious. I have a gathering tomorrow with the fella's to play horsehoes all afternoon and then having the larger family over on Monday for a party. I avoided Sunday which looks to be the worst of the weekend, if you can even call it that, which I can because if a read a forecast with a dewpoint around 70 I start sweating.

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Here is an update from the garden, having a very successful season...

First ripe tomatoes, Bonnie's Grape:

post-475-0-60851200-1309551034.jpg

Japanese eggplant, to be harvested tonight:

post-475-0-75889900-1309551047.jpg

Green beans, also ready for this weekend:

post-475-0-97724800-1309551083.jpg

Sweet corn, planted 5/15 by seed, already 4' tall:

post-475-0-73442400-1309551117.jpg

Marina de Chioggia heirloom squash, now flowering:

post-475-0-97879200-1309551142.jpg

Black Beauty eggplant, also in flowering stage:

post-475-0-21206100-1309551175.jpg

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Hey guys! I haven't been around for a while... Nice to see summer finally get here.

Anybody wanna go for a sunrise mt bike ride tomorrow or Monday? Best temps and the trails are riding nice right now. Not too soft or muddy and certainly no dust :lol: I'm thinking either the new trails in Yorktown or my regular spot in Patterson.

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What a sissy! :P

Short lived, as you said but glorious. I have a gathering tomorrow with the fella's to play horsehoes all afternoon and then having the larger family over on Monday for a party. I avoided Sunday which looks to be the worst of the weekend, if you can even call it that, which I can because if a read a forecast with a dewpoint around 70 I start sweating.

Good planning Rob. Yesterday was damn near perfect weather.

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Here is an update from the garden, having a very successful season...

Looks great Zuck.

Hey guys! I haven't been around for a while... Nice to see summer finally get here.

Anybody wanna go for a sunrise mt bike ride tomorrow or Monday? Best temps and the trails are riding nice right now. Not too soft or muddy and certainly no dust :lol: I'm thinking either the new trails in Yorktown or my regular spot in Patterson.

With todays rain, I guess you're going on monday, enjoy

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This stuff is debris from yesterday's action with the front. The actual front is well west so I would expect more activity to fire up this afternoon. 65/62 here now ...the low was 63.

Yesterday's split was 53/80.

Back end of the soild precip near Monticello now moving south east, it would be nice if it remains dry for the rest of the day.

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  • 2 weeks later...

It's the lazy days of summer but as you pointed out maybe we'll have something to talk about with some storms tomorrow....then the furnace starting at the end if the week...yuck!

We'll see for tomorrow's action. Earthlight posted in the NYC thread that the shear has shifted a bit north as per the latest runs. As for the heat, looks like Thurs - Sun comming up will be pressing 100 around the NYC metro area. Stay cool.:sizzle:

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We can use the rain, hope we get some later on without the drama

day1otlk_1200.gif

SPC AC 180559

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1259 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2011

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MIDWEST...UPPER OH

VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS WRN/SRN ND AND FAR NRN

SD...

...SYNOPSIS...

STRONG UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. AND EXTENDING E-W

ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THIS FORECAST

PERIOD. SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRACKING SEWD WITHIN NWLY FLOW REGIME

FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION WILL

SUPPORT SEVERAL EPISODES OF STRONG-SEVERE STORMS FROM THE GREAT

LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND. MEANWHILE...A COUPLE OF WEAK

IMPULSES TRACKING NNEWD WITHIN TROPICAL PLUME EXTENDING FROM THE

DESERT SW TO NRN PLAINS SHOULD PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR STORMS...SOME

SEVERE ACROSS MAINLY ND THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

AT 12Z TODAY...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRAIL WSWWD FROM THE ST

LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY THROUGH CENTRAL/NRN LOWER MI TO CENTRAL

WI...AND THEN WNWWD THROUGH CENTRAL MN TO ALONG THE SD/ND BORDER.

THE ERN EXTENT OF THIS FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD AND SHOULD EXTEND

FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND WSWWD INTO SRN PA AND THEN WNWWD THROUGH OH TO

NRN IL BY 12Z TUESDAY. THE WRN EXTENT OF THIS BOUNDARY FROM MN TO

THE ND/SD BORDER WILL BE GENERALLY PARALLEL TO NW FLOW ALOFT AND

SHOULD REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

...MIDWEST/UPPER 0H VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND...

SUNDAY NIGHT RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A COUPLE OF ONGOING

FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS...1/ MOVING SEWD INTO LOWER MI TOWARD THE

LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION...AND 2/ SMALLER ONE MOVING INTO THE UPPER

MS VALLEY. CLOUD COVER/LINGERING PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH

THESE SYSTEMS BY 12Z TODAY MAY INHIBIT DESTABILIZATION UNTIL

AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WRN HALF OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. DESPITE THIS

NEGATIVE FACTOR FOR STRONGER DESTABILIZATION...THIS PART OF THE

SLIGHT WILL RESIDE ON THE WRN EXTENT OF STRONGER NWLY FLOW ALOFT

WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 30-40 KT FORECAST. THUS...ANY AREAS

THAT CAN DESTABILIZE...THEN ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG

AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LEFT

OVER FROM MORNING MCS/S. SOME SEVERE THREAT MAY OCCUR INTO MONDAY

NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS SRN WI/NRN IL AND INTO THE UPPER

OH VALLEY...THOUGH THE DEGREE OF SEVERE IS UNCERTAIN GIVEN MODEL

UNCERTAINTIES IN THE EVOLUTION OF SUCH CONVECTION.

MEANWHILE...HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING

FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/ONTARIO SEWD TOWARD THE NERN STATES...AND

FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN THE EXIT REGION OF AN ATTENDANT 50 KT

MIDLEVEL JET ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT TSTMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG

AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. A VERY MOIST AIR MASS CURRENTLY

RESIDING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST TO UPPER GREAT LAKES IS EXPECTED

TO ADVECT EWD ACROSS NY/PARTS OF PA TO SRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY BENEATH

A PLUME OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS WILL SUPPORT A

MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...AND COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK

SHEAR OF 30-40 KT SUGGESTS LINE SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS CAN BE

EXPECTED. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...AND THUS HAVE

FORECAST ACCORDINGLY WITH A 30 PERCENT SEVERE WIND PROBABILITY FROM

OH TO SRN NEW ENGLAND. VERTICALLY VEERING LOW LEVEL WINDS PER

FORECAST SOUNDINGS...ESPECIALLY INVOF OF A WLY 30 KT LLJ TRANSLATING

SWD ACROSS NY/SRN NEW ENGLAND AND PARTS OF PA INTO THE

AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WILL ENHANCE THE TORNADO THREAT AS WELL.

...ND/FAR NRN SD...

ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE DIFFERING SOMEWHAT IN THE COVERAGE OF STORMS

TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS MAINLY ND...THE DEGREE OF RESIDUAL

INSTABILITY REMAINING ACROSS THIS REGION AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR

AROUND 50 KT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS.

MODELS DO TEND TO AGREE WITH THE TIMING OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH/

IMPULSE TRACKING NNEWD INTO WRN ND BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND THUS MAY

BE THE PRIMARY IMPETUS FOR NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS

AREA...WITH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING EWD MONDAY NIGHT.

..PETERS/HURLBUT.. 07/18/2011

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

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