Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 hopefully i get feb 99'd this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 hopefully i get feb 99'd this weekend. Can I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 12z Euro argues for a Miller B potential around D8 ....GFS had it too yeah i raised this Valentine's day potential yesterday... GFS has been pretty consistent with this signal, though it's over a week away looks like Euro track is a little too far north for SNE yesterday's 18Z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 Can I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 hopefully i get feb 99'd this weekend. LOL, that would be funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Can I? yes you are invited. LOL, that would be funny. i would take 25% of that. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 40F is Spring right now. Early Feb, many stations above normal today and past days. Hell it's 50 on LI right now and practically 50 in sun most of the coastal plain. Staring drooling at the models, is if anything, rushing your life away. Why fantasize over a D 10 image? ENJOY the 24 inches of snow on the ground and 50F I've been outside today spraypainting/painting stuff outdoors for indoors later. LOL This is great weather and it should also be permissable to talk about without attempts to being insulted (MRG). Well, some of us are not experiencing warmth today (or yesterday). Currently sitting at 32.2/26 off a high of 32.9. Guess a little above normal for early February but not in a torch way. So, no spring fever here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 With that having me getting less than 2", you can be sure I'd be screamin' bloody murder about qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 This March one is better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Today is what I'd describe as "seasonably mild" which is another way of saying "slightly above avg"....high so far today at BOS is 41F (4F above avg for Feb 7th), 39F at PVD (1F above avg), 39F at BDL (3F above avg) and 37F at ORH (5F above avg)...probably wont add any more to that except perhaps a degree with the afternoon waning on and cloud cover moving in. It certainly feels a lot milder compared to those -10 to -15 high temp departures we had last week...because it is a lot milder...by about 15-20F. But I woudn't classify it as a "torch". Just my opinion though and others can create their own subjective criteria. I know there was probably a small pocket in interior E/SE MA that was a little warmer relative to climo today...but the real "torch" possibility is not until next week sometime IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Today is what I'd describe as "seasonably mild" which is another way of saying "slightly above avg"....high so far today at BOS is 41F (4F above avg for Feb 7th), 39F at PVD (1F above avg), 39F at BDL (3F above avg) and 37F at ORH (5F above avg)...probably wont add any more to that except perhaps a degree with the afternoon waning on and cloud cover moving in. It certainly feels a lot milder compared to those -10 to -15 high temp departures we had last week...because it is a lot milder...by about 15-20F. But I woudn't classify it as a "torch". Just my opinion though and others can create their own subjective criteria. I know there was probably a small pocket in interior E/SE MA that was a little warmer relative to climo today...but the real "torch" possibility is not until next week sometime IMHO. there's no room for rational thought in here Will. You know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Average high at the "oven" BDR is 37, 40 there now, 39 here, hardly a torch. Current snowpack at BDR is 17 inches, damn impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 its definely not a torch lol it always feels warm coming out of prolonged cold 32 here SN- in the air , awaiting cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 there's no room for rational thought in here Will. You know that. Like I said, I think its relative. We had high temps in the teens and 20s last week which is a solid 10 to 15 below avg so now when we are 3-5F above avg it feels like a total torch when in reality its just slightly above avg. Most of the time its all about expectations and relative comparisons rather than absolute reality. We will all be outside in our short sleeves when the high is 58F in March....in June if the high was 58F, you'd see almost everyone wearing long sleeves even though the temp isn't one iota different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 there's no room for rational thought in here Will. You know that. I actually have my bathing suit on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Well I have hit above freezing 3 days in a row... not sure the last time that happened here. Def. not a torch, just a mild mid winter recharge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I actually have my birthday suit on. Frisbee time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I actually have my bathing suit on. well i'm actually naked. sooooooooooo.... torch i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Will is right though, if the jet lifts far enough north next week, those temps will blow the doors off this milder stretch. True wsw wind torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 My 3 day stretch thus far 51F - torch 45F - pretty close to a torch 43F - above avg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 There was actually a light se wind in cstl areas today, right along the beach. My high was 43. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Like I said, I think its relative. We had high temps in the teens and 20s last week which is a solid 10 to 15 below avg so now when we are 3-5F above avg it feels like a total torch when in reality its just slightly above avg. Most of the time its all about expectations and relative comparisons rather than absolute reality. We will all be outside in our short sleeves when the high is 58F in March....in June if the high was 58F, you'd see almost everyone wearing long sleeves even though the temp isn't one iota different. oh i agree 100%. funny how these things go. BOS will dip below freezing midday tomorrow and probably not see it again until sat or sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Any thoughts on squalls tom afternoon, okx mentioned this possibility along with a flash freeze?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Flurries, 32.2/26. No torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Will is right though, if the jet lifts far enough north next week, those temps will blow the doors off this milder stretch. True wsw wind torch. That would be so nice!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 My 3 day stretch thus far 51F - torch 45F - pretty close to a torch 43F - above avg. Your location averages like 38-39 at this pont. 51F is a torch I guess but 45F and 43F is not. I agree with Will and Phil. Unless you feel that any day that you're high is below 32F is "epic cold", which I don't think is correct at all, then today is not a torch. 41F again today here. Slightly above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 SREFs really like the blob of precip over the cstl waters. That might be something to watch down near the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Any thoughts on squalls tom afternoon, okx mentioned this possibility along with a flash freeze?? That would be cool. Was that a December day in 2003 when we got that quick half inch of snow during rush hour and an immediate freeze of it? I was living in Worcester at the time. I remember trying to get out of town for a meeting in Springfield. After 45 minutes and only going half a mile, a came home and postponed the meeting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 SREFs really like the blob of precip over the cstl waters. That might be something to watch down near the Cape. they are interesting. they actually scrape low end probs. on thurs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 oh i agree 100%. funny how these things go. BOS will dip below freezing midday tomorrow and probably not see it again until sat or sun. I wonder if people would consider a high of 32-33F at BOS as "frigid" for Feb 7th...that's the equivalent of a 41-42F high in the other direction. I try to reserve the extreme words for stuff that is at least double digit departures. Coming out a period where -5F to -10F departures from the high were the normal for over 3 weeks...+4 or +5 feels a lot warmer. The arctic intrusion we see later this week will probably help the milder period (if it comes in strong) feel obscenely warm. Like where 53F feels like 70F type stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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