MillvilleWx

2014 was such a wild winter. That run of snow and cold was incredible. We had snow on the ground for over 40 days at Millersville when I was in college. Surreal

Yes they do. I want to check the cluster analysis once the ensembles are out. I'm curious to see if there was a notable jump in members with a more amplified setup. This morning it was the 3rd of 4th most in the camp, however I have seen things flip before, so it'll be something to look at. That was a really stark shift in run-to-run variance, so I'm wondering if there is some merit to that. It's still at the D3-4 turn in terms of time, plenty of time for a notable adjustment.

You would chase you say? I might know a guy

I noticed on my walk yesterday evening how pristine the undisturbed areas look even after all these weeks. It still gives off a sheen when the light reflects off it. It's so smooth and the minor undulations can be noticed when you look at it more intently. That storm will be remembered forever in these parts. As for the weather this morning, balmy in the mid-40s when I left the house. Felt really nice actually.

As a meteorologist who does this shit professionally, we are all weirdos. No other set of people in their right mind will divulge into breakdowns of a computer simulation for an entity that is far more complex in the grand scheme than any of us can comprehend at lead times greater than 24 hrs, gnashing and gnawing of teeth when the algorithm's in place don't spit out a shade of blue. Weather enthusiasts are some of the more complex individuals in that we take immense amounts of gratification in cheering and lamenting on a physical construct we have absolutely no control over. If you have ever looked at a model run beyond 72 hrs to see what COULD happen in the world of weather and ran to comment on a message board....congratulations, you are a weirdo. I for one accept my weirdness and show it as a badge because weather is something all individuals have to contend with and it's fascinating to know how something so complex can yield such incredible results. Fin

I’m actually at the point I want a thaw to just get rid of the snowcrete. Then it can try for one last hurrah for the season. Either way, this winter is one to remember with the snowcrete storm followed by a crazy sustained cold period.

Got woken up at 230am with a brutal migraine and ended up calling out of work (Thankfully non-operational shift). Is anyone else having headaches recently? I think the dryness is starting to crush my sinuses and hits at night. Might have to start back up a saline rinse regimine

I always a appreciate a strong defensive performance. This is beautiful. Mike MacDonald is a mastermind. So happy for him and the Seahawks right now.

I am loving this ass kicking the Pats are receiving. Not a Bad Bunny listener, but I enjoyed the vibe and energy from the music. My Mom is from Ecuador, so I understand some of the lyrics. It was a good time.

Some shots I took with @katabaticwhen we visited Swallow Falls on Friday 2/6

I want to take a moment and thank @katabatic for amazing hospitality and a truly fun trip out to Western MD and the Canaan Valley region, including a slide over into Davis, WV. That was such a fun day of friendship and loving every moment of winter. It was a truly deep winter day with temps in the upper teens to low 20’s with snow falling the entire day. Saw all of the intensities too from light flurries to heavy snow. The Arctic front capture is a moment I’ll never forget. That was absolutely wild. It’s been a long time since I’ve seen something like that. Likely since 2/14/15 up at college. Would do it again in a heart beat!! Thanks again @katabatic!! Now I have excuse to come up there since we never got a chance to eat at Englanders

Some insane wind gusts out of nowhere in the lowlands. Mixing must be finishing out right before sunset. That was out of nowhere after a lull

We love verification!! What an experience.

One of the strongest gusts we had. We had one that was stronger but I didn’t have a camera ready. Easy 50+ in video. The one I missed was 60+. I had to stand still and keep my balance. 86AEF405-E88D-44A0-9A56-1715E7C91F9F.mov

Right as the squall was hitting. Pardon language end of video. Just surreal IMG_0009.mov

On top of Keyers Ridge. Wind gusts 40-60mph with snowfall rates easily at 2”/hr. The gas station 150 yards from us completely disappeared when it came through. Absolutely stunning display of Mother Nature. EB5754F4-B744-483F-951F-C958A305BD6C.mp4

That was one of the most insane, ferocious weather experiences of my life. Just wow. Videos will be shared.

Legit SN+ on top of Keysers Ridge before the squall. Reports upstream were 2-3” in 45 min. This is gonna be wild.

Sure was!! Man, what a pull!

Moderate to heavy snow in Davis, WV 25° @katabatic and I stopping to get pizza

HRRR is best when it's inside 8 hrs, but can more useful up to 12 hrs if it is assimilating the data correctly. It has its struggles with certain setups and is best within convective environments or well-established thermal environments. Winter is not its strong suit, but can be useful at times. Right now, regional CAMs are better at handling this type of setup. Best ascent has been modeled south through the day, but some very light precip is still plausible north of I-66, but not looking likely at this point.

I'm probably going to slide out to western Garrett Co. for this one. I am off after Thursday AM, so I'm probably going to leave early Friday AM and head out there for the Arctic front and snow squalls. Should be fun! Anyone care to join the ride?

Analysis of pavement temps after today show there has been very little movement up in the temperatures with most places between 22-27F off the asphalt. Anything that does fall will easily stick to every single surface, so anything could be impactful for rush hour on Wednesday morning. Unless we get nothing of course.....but I'm not manifesting that

Got to 37F briefly in the neighborhood today, but was down to 33F when I left the house and falling. Expecting some black ice issues to crop up with some of this melting and subsequent refreezing. Stuff will take a small hit next few days, even with any refresher snow we receive before it settles back to pure concrete this weekend.

You’re not even using it to its full capabilities! At least put up the Kuchera and give yourself an extra 0.1”