MillvilleWx

There were some pretty solid indications of warm rain processes being intertwined with standard mid-latitude dynamics that helped create a pretty hefty rainfall footprint across the region. Not as connected today, but PWATs remain pretty high with IAD coming in around the 90th percentile for the daily 12z sounding.

Obviously some of these stations are incorrect, but a majority did a great job capturing the event. The winner was down in the Central BR with over 7" for the primary event (Sawmill Ridge). Those RAWS stations are very reputable and maintained by the Forest Service. BWI at almost 3" is wild. It absolutely dumped buckets there last night.

2.56” for main event here in Londontowne. Man was this needed. Thank goodness

0.69" so far in my neighborhood. About to head home from work. Hopefully pick up a nice dousing overnight.

The weather today is sublime for May. My walk this morning was 3.28 miles of bliss. I will enjoy every second before the heat and humidity rears its ugly head in a month.

I drove through an insane thunderstorm on Thursday out by Cumberland on my travels to Kentucky. Ended up calling Sterling and reporting flooding (Issued a FFW afterwards) and verifying the warning out. That was the worst storm I’ve driven through since I moved from Texas. Hopefully the area gets some beneficial rain from this storm. We desperately need a gully washer.

Got up to 81F yesterday in my neighborhood. Highest so far this year. Definitely felt the sun strength on the walk today along with the warmer temperatures. Summer is around the corner and the sweat will be pouring off my forehead pretty regularly. Life in the Mid Atlantic!

I am in legit tears reading the random post from someone recently in the January Banter thread. The reactions are the icing on the cake Where on earth did that come from?

Outside a few roughish days this month, there have been some absolute banner days this April. Today is no exception. It’s absolutely immaculate out. I woke up from night shift sleep to enjoy this. 72° in Edgewater

Missed the Caps game due to work, but was following along. Need to tighten up 3rd periods, but they did play fast and got the job done. Ovi is on a mission it seems, I love it!! Let’s Go Caps!

Damnit, I miss all the “fun”

He might be a dead prospect, which is absolutely nothing the Orioles can do about it. They can’t foresee it when they draft. It’s just insane the terrible pitching luck this team has had. Felix last year along with Bradish and Wells. This year…..everyone that is good

What a difference an elevation makes. 38F down by the Bay and low-30s not far inland. It was a nice and crisp morning. I dig it

Sunday and Monday will end up being the cooler days when assessing the Fri-Mon time frame. The frontal effects will be most felt across the northern half of the region with a pretty sharp delineation somewhere bisecting Central MD. I can see it making it as far as the Potomac, so basically a lean to climo. 70s and 80s for Fri-Sat, 60s and 70s for Sun-Mon. Can't say I hate it. I'll take that over 40s and 50s any day.

Question on how the backdoor front idea plays out Sunday-Tuesday next week, but this Friday and Saturday look great. I work, but I get off earlier on that desk, so I’m gonna get out and enjoy it.

That place is heaven. One of the best spots at the beach, bar none!

Well, despite a very cool, damp, misty morning in Dewey Beach…the 5K was a massive success for myself. A personal PR for 3 miles and it was actually 3.1 for the full 5K (49 min 20 seconds: 49.202 to be exact ) As a walker, this was sub 16 min pacing, something I was working towards for months. I could not be happier. I’m not a runner and might never be one, but distance walking is my thing. I’ll be looking for more of these events in the future. Time to relax for the rest of the day.

1.93” at my place for the event with on and off light precip pivoting through. At the shore at my parents place partaking in the Coastal Delaware Run Festival. 5K this morning will be cool and damp, but should be fun. Have a great day everyone!

Honestly, it's just incredibly bad luck. Northern stream dominance likely plays some part because in the grand scheme of synoptics, widespread moisture advection is typically best when influenced with some southern stream jet dynamics. It's just incredibly bad luck over the past several years. Not really much else to note off the top of my head.

That's a Wx type specification part of the grid process. Since there is TECHNICALLY some minor elevated convective element that would provide some "burst" components, they probably kept it as the output. I personally would've went with just stratiform rain, but that's the difference from forecaster to forecaster.

Definitely a tight corridor of heavy rainfall across the area. Currently at 0.91" at mi casa, 0.66" at the office, and totals <0.1" west of Rockville. The western edge should expand a little bit as we move into the evening and overnight, but I doubt it gets much further west than Parrs Ridge zone in NoVA up through MoCo/HoCO/Carroll. Tough luck for those areas to the west as they really could use some precip as well. Sigh. I forecasted yesterday and ended up tightening the QPF for today, but this is even a little tighter than my adjustment. Oy vey. Sorry for those that miss out. Us low landers continue to cash.

Just got off of night shifts this morning and I can say this past 5-7 nights were complete hell in the forecasting world. Never in my wildest dreams did I think I would be issuing 2 High Risks and 4 Moderate Risks in a 4 days span without a single tropical cyclone in the mix. My ERD’s (Excessive Rainfall Discussions) were easily 2000+ words in length each night. Just absolutely insane. I’m done till next Tuesday, but I’ll remember that set forever.

Full event will end with 0.82 after 0.53" on 3/31 and 0.29" on 4/1 I'll take it

Added some additional rain from the 2nd round. 0.53" official for yesterday and an addition 0.3" so far and still raining according to radar. Could end up near 0.9" for the event. Not bad!

0.38" at mi casa, but man it was rough driving into work earlier. Pouring buckets east side of the Beltway to College Park. Any rain was welcome