CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Could be a heck of a storm for some tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 The GFS is insane on winds for the Cape, just aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 990.60 8.74 8.30 7.85 301.48 188.09 44.15 -0.20 38.60 985.00 9.14 8.75 8.36 303.17 189.01 52.12 -0.20 85.60 978.60 9.34 9.01 8.68 304.51 189.93 58.57 -0.20 139.70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 The GFS is insane on winds for the Cape, just aloft. yeah its incredible...zero mixing but basically 40 knots at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Think it goes over GON to PYM..not often they go o\er my head..Some were thinking the Berkshires track was happening i'd go with POU to GAY-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 This storm also has me firing up the convection products I use for en-route tstm forecasting over the CONUS. First time since Nov or Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 1/-3, snow pack should get a little recharge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 yeah its incredible...zero mixing but basically 40 knots at the surface BOX has that High Wind Watch for sustained winds tomorrow, not gusts. 30-40 with gusts to 45 mph...I don't think I've ever seen that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 1/-3, snow pack should get a little recharge. you mean before it rains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 BOX has that High Wind Watch for sustained winds tomorrow, not gusts. 30-40 with gusts to 45 mph...I don't think I've ever seen that before. I don't get that either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 you mean before it rains? Eh, a little rain on top of the new snow and a deep snow pack. No biggee. I won't see my lawn for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 you mean before it rains? Still a lot of snow here Phil. I know that's tough for you to imagine.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 BOX has that High Wind Watch for sustained winds tomorrow, not gusts. 30-40 with gusts to 45 mph...I don't think I've ever seen that before. yeah at the pt when the llj peaks...the surface is basically in the base of the jet but the column is inverted so we get HWW criteria sustained winds with no transfer. i do think there is a damaging gust potential. truly damaging winds are literally just a few hundred feet AGL. typically in these southerly flow events the real good stuff is >2K feet up so you really have a tough time getting it down and have to rely on some magical squall line. in this case...just some downpours could do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Still a lot of snow here Phil. I know that's tough for you to imagine.lol snow on the ground? where you live? i don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 snow on the ground? where you live? i don't buy it. Big winter Phil. Big, big winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 This should be a solid event... my call is 5-10" for this location. 5" for the furthest SE tracks, 10" for the NW tracks. 3z SREFS take this almost over Dendrite, lol. They sleet us and almost rain up here in N.VT. Disturbing trend because this is the time thats in the SREFs wheelhouse. This is what that model ensemble is made for... though I do like that the 6Z NAM seemed to wobble back SE a little. But this absolutely cannot track over the Taconics/Berkshires, right? haha. Scary thing is there are A LOT of members that track this right up the CT River Valley between NH/VT. Look at the low placements of these members, a lot are in N.NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 snow on the ground? where you live? i don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 snow on the ground? where you live? i don't buy it. Big winter Phil. Big, big winter. Troll double team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Im on my way to powderfreaks now. See ya in 4 or 5 hours. Seriously though, the rain/snow line should be interesting. Right now box has 1-3 in northern mass going up to 8-10" for concord,nh. It should be close for southern/central nh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Kind of a yawner till the change to snow tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I am llving on the line and the srefs disturb me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Kind of a yawner till the change to snow tomorrow evening yeah nothing worse than 46F with light rain. enjoy that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I am llving on the line and the srefs disturb me. It's worrisome b/c we're in their more accurate time range. I'd be sad if there was any taint up in ski country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 i'd go with POU to GAY-ish. Sticking with my call NYC to BOS a 395 special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Kind of a yawner till the change to snow tomorrow evening lol Sunday looks good on the SREFs for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Kind of interesting as KeV pointed out, backside snow then a clipper so if you sleep for 24 hours you will miss the deluge and wake up to new cover and a renewed winter feel. Ambien FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Some cool ice fog again this morning as I passed the river valleys with the rising sun just beautiful. Long live winters beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I am llving on the line and the srefs disturb me. Me, you and a dog named Boo. It would comfort me to see those SREFs dive south 100 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Any met opinions on the rain/snow cut-off? BOX has a WWA for southern NH for 3-5", then where Gray's CWA starts they go right to 8-12" snow/sleet. So if you live in South Hookset NH, NWS has you at 8-12", while you travel 5 miles south to Manchester, NH its 3-5". Quite the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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