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ILoveWinter

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Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. ILoveWinter
    Def a beautiful snowy scene in the UWS but not to sound like a downer, we clearly missed out on the best rates. I'll of course take it as it's still better than anything in the past few years!
  2. ILoveWinter
    Starting to pick up again (mod to heavy) after a bit of a lull (light to mod).
  3. ILoveWinter
    Just amazing the NYC/CPK is again in the screw zone. Not saying things can't get better but just my observation per radar and by simply looking outside.
  4. ILoveWinter
    It's fair to say a couple of inches were lost but it's been sticking for the past several hours so not having the best rates / dynamics now will cut in even more than the warm start.
  5. ILoveWinter
    Def a beautiful winter wonderland in the UWS, snow coming down at a good clip and everything is covered including roads. Haven't seen such a scene in a few years here.
  6. ILoveWinter
    Certainly a possibility, would be comical and further proof that it's better to not be modeled as being in the bullseye prior to the start of a storm!
  7. ILoveWinter
    Hiding
  8. ILoveWinter
    10 already when some of the models had northern zones being shafted is amazing! You guys always do well.
  9. ILoveWinter
    In patches, not uniformly
  10. ILoveWinter
    Heavy snow, cars and grassy surfaces are covered here in UWS
  11. ILoveWinter
    Would be amazing to see if this verifies!
  12. ILoveWinter
    Where is Snowman19? We need his "this will end up north" posts now, lol.
  13. ILoveWinter
    Verbatim per NAM it's still good for NYC for several inches. I'd be very happy with that, just hoping the trend stops here and we don't get further weakening.
  14. ILoveWinter
    Wouldn't be so bad for the immediate metro if this didn't also coincide with a weaker storm. Means little in the City without good rates even if in the main band of precipitation.
  15. ILoveWinter
    GFS will be interesting, I expect a shift south but just how much is the mystery.
  16. ILoveWinter
    It can happen with strong dynamics/ rates, seen it before but if we get fringed, it will be mostly wet even if snowing.
  17. ILoveWinter
    Yea especially in the City, weaker=no dynamics=no rates=nada
  18. ILoveWinter
    To me, with less than 24 hours until game time, I'd expect the ensembles to more or less agree with the Op. Typically we see large variations several days out and is why the EPS mean is a good tool at those lead times.
  19. ILoveWinter
    Yea tho there was agreement with the Op at 6z for the south trend. Will be interesting to see what happens here but my guess is that it will be similar.
  20. ILoveWinter
    Yea i'd toss if completely alone but that's not the case. However, if mesos stay consistent and don't budge south by the next set of runs then I'd be more inclined to toss.
  21. ILoveWinter
    What in the world is going on with the Euro?! Not saying it's wrong but wow so different. What are the Mesos indicating?
  22. ILoveWinter
    Def agree on being conservative in NYC, rates need to be there to overcome. Upside is nice though if it works out!
  23. ILoveWinter
    Yea agree. Just saw a segment and the Met was emphasizing the importance of a 40/70 benchmark track, def more informative than in years past.
  24. ILoveWinter
    They are not using a snow day and they have to consider that many teachers commute from outside of the city where a solid accumulation is expected. I don't think this was a surprising or wrong call at all.
  25. ILoveWinter
    Wow even if you halve this in the immediate metro due to ratios, it's still solid.
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