Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Do not know if it means anything but the last couple days remind me of winter 2010 . Suppression would not surprise me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 It will be interesting to see who stays in the game and who doesn't, although I don't give much hope for my area being too deep in the snow. At least it is something to watch... Soon it will just be some mundane rain and 49F under overcast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Welp, GFS rollin rollin rollin, man my ass is swollen, what a pain in the butt coming in now so we'll see if it hits on that 18z-like solution from yesterday. It would actually be a nice extrapolation for the la-la range NAM solutionl. WTF is going on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Well, The second wave looks like its trying to dig for oil in the gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Do not know if it means anything but the last couple days remind me of winter 2010 . Suppression would not surprise me at all. explain? Similar pattern? I would not be surprised, but would only blame it on bad luck, no science... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 GFS is focusing the storm on that lead s/w that the NAM had near the SC coast at 84h...its actually a pretty big hit for a chunk of SNE at 90-96h. But I'm not sure it plays out that way given the strength of the main s/w digging in the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 explain? Similar pattern? I would not be surprised, but would only blame it on bad luck, no science... Too much Neg NAO, confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 This run makes s/w 3 the main feature, Multiple solutions still have a long ways to go on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 GFS is focusing the storm on that lead s/w that the NAM had near the SC coast at 84h...its actually a pretty big hit for a chunk of SNE at 90-96h. But I'm not sure it plays out that way given the strength of the main s/w digging in the south. Which Is more likely to happen IYO? Or would they sort of combine around NC/VA area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Too much Neg NAO, confluence. Thanks. Stoopid waves... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Weenie run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 The main s/w is trying to take over by 108h and producing another storm climbing the coast. Its a bit warmer though because of the first one pushing some decent WAA (which did cause a decent snowstorm)....but it does look like some snow from that one too after starting as rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Greens and whites get smoked this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Weenie run. Bullseye Vim Toot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Trip to Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 This run makes s/w 3 the main feature, Multiple solutions still have a long ways to go on this one Remember the double storms from last year everybody said could not happen because they were too close together. GFS showing repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2011 Author Share Posted March 28, 2011 The main s/w is trying to take over by 108h and producing another storm climbing the coast. Its a bit warmer though because of the first one pushing some decent WAA (which did cause a decent snowstorm)....but it does look like some snow from that one too after starting as rain. Plausible solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Confluence isn't the issue here, as the E. Canada trough is forecast to lift out rapidly late this week. If the Fri storm is out to sea, it would be because the shortwaves can't consolidate, not because of confluence. Also, the NAO is forecast to rise to around neutral by Fri. Too much Neg NAO, confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Remember the double storms from last year everybody said could not happen because they were too close together. GFS showing repeat. Yes i do, You would be making another trip to SR it this verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Remember the double storms from last year everybody said could not happen because they were too close together. GFS showing repeat. They can happen, but they are quite rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Bullseye Vim Toot.. Yeah, gets pretty dang ridiculous up in Tootville at 120/126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Confluence isn't the issue here, as the E. Canada trough is forecast to lift out rapidly late this week. If the Fri storm is out to sea, it would be because the shortwaves can't consolidate, not because of confluence. Also, the NAO is forecast to rise to around neutral by Fri. Agreed, suppression hasn't been my worry with this one...I think we'd have to get a perfect storm of screwed up s/w interference to fail to get latitude gain in this system. My bigger worry is a phased bomb up the Hudson Valley or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 One heck of a bomb on the GFS - drops from 989 mb about 150 miles east of the Delmarva to 970 mb 12 hours later in the Gulf of Maine. It shows the potential of this pattern, *if* the shortwaves can consolidate and phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Agreed, suppression hasn't been my worry with this one...I think we'd have to get a perfect storm of screwed up s/w interference to fail to get latitude gain in this system. My bigger worry is a phased bomb up the Hudson Valley or something. Do I need to prep for a road trip to Maine/VT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Confused situation. Gfs is wet on the last one for i95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Yes i do, You would be making another trip to SR it this verified In a heartbeat, best week ever. What a weenie run, can not wait to see clown maps. Blizzard for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Yes, the 12z GFS might have produced that Hudson Valley bomb solution if it didn't have the lead s/w out ahead that drags the baroclinic zone eastward and prevents a full phase. Agreed, suppression hasn't been my worry with this one...I think we'd have to get a perfect storm of screwed up s/w interference to fail to get latitude gain in this system. My bigger worry is a phased bomb up the Hudson Valley or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Do I need to prep for a road trip to Maine/VT? Yes probably. Though you might not have to go that far to see a decent storm. W MD or interior PA could still see a pretty good system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 In a heartbeat, best week ever. What a weenie run, can not wait to see clown maps. Blizzard for you. It actually wraps a lot of warm air into the eastern half of ME verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Do I need to prep for a road trip to Maine/VT? Yes, head to Newry, Me in the mountains, scenic and near the Whites, great access on RT 2 to big big winter incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.