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ILoveWinter

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Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. ILoveWinter
    Def agree on being conservative in NYC, rates need to be there to overcome. Upside is nice though if it works out!
  2. ILoveWinter
    Yea agree. Just saw a segment and the Met was emphasizing the importance of a 40/70 benchmark track, def more informative than in years past.
  3. ILoveWinter
    They are not using a snow day and they have to consider that many teachers commute from outside of the city where a solid accumulation is expected. I don't think this was a surprising or wrong call at all.
  4. ILoveWinter
    Wow even if you halve this in the immediate metro due to ratios, it's still solid.
  5. ILoveWinter
    It's gotta be ripping in order to do so and that looks like a possibility.
  6. ILoveWinter
    Of course the temps could be off - I do agree with Don though as I've been through so many events in the city where it was snowing with temps around 34 and got very little accumulation.
  7. ILoveWinter
    My forecast for the City is 0-2 so wouldn't take much to bust positive lol.
  8. ILoveWinter
    Haha true, a few more winters of this and I may need to redefine what counts as substantial lol
  9. ILoveWinter
    I'm a weenie too but I've learned my lessons and one thing I refuse to do is stay up late for model runs unless we have a good shot at receiving a substantial snow fall in the City. This one certainly does not meet that standard!
  10. ILoveWinter
    I'm still holding out a bit of hope that EPS will be south of op similar to yesterday
  11. ILoveWinter
    ICON is def a northerly outlier wow. Today's runs will be quite telling.
  12. ILoveWinter
    Isn't this the op run which was on the northern end vs the other ensembles?
  13. ILoveWinter
    Yea it's about rates and dynamic cooling. Accumulation will happen if we have both regardless of antecedent airmass. The same is true for the opposite scenario, just look at the paltry accumulation in NYC during that 2nd "event" a few weeks ago even though the airmass in place was plenty cold. Rates just stunk.
  14. ILoveWinter
    8 days until we see precipitation (10 going back to Saturday) is pretty dry if you ask me, especially considering how wet and awful it's been.
  15. ILoveWinter
    Def an over performer, was forecasted a few tenths and over by now.
  16. ILoveWinter
    Yes and it took millions of years to go through those big climactic shifts whereas we are effecting change over a vastly shorter period of time. Does this really need to be explained? smh
  17. ILoveWinter
    Exactly, he's such a troll. Not saying it will happen and it of course would be better in February but first two weeks in March are legit in the immediate metro. Definitely gets dicey after that, though better N&W obviously.
  18. ILoveWinter
    A "hell" of a lot easier for Canada to be put back in the freezer in Jan vs. mid Feb? Come on man, I know you are a warm weenie but that's pushing it. Also it's not like there was a ton of snowpack before the January cool down and it still happened - and quite fast mind you.
  19. ILoveWinter
    That's pretty crazy that you posted this at the exact same time of mine!
  20. ILoveWinter
    Just out of curiosity, when was the last time we had a sunny day or even saw the sun?! Feels like we've been in the gloom for a long while.
  21. ILoveWinter
    Regarding the lack of interest on this storm, do we not remember the countless posts over the past few days that basically said it's impossible for us to get a meaningful snow storm in this pattern?! Sort of put a damper on things. It's still unlikely that this one works out for coastal sections but crazier things have happened in hostile patterns. We are in favorable climo for this sort of thing to occur.
  22. ILoveWinter
  23. ILoveWinter
    Well snowman pretty much always weenies you!
  24. ILoveWinter
    Would be remarkable to pull off something meaningful in coastal areas in this hostile pattern so my view is to expect nothing. Literally anything would be a bonus!
  25. ILoveWinter
    Yes agree that on the very first one it was due to the UHI effect. But the last two was a combo of UHI and track which is why even areas 30 miles north and west didn't cash in.
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