EPS continues the idea of bringing blocking back in over GL after D10. Massive west coast ridge with the bridge to GL intensifying through the end of the run. Pretty impressive look.
Maybe its just the GEFS (06z) playing follow the leader with the op? But it does have the two wave idea which could be a sneaky way to maximize the potential.
Im hopeful man. Anomalous cold is a must the first week of Dec and that seems likely. A little bit of a cold/dry look there but its a smoothed mean in the LR. IIRC 13-14 was the year of threats popping in the medium range?
Light snow/ flurries here at the office in FDK (Adamstown area). Hoping this incoming band has some solid light/mod snow with it. Great to see some flakes! Its like a good drug... the more you have the more you want!
Another subfreezing morning low. 5th in a row and two of those mornings hit 29. Definitely an abrupt end to the growing season. The garden is officially toast.
4.09" for the event. Models did pretty good with precip forecasts imby. Always hoping for something more impressive but this was at least something to track and some interesting weather. Been a pretty boring summer in the weather department.
The euro signaling about 24hrs of pre storm rains from thursday morning to Friday morning. Will be interesting to see how this part of the event plays out. Should be efficient rainers with PWATs already well over 2".
Highs Fri upper 30s low 40s across the region with a dry airmass in place 8-12hrs before snow moves in. It's not a total crap airmass to work with. Just need to juice it up!
2" bar IMBY. As long as that comes in a two hour pasting I'll consider this a major victory. The local ridges will be picturesque tomorrow as the storm is departing.