baroclinic_instability Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 No doubt in my mind DVN (the ASOS not the city) would verify a blizzard off that verbatim. Even if it is only a few fluffy inches of snow. Yeah good point--NE/E Iowa will potentially get into the blowing snow action too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 WOW, what else can i say, GFS and NAM both in agreement on 1.3"+ with the NAM near 1.4" and still snowing with a classic lake enhanced defo band signature. WIld stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 But hoosier put me on a 5 day post limit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 If this run were to verify, blizzard warnings in NW Indiana points NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looking like, based on the 0z NAM, about 1-2 inches near Columbus to possibly a foot near Marion. Look like there is good back end snows coming into OH at 84, so guess that'll have to be monitored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 But hoosier put me on a 5 day post limit Jeez I wonder why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I cannot believe i am seeing this. Just WOW!!! It's beautiful, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Waiting for the MOS data to update. But looks like some freezing rain/sleet to maybe rain to heavy thumping snow... yea nam looks like it could still dump a good snow across central OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 2.06" for LAF raw data. Geez, I mean it's not all snow, but geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 LAF just destroyed. My god. Taking the run verbatim, LAF wouldn't switch over until after 00z Wed...it would still be at least 12" though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Any word on the 21z SREF'S? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Looking like, based on the 0z NAM, about 1-2 inches near Columbus to possibly a foot near Marion. That is a tight gradient! I just can't believe how strong this has got over the past few runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 No doubt in my mind DVN (the ASOS not the city) would verify a blizzard off that verbatim. Even if it is only a few fluffy inches of snow. ocean... i think we are solidly looking at a 8-12" snow... lots of models consistently putting down around 0.75-1.00 of water here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's beautiful, no? Oh yeah! I am at a loss for words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 How would the wind potential be up here in S. WI? Just wondering because if the wind isnt a big deal up here, the ratios could be a bit higher then. blending all the qpf's from the various models you should be in a zone to receive a solid 4-8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Any word on the 21z SREF'S? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 would like to see the NAM come a bit more northwest in line with the Euro and I think it's possible but I wouldn't be complaining if this run verified. it's one of the most epic fantast blizzards here lakeside i've seen inside 84hrs. 1.4" of all snow and decent ratios (and still snowing at 84) with a ripping NE wind off the lake. INSANE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Taking the run verbatim, LAF wouldn't switch over until after 00z Wed...it would still be at least 12" though. I like between 18z Tue and 0z Wed. That itty bitty slightly warm layer at 800 at 66 will be overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 2.06" for LAF raw data. Geez, I mean it's not all snow, but geez. The warm layer between 66-72 hours isn't that warm or thick...that timeframe would be the real question mark...either sleet or heavily rimed flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 But hoosier put me on a 5 day post limit good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 00z NAM 'clown' map........ Someone should probably save this. http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 guess ill be waiting for my storm like this When is the last time you had more than 10", again 12 years and ticking here... climatology always favors central/ne iowa and central mo to northern indiana... we arent in a spot that climatology likes here on the mississippi in eastern iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 the euro has been very good with this storm, excellent....yes i agree. GFS has consisistently trended in one direction which is good too and lends increasing confidence. the NAM has done very well also IMO. to be fair, nothing has happened yet, the ECM could crash and burn....but it's sitting pretty now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 All I can say is, "it's about time". Two years to the day (almost) after the February 2009 megabust, mother nature may be about to lift our snow probation. Just imagine: 10-12" for ottawa, maybe 17" for Toronto. I mean, the province of Ontario could be shut down. In a way, this could be even better than December 16,2007. Not in terms of snowfall - it'll likely be less in Ottawa - but in terms of what follows. The 2007 storm was followed by mild air. This storm will be followed by brutal, frigid, Siberian air the likes of which could freeze your livers. Imagine if we hit -30C again, without the win, with a fresh foot of snow on the ground being blown around by a gusty north or northwesterly wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 NEw to using this wxcaster site with the color snowmaps for the GFS and NAM. How long for them to update after the run is over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I like between 18z Tue and 0z Wed. That itty bitty slightly warm layer at 800 at 66 will be overcome. The warm layer between 66-72 hours isn't that warm or thick...that timeframe would be the real question mark...either sleet or heavily rimed flakes. As usual, right on cue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 NEw to using this wxcaster site with the color snowmaps for the GFS and NAM. How long for them to update after the run is over? It's updated here: http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 to be fair, nothing has happened yet, the ECM could crash and burn....but it's sitting pretty now. It won't here. Small details need to be worked out--but this will be a big event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 00z NAM 'clown' map........ Someone should probably save this. http://wxcaster4.com...UCHERA_84HR.gif and still snowing in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I like between 18z Tue and 0z Wed. That itty bitty slightly warm layer at 800 at 66 will be overcome. lol just posted about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.