The spacing looked better to me than 12z. The dive out of Can was just a bit further east and did not dig as much. Subtle variations to the ridge out west.
I bet you love that little white spot's location! Ha!
An interesting time period to watch. The ops are all over the place in their progression from run to run but something significant looks possible.
0z GEFS and Can ens show the Pac jet strengthening again toward the end of their runs with the trough pushing east. EPS not as much. Just anecdotal but it seems like the GEFS have been more reliable in the 10-15 than the EPS here lately.
I did notice some agreement between the GEFS and EPS on southern stream energy coming out of the SW late in their runs. A small detail late in the run that probably isn't worth mentioning but hoping the idea gains some traction in the coming days. Lets get the real life version of an epic overrunning event.
EPS continues the idea of bringing blocking back in over GL after D10. Massive west coast ridge with the bridge to GL intensifying through the end of the run. Pretty impressive look.
Maybe its just the GEFS (06z) playing follow the leader with the op? But it does have the two wave idea which could be a sneaky way to maximize the potential.
Im hopeful man. Anomalous cold is a must the first week of Dec and that seems likely. A little bit of a cold/dry look there but its a smoothed mean in the LR. IIRC 13-14 was the year of threats popping in the medium range?
Light snow/ flurries here at the office in FDK (Adamstown area). Hoping this incoming band has some solid light/mod snow with it. Great to see some flakes! Its like a good drug... the more you have the more you want!
Another subfreezing morning low. 5th in a row and two of those mornings hit 29. Definitely an abrupt end to the growing season. The garden is officially toast.