moneypitmike Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 -24C. Basically close to -11F or so. Was that their high? Sounds like Minot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Yep gonna get chilly here, but I'm very envious of Europe right now. The second great cold spell in two years over there. Where my family in Germany lives (west of Munich) the high is progged to be 16f tomorrow. This after last years winter over there. They told me in Roscommon, Ireland that there was snow cover for over 2 months straight - unheard of. Rick, the way things have been going of late, there's no reason to look beyond day 4-5. Like Chris said, the skating will be good. Boy though, it should would be extra cold if the upcoming pattern was setting up over a blanket of snow. 29.9/21 off a high of 36.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 From the PM guidance everything still looks good to me for a few inches LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 18z GFS is balls cold with a solid snow thret next weekend... Maybe a sneaky snow threat next Thursday too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 18z GFS is balls cold with a solid snow through next weekend... Maybe a sneaky snow threat next Thursday too? Glad to see you came around to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 Glad to see you came around to snow The next weekend snow I was always on for.... at least the potential for it. Your fantasy snow this weekend isn't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 The next weekend snow I was always on for.... at least the potential for it. Your fantasy snow this weekend isn't happening. This is going to be so fun to take you to the woodshed this time..Esp since you are so adamant that noone sees a flake in SNE.. Oh the fun I'm gonna have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 This is going to be so fun to take you to the woodshed this time..Esp since you are so adamant that noone sees a flake in SNE.. Oh the fun I'm gonna have I think many of us see flakes. A widespread 3-6" isn't happening just like you won't see over 1" like I said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I think many of us see flakes. A widespread 3-6" isn't happening just like you won't see over 1" like I said. I'll be watching in 5 mins. Hopefully you'll mention accumulating snow on air.. Would be a wise move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 I'll be watching in 5 mins. Hopefully you'll mention accumulating snow on air.. Would be a wise move Not on tonight. Let's be fair about this though. You forecasted 3-6" for the majority of SNE... then changed it to 1-3 or 4 for the majority of SNE. I think an inch or two is possible in sporadic areas but the majority of SNE sees less than 1" and most see little or no accumulatiion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Not on tonight. Let's be fair about this though. You forecasted 3-6" for the majority of SNE... then changed it to 1-3 or 4 for the majority of SNE. I think an inch or two is possible in sporadic areas but the majority of SNE sees less than 1" and most see little or no accumulatiion. Why are you doing beat stories on lighthouses on LI sound? WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I think you overall have to like what's depicted. The cold builds in Canada as normal, and the persistent GOA low hugs the west coast of Canada with possible sw ridging..not to mention the block up north persisting. At least imo. Perhaps the most sensible post of the day. ( I've read them all.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 This is going to be so fun to take you to the woodshed this time..Esp since you are so adamant that noone sees a flake in SNE.. Oh the fun I'm gonna have Kudos Kevin for staying the course with some good back up from Ginx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Gotta support Kevin in spirit now that he has come back from the Dark Side. Kudos Kevin for staying the course with some good back up from Ginx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 Why are you doing beat stories on lighthouses on LI sound? WTF Why are you incapable of being fair to judge who's right about a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I love this time of year Nobody is better than Kevin at creating a good stir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Why are you incapable of being fair to judge who's right about a forecast. Judgment day will be Monday ..if You're right then I'll admit I lost. It's pretty easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 Not on tonight. Let's be fair about this though. You forecasted 3-6" for the majority of SNE... then changed it to 1-3 or 4 for the majority of SNE. I think an inch or two is possible in sporadic areas but the majority of SNE sees less than 1" and most see little or no accumulatiion. Do you agree with this? This is what we will judge things by.... and 2" or something at 2500 feet in the Berkshires doesn't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Anybody besides me want a +NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Anybody besides me want a +NAO? no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Anybody besides me want a +NAO? Absolutely positively no way in hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 Anybody besides me want a +NAO? Ummmm no not at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Do you agree with this? This is what we will judge things by.... and 2" or something at 2500 feet in the Berkshires doesn't count. Yes if someone doesn't see 3 inches then I will have been wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 Yes if someone doesn't see 3 inches then I will have been wrong Well... an isolated 3" on the MA/NH border doesn't count... you said "majority of SNE" and 1-3 or 4" (this is after you cut your 3-6" for the majority of SNE forecast in half) If most of SNE doesn't see 1-3 or 4" then you're wrong. I said majority of SNE doesn't see an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Gotta support Kevin in spirit now that he has come back from the Dark Side. Of course. I also feel we will get some snow up here in the next few days, one way or another. We graded a lot of muddy, rutted terrain around the site today prepping for a long stretch of below freezing weather. Nothing worse then trying to run the Lull over deeply rutted, frozen terrain. Once the snow gets in here in earnest they drift over leaving places you can posthole into as you walk. The snow is coming Rick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Anybody besides me want a +NAO? In the right configuration, can definitely be favorable for us. BUT I'd definitely prefer to see a -NAO in the long range forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 In the right configuration, can definitely be favorable for us. BUT I'd definitely prefer to see a -NAO in the long range forecasts It definitely keeps us cold after D10 as the EPO ridging retrogrades out of favorable spot....probably in response to MJO phase going into 4/5...but Iceland block that retrogrades toward greenland keeps the cold funneled down into SE Canada and the northeast while the western and possibly the central states torch. Probably a good thing too for the potential miller B around Dec 12-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 It definitely keeps us cold after D10 as the EPO ridging retrogrades out of favorable spot....probably in response to MJO phase going into 4/5...but Iceland block that retrogrades toward greenland keeps the cold funneled down into SE Canada and the northeast while the western and possibly the central states torch. Probably a good thing too for the potential miller B around Dec 12-13. With another huge burst of trade winds at 850mb which should lead to a strengthening of the Nina over the next week will that have any influence on what the MJO does? Say the MJO doesn't go into 4/5 what will that mean for the pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 With another huge burst of trade winds at 850mb which should lead to a strengthening of the Nina over the next week will that have any influence on what the MJO does? Say the MJO doesn't go into 4/5 what will that mean for the pattern? It would probably keep the Pacific better looking. As of right now, it looks like the PAC side is going to get a bit ugly post-Dec 10th but the strong NAO blocking (even when its an Iceland block) is keeping SE Canada and NE cold. '68-'69 saw this pattern quite a bit and it was a cold winter, so it (NAO) can really save our bacon in certain setups. There's other forcing beside the MJO, but I'm not an expert there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Time to set the time machine for 8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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