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MillvilleWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MillvilleWx

  1. Absolutely amazing Jebwak out tonight. Wife and I were out for about 30 minutes just enjoying the amazing scenery and taking a few pictures. Measured 2.4” awhile back and it’s coming down at a moderate clip (0.5-0.75”/hr). We’re going over 4” for sure in these parts and 5” is very well in play. Amazing little storm. It feels so good to be back https://x.com/isothermalwx/status/1747104448374018437?s=46&t=doLb6tkQiomu4dgufikV1Q
  2. Legit moderate snow in 5N Frederick. Solid dendrites as well. It is a winter wonderland out now and this will continue for a while. We might push to 5” in these parts at this rate. Wife and I are going for a Jebwalk very shortly. Will take an official measurement for the area and relay to Sterling.
  3. Yessir! I’m off till next week lol. I picked one hell of a time for a staycation. Hope all is well at the office! Glad we are all cashing in. Long time coming
  4. Awesome! We’ll have to get together at some point. Millersville reunion. Especially now that I’m not 1700 miles away!
  5. Oh yeah. You are close. Right down the hill off Christopher Crossing. That Sheetz is my morning stop and gas fill up station. I’m right up the hill from you. I’ll wave next time
  6. 3-6” is a solid bar right now. We are over 2” currently and the good stuff is really just starting. NAM has been steady 4.5-6” for several runs. Sounds right for what’s transpiring. You in North FDK?
  7. I ran out of reactions to give, but I appreciate the sentiment. Include @wxmvpetefrom now on. He’s an incredible Met and a great friend. Went to Millersville together for a time and work together at WPC. Amazing mind for winter weather and analysis. We’ve been looking forward to a day like this for a long time. It’s been a nice storm so far and will only continue to crank overnight.
  8. Was noticing this as well. The evolution is going as expected from what has been depicted by most guidance. Should see some 5-7” totals out of this one at this rate. Combo of 85H frontogen coupled with the mid-level ascent pattern should yield periods of 0.75-1.5”/hr rates for a time overnight into the early morning hrs.
  9. First solid snow since moving back east. Absolutely awesome. Can’t complain one bit
  10. Well well well. It looks like I might know what I’m talking about. It’s time to let my spouse know so I can chalk up one on my side. The tally would now be: Wife: 174 Me: 6 Happy to be on the board
  11. Only took the entire day but it is finally catching on to the fact that there’s a storm. Happy for it
  12. Yeah. Up your way is more delayed, not denied. Southern folks were bound to be better through today. Tonight and into the early morning looks decent for Baltimore Co where you and @mappyare located.
  13. For those of us north of I-70, our good snow is not for later. Enjoy all the stuff now but the show for us has a bit before it takes effect. Widespread 3-5” with local to 6” is a very solid call right now from Sterling. Things materializing well and on time. A beautiful day
  14. That is beyond embarrassing. I’m over 1” in north Frederick now. It’s light to borderline moderate and stacking fairly easily
  15. This ^ The NAM has its faults, but when it has the right setup in line, it can be very useful. This seems like one of those times it has a good handle on the synoptic evolution and handling the thermals properly. It’s been fairly rock steady for a long succession of runs. Great to see considering the HRRR isn’t just out to lunch, I think it’s on vacation…
  16. Hey guys. Looks like a nice high end advisory type event for part of the subforum. There’s a shot for low end warning criteria if the dynamics at play set up just right. 3-5” with as much as 7” max for almost everyone here. Enjoy!
  17. It’s been fairly steady so far with the handling of everything, so it might have some merit. Areas along and SE of 95 would have a shot at mixing if the coastal formed close to the coast. Just a nature of the flow between 925-800mb advecting warm air. Ocean temps are above normal right now as should be the case, so it would promote better warm component being ushered in within the BL. Those NW of 95 should be fine. It’ll be close imo for the district and surrounds, that’s if the guidance has the handle of the coastal enhancement correctly.
  18. This is a reminder to pay zero attention to the HRRR for this storm unless it really gains a clue. It is off immensely at this point to where a certified meteorologist is not following it at all. It has been wrong the entire event so far. It had ZERO snow north of the Potomac for much of last night and didn’t have any until late runs as it was already happening. It has no snow in the area right now and we know for a fact it is dead wrong. Don’t bother. NBM is also too low on snow right now and it is because of the HRRR factor into the forecast. NAM Nest is doing a formidable job at the moment. Obs show a nice start and the best ascent is still to our south. Good stuff not till later. Enjoy and just watch it fall. Models be damned.
  19. Btw, we picked up my wife’s car from dealership after getting some work done down in Gaithersburg off Watkins Mill. She had 1” on her car pretty easily when we got it (Body shop so was sitting in the lot). I think MoCo up through Howard and Carroll/Baltimore Co’s should do well with this one. Baltimore and Carroll will get theirs later.
  20. Just came in here to say this. It is a legit light snow that’s accumulating on everything. Radar looks great for this early. It’s beautiful out
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