Yea I was concerned on the way into the City last night as my car temp showed 42. Likely a few degrees too warm but was a red flag that we would lose some precip to rain/melting snow.
Thanks you for the perspective on the "drought"! Completely agree, we in this forum sometimes are overly concerned during dry stretches. There may be a time to worry but now is not it.
I agree, the gradient was remarkable. I was in the upper east side visiting someone when the front came through and within a few minutes there was a 20 degree difference between where I was and my apartment in the upper west side.
Was the GFS and EAI more accurate because it handled that lobe in the west and the confluence better or was it for other reasons? Wondering if they did better by pure luck or not.
I’m generally not thrown off by the movement of op runs 4 or 5+ days out but the agreement with many of the ensembles at 12z was a bit concerning. Plenty of time though, and no reason to panic.