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ILoveWinter

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Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. True the concrete jungle of nyc does impact snowfall and is a factor into why it is in the hole but notice that it extends 30 miles or so north and west, areas that have a lot of vegetation/forests. So unfortunately, the tracks of the past two storms were just not favorable for areas in this area/hole. Bad luck.
  2. Looks like barely anything of the 2 inches that fell has melted, even here in the City. Honestly I'd take this over 5 inches which is gone by the next day - a "wintry" appearance / feeling is what many of us enjoy.
  3. True but I think a component of our average is due to above average winters where we get a KU (or two in some cases). Without those, we get these nickel and dime events such as this past Sunday / Monday's event.
  4. It was sort of a bust for many in the sense that most of the models kept on bumping totals up even up to game time. Not an epic bust or anything.
  5. This much pessimism after a bad run by one model at 18z 4 days out from the event? Way too early for that! (or being overly optimistic for that matter)
  6. Yea tracking all the different model runs ahead of a potential snow storm is 50% of why I enjoy them lol. Though living in NYC, it usually ends in disappointment!
  7. 4-8 in the immediate NYC metro would be amazing considering the garbage we've experience in the past few years but yes in the wider context I agree.
  8. I'm no expert but I wouldn't say the models are not credible now, only that both the passage of time and tonights storm will of course make things clearer.
  9. Yea we really should only be looking at ensemble means at this early juncture. No use getting overly excited or upset over Ops runs 5-6 days out, especially as we wait for the friday night storm to clear out before we get a better picture of the finer details.
  10. How did EPS look? Prob better to look at ensembles vs any op run at this juncture
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