Jump to content

TJay

Members
  • Posts

    796
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About TJay

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KSWF
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    Goshen, NY

Recent Profile Visitors

765 profile views
  1. I cant even get it to display right I never used it either,
  2. This one isn't for us,. Its backed off a lot here in Rockland, light snow now. Temps seem to be around 32, most of what came down this moring is quickly melting away
  3. For the lower valley MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1012 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NJ/NYC METRO AREA AND LONG ISLAND/SRN AND ERN CT/RI CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 261612Z - 262015Z ONGOING SNOWFALL WITH EMBEDDED AREAS OF HIGHER RATES FROM NERN NJ THROUGH NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA...ACROSS LONG ISLAND TO SRN EXTENT OF CT WILL PERSIST THROUGH 18Z. SNOWFALL RATES /UP TO 1 IN PER HR/ WILL SPREAD NEWD ACROSS ERN CT INTO RI THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA SWWD INTO NERN/CENTRAL NJ MAY TRANSITION TO A BRIEF 1-2 HOUR PERIOD OF SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW BEFORE PRECIPITATION DIMINISHES DURING THE EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. AT 1545Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A BAND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW...EXTENDING FROM BWI/PHL NEWD TO NYC AREA INTO SWRN NEW ENGLAND. ENELY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THIS REGION ARE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AN INCREASE IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE 0 C IN THE 750-850 MB LAYER FROM CENTRAL NJ TO THE NYC AREA...RESULTING IN VERTICAL THERMAL STRUCTURE SUPPORTIVE OF A TRANSITION TO SOME SLEET/FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW BY 17-18Z. THESE THERMODYNAMIC TRENDS ARE SUPPORTED BY THE RUC AND 09Z SREF. FARTHER NE ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE VERTICAL THERMAL PROFILE WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW THROUGH MID AFTERNOON /20Z/...AND THEN A POTENTIAL FOR SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN WITH THE SNOW. ..PETERS.. 01/26/2011
  4. NYZ067-068-270515- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-110127T1100Z/ ORANGE-PUTNAM- 1112 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...ORANGE AND PUTNAM COUNTIES. * HAZARDS...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES...HIGHEST ACROSS EASTERN PUTNAM. * TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN DURING MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MODERATE SNOW LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE AND THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW LIKELY FALLING THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
  5. wow big difference from when I left,The clouds were socked in good
  6. 12Z NAM has the triple low that it showed last night, I guess its having feedback issues. Upton threw out last nights 0z NAM
  7. Back home it looked like it was ready to snow, the air was so moist my Pilot was covered in "dew" @19F. The only reason it didn't freeze is its covered in salt
  8. Light snow changing to heavy snow with huge flakes within two minutes with 2/10 tenths of a mile visibility on I87 from Suffern on east in Rockland. Roads are covered. So much for this thing starting late afternoon/evening.
  9. This is what happens when a 1000 \'s of hit NCEP at the same time The NAM says not much snow for us weird run. SREF looks pretty good
  10. JB plays the JMA card I never thought highly of it but someone mentioned in the NYC thread last night that within 72 hours its very good. Who knows if thats correct but we'll see shortly. ]MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 140 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 VALID JAN 25/1200 UTC THRU JAN 29/0000 UTC ...SEE NOUS42 KWNO ADMNFD FOR THE STATUS OF THE UPPER AIR INGEST... 12Z FINAL MODEL PREFERENCES ANY INITIALIZATION ERRORS WITH THE NAM AND GFS DO NOT APPEAR TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THEIR SOLUTIONS. ...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING UP THE ATLANTIC COAST DAYS 1 AND 2... PREFERENCE: GEM GLOBAL OR UKMET THE NAM AND GFS TRACK THIS CYCLONE EAST OF THE ECMWF...WHICH POPS THE CONSOLIDATED SURFACE LOW RIGHT ON THE DELMARVA SHORE 00Z/27 THURSDAY. THE GEM GLOBAL AND UKMET FORCE THE LOW JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THE START OF DAY 2...WHICH FITS CLIMATOLOGY THE BEST FOR THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WHICH HAS FINALLY SETTLED OUT AFTER DAYS OF DISPARATE MODEL SOLUTIONS.
  11. Euro QPF Map from the Philly Thread, not to shabby depending on where you're located http://www.americanw...post__p__359411
  12. We still have a shot, we are real close to cashing in. Dr No in a few minutes....
  13. Don't look good for us being on the wrong side of the fringe zone for big snow, lets see what the euro says. 12ZNAM Total QPF 12Z GFS Total QPF
  14. Yes, it took me two hours to get in, really ridicules delays on Rt17 because of 2 to 3 inches of snow and messy unattended to road
×
×
  • Create New...