Thanks you for the perspective on the "drought"! Completely agree, we in this forum sometimes are overly concerned during dry stretches. There may be a time to worry but now is not it.
I agree, the gradient was remarkable. I was in the upper east side visiting someone when the front came through and within a few minutes there was a 20 degree difference between where I was and my apartment in the upper west side.
Was the GFS and EAI more accurate because it handled that lobe in the west and the confluence better or was it for other reasons? Wondering if they did better by pure luck or not.
I’m generally not thrown off by the movement of op runs 4 or 5+ days out but the agreement with many of the ensembles at 12z was a bit concerning. Plenty of time though, and no reason to panic.
Honestly tho it’s not even a sure thing even as the storm is upon us…Jan 2015 still gives me nightmares! That being said this has some tremendous potential and will admit I’m excited.