ILoveWinter
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Everything posted by ILoveWinter
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True the concrete jungle of nyc does impact snowfall and is a factor into why it is in the hole but notice that it extends 30 miles or so north and west, areas that have a lot of vegetation/forests. So unfortunately, the tracks of the past two storms were just not favorable for areas in this area/hole. Bad luck.
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lol was just about to comment on that, though maybe they have not yet updated after this morning?
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Yea this last burst may just get CPK above 1 if not there already
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It was sort of a bust for many in the sense that most of the models kept on bumping totals up even up to game time. Not an epic bust or anything.
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Rare storm where all of the big cities from DC to Boston are in line for similar totals
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Isn't it dropping into the lower 20s and may not break freezing in the city tomorrow?
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This much pessimism after a bad run by one model at 18z 4 days out from the event? Way too early for that! (or being overly optimistic for that matter)
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Yea tracking all the different model runs ahead of a potential snow storm is 50% of why I enjoy them lol. Though living in NYC, it usually ends in disappointment!
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4-8 in the immediate NYC metro would be amazing considering the garbage we've experience in the past few years but yes in the wider context I agree.
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I'm no expert but I wouldn't say the models are not credible now, only that both the passage of time and tonights storm will of course make things clearer.
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Yea we really should only be looking at ensemble means at this early juncture. No use getting overly excited or upset over Ops runs 5-6 days out, especially as we wait for the friday night storm to clear out before we get a better picture of the finer details.
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How did EPS look? Prob better to look at ensembles vs any op run at this juncture
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light to moderate snow in the UWS- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow in the UWS but mostly wet and not white on surfaces- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Flurries in the UWS- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm still waiting for the inevitable "storm looks to be forming further east / colder than modeled!" posts lol- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Agreed and as I've posted before, I live near the Park and recorded around 1.5 in multiple locations during one of the storms last year. Issue was that it didn't last long so they may have missed it.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Clearly things not looking good for the immediate Metro though I still hold out the possibility of a strong hour or two front end thump that could lead to an inch or so at the Park.- 3,610 replies
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