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ILoveWinter

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Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. As for us that live near the urban core: from experience, with borderline temps in March (espec if this is during the day) it REALLY needs to come down in order for snow to accumulate.
  2. Yea I'd agree as living in Manhattan for the past 8 years or so, temps cannot be marginal in order for the snow to sufficiently stick (outside of grassy areas though even there this is true to a point). Ideally, CPK should be at 30 or below.
  3. I can confirm this as I live pretty close to the park and I measured 3
  4. Did you ask yourself these questions when you were harping on the early Feb torch due to the MJO forecast? The models have been rushing pattern changes for a while now...
  5. I mean this area averages around 4-5 inches liquid of precip each month (incl Jan) so in most winter months we would typically expect more rain than snow anyway unless it was pretty anomalously snowy month (like perhaps Islip).
  6. Yes - this is quite rare and to me is the most interesting element of this storm
  7. This was awful. Always remember being teased by that nice band that came in during the early afternoon to get us all excited but was instead followed by the epic fail later on that night.
  8. Currently in Cancun with the fam which is of course great but bummed I'm missing this! Even with the event less than 24h away, this still has potential for something huge in NYC metro, hope you guys get clobbered!
  9. There's little if anything at CP (maybe a trace fell this morning)
  10. Should we expect advisories for a portion of the region today? I'd assume so considering a 2-4ish type of event...
  11. Still snowing in the UWS. Surprised as would have expected a changeover sooner considering the rain reports from Brooklyn Heights. Prob give it another 20 - 30 or so.
  12. Typically with this sort of lead time, we tend to focus on the ensembles. Is there a reason we are more trusting of the Op runs this time around? Is it due to their consistency with showing the interior/inland track?
  13. Can someone explain how a hurricane can avoid weakening (or only weaken slightly) while over land?
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