ILoveWinter
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Everything posted by ILoveWinter
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Explain why it misses south and explain why it will be cutter city - at least when snowman wants to rain on everyone's parade he adds his scientific reasoning.
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Weird that they'd go for a Watch in the immediate metro this early if they are only forecasting 2-4
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? It was not BS, my window faces a small park and the ground was certainly covered enough to indicate a half inch.
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In Manhattan, every factor helps. We’ve been burned so many times with snow that just doesn’t stick with all the crazy UHI.
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Also, for the immediate metro it would be helpful (for accumulations) if the heaviest stuff comes before sunrise
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Yea I was hoping we’d get something as it was quite cold during the day which allowed for immediate accumulation - not always a sure thing with UHI
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Temperatures yes, especially with the vegetation in the warmer months. Precipitation/rain gauge I think works accurately.
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You obviously haven’t been paying attention and haven’t been on this board for long. Central Park snowfall measurements are NOTORIOUSLY undercounted.
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Boston is a hundred miles further. DC is about the same distance as Boston. I think Boston averages more snow vs NYC than NYC does vs DC. Bostons northerly and easterly position is a big factor. We align to Philly’s climate more than any other major east coast city.
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It’s even snowing well offshore south of the coast! Amazing.
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NOLA webcam, already sticking! Going to be quite an event for them.
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I'd add say one of the few locations to experience a "Cat 5" hurricane and a blizzard
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Not exactly the same but geographically they are quite close (5-7 miles as the crow files at most?)
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They did mess up. It wasn't the banding because LGA didn't really get into that (as opposed to southern Brooklyn or Queens) and they measured 3.6. Pretty ridiculous but more of the same.
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Stop trolling, it’s been sticking for a while now, even on the streets. Coming down hard.
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? I’m in the UWS and it’s sticking everywhere. Still plenty of time.
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Steady light snow in UWS but not sticking
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Flurries in the UWS
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Yea this is true. Honestly if this was happening in the Fall or in a warmer airmass with no P type forecasting then we would be saying the RGEM was the most consistent. It’s only now where even small ticks east or west can mean rain vs. snow which provides a sense that the model was terrible when in fact the correction was small.
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Would be a tremendous coup, especially if the euro continues to shift one day before gametime
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So the GFS has an 8 or 9 inch crush job in the City and the RGEM has basically nothing and we are less than 2 days away. Just goes to show you how difficult it is to forecast snowfall for coastal areas of the northeast.
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Certainly could be but I’d be more comfortable with 3-6 if things look that way tonight on most models. Also it’s for the immediate metro, it’s higher N&W with better ratios.
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I think at this point 2-4 is a good call for the immediate metro with less as you go east. Even that would get me excited as it's been 2 years since a sort of moderate snowfall in the City.
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If it does end up snowing several inches in the Park on Sunday, it could help to cut a few degrees off this forecast
