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Everything posted by MillvilleWx
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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
I work at WPC, so I don't have any internal holdings with LWX. I do know multiple mets at the office though! -
Historic actually. They will eclipse or come very close to some 24hr monthly records, as well as breaking some multi-day snowfall accumulations across portions of WI.
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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Truly incredible event. I'll remember this winter for a long time. -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is true! The highest temperature confirmed the day prior to at least 0.1" of snow at DCA was 78F on 3/18/1934. The next day (3/19/1934), DCA measured 0.1". This was at the location prior to the new location of DCA now. Another tidbit that likely has been broken was the warmest temperature on the same day at least 0.1" was recorded. The previous record was 67F on 11/11/1995 before a strong cold front came through allowing for 0.2" of snow to accumulate later that day. DCA at the 08z ob (1:52AM), the temperature was 77F which would obliterate the old record by 10 degrees. This was quite the event. -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Have to see if this is confirmed, but the temperature yesterday to having at least 0.1" of snowfall measured at DCA might be the warmest it has ever been for that occurrence. I will double check, but I believe the previous record was a temp in the upper 70s. -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is a joke. There is literally no way considering I was around that area this afternoon and everything, non-pavement, was covered. -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
We are bordering heavy snow now in Crofton. This is wild!! -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
I believe it. This is textbook SN -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
33° in Gambrills/Crofton area Moderate snow with massive aggregates. Accumulating very easily on everything but pavement and concrete -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow should fly today, but sticking and accumulating will be a whole other story. Will be cool to see after some 80° days. It’s not super uncommon. Just too marginal with warm grounds to amount to anything. Snow tv at its finest -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
MillvilleWx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Westminster for that storm was beyond insane. 50's preceding, then 36/27 with 30" of snow, then 50 the next day. Absolute freak event -
Upper 50s near Mayo, upper 60s in my neighborhood, and mid 70s about 5 miles west of my neighborhood. Checks out lol
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
MillvilleWx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The overnight Met at Sterling mucked up the Wx grids as they did not include the mention of thunder anywhere in the CWA despite the AFD. That's very confusing and I'm not sure what happened there. An oversight. There is a chance of thunderstorms tomorrow, no question and should be updated with the afternoon package, if I had to guess.- 191 replies
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Linderbaum, Kohlar, Likely, and Stout were as good as gone with those contracts. Insane money for the first two. We apparently offered 4/88 for Linderbaum and he got 3/81…..No thanks. That’s insane for a C
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I loved the burger. Best one they’ve ever had. That said, it’s McDonald’s, so the bar is low lol 73° in Perry Hall area. Little humid out today. Better get used to it I guess
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
MillvilleWx replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
House at 16’ was probably around 0.25” of snow with light snow when I left. Crofton area looks like at least 0.5”. Really pretty out -
Thanks for the list of locations!! Great spots that will help fill more of the gaps that need coverage. And LOL!! The fight is on!! I’ll send you both a PM with my phone number so we can communicate and drum something up. There’s more in the sub I want to meet too.
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Sweet!! Love it. Where are they going to be located, if I may ask? Also, gotta find a time to meet for lunch one day and chat meteorology and learn more about the Mesonet program. I was actually shadowed by a student at UMD this past Friday that knows you. She was incredibly bright and has interest in WPC. Small world!!
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
MillvilleWx replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Took some time away from models after a crazy 7 day stretch at the winter desk. Just from a glance, I haven’t been too enthused. Still a shot at some snow, but max potential is probably 2-4”. Need something with more umph this time of year to really get anything appreciable. Judging by the ensembles after this one, I’m gearing up for spring mode. Baseball is on the horizon and I’m ready to tackle some outdoor walks, hiking, and meals outside. I’ll always welcome some snow though, so if it happens, I’ll accept. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
MillvilleWx replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Our products have deadlines, so we can’t adjust the overnight forecast with the 06z guidance. If things remain like they are, it’ll be reflected in the next update.- 959 replies
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2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
MillvilleWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
DOAH!! Wow, I feel dumb lol. Noted -
2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
MillvilleWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Haven’t looked too much as I’m taking some much needed R&R from weather after that stretch. I’d lean no right now at a quick glance. -
Bringing this over from another spot so it has more visibility. Wanted to shed a little light on something interesting about this last storm. As for obs, currently 40/25°
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2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
MillvilleWx replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
We did some reanalysis of the GFSv16 (Current model iteration) and GFSv17 (Newer GFS that will replace the current version) and found the current GFS actually did a phenomenal job at SLP placement for majority of its runs and absolutely smoked the CMC and ECMWF overall. However, it did have a 48 hr window where the SLP depiction was about 50-75 miles too far west and that caused a lot of QPF negative feedback on the western periphery of the main field. It handled a lot of other areas correctly and outperformed the EC and CMC still on QPF as those models were way too light on QPF. Overall, it was a great job by the GFS, but as is always the case, the result is usually a blend of models and not just one individual deterministic. The NBM QPF was skewed by some overly zealous members, mainly some CAMs that will actually not be there for the next version of the NBM (NBM5.0). We are working with MDL (Model Diagnostics Lab) to generate these analyses to improve upon what we have and go forward. Overall forecast ended up being amazing for the high impacted areas and average at best for those on the edges. With a storm like this, every mile can make a big difference in appreciable impacts.- 227 replies
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
MillvilleWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Incredible seeing the totals out of RI and SE Mass with this one. I was on the winter desk the entire storm at WPC and the forecasts I generated prior to the storm were consistently 30+ inches across that area. My highest forecast point was 34.2” and that even got beat. Incredible storm up there. Congrats to all who cashed big time. One for the record books and one for the memory bank. I’ll always remember my chase to Waltham in Feb 2013. Still one of the greatest storms I’ve ever witnessed and probably the second best pure blizzard I’ve ever seen (Feb 9-10, 2010 back home in Baltimore). Good luck in the dig up there and enjoy the rest of this winter!
