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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Don't blame the model, blame the algorithm on that site. Sometimes I think we'd be better without snow maps altogether. The micro details they present distract from big picture trends.
  2. The GEFS looks good, but I don't like that it slowed down some.
  3. No point posting 10:1 nonsense to be honest.
  4. The GFS has been jumping around quite a bit. Give it a couple runs and see if it jumps back south again. Unless you live in SC, in which case you shouldn't have had hope in the first place TBH.
  5. It's a lot slower. That's a big reason for the jump North I think.
  6. I'm calling it, before tomorrow night's 0z Euro will be the time to get in line to get ahead of the big rush. Wouldn't want to get trampled before going over the edge.
  7. I don't feel great about the FV3 jumping North so much so quickly, hopefully the trend doesn't continue at 0z.
  8. Supports the Euro in that regard. A bit further North of course.
  9. That was too specific. I'm just saying, with CAD it's rare to flip straight to rain, especially at 35.
  10. Their algorithm is silly, it has 35 degrees and snow for my location. Would certainly flip to ice or sleet at like, 28-30.
  11. I have a feeling someone is going to get legendary amounts of sleet.
  12. I think it has value, simply for the sake of allowing people to discuss the LR pattern in a separate thread, when there's a ton of posts.
  13. Wow, hour 192 is stunning. tucked into the coast, stalled out.
  14. The positioning of the High suggests it will be further south
  15. A big improvement from 6z for most everyone.
  16. When you get a deep moisture feed, with a high pressing down it's a phenomenal pattern, regardless of what the indices are.
  17. The crazy thing, is how cold the FV3 GFS is already at the surface. It won't take a perfect track. A less than ideal track would make for a lot more sleet than modeled I imagine, because there are so often sneaky warm layers with transfers. Even if things trend pretty far north, we should get something on the front end, which is a big bonus. You know you're in a good spot when you're equally worried about suppression as you are it coming to far north.
  18. Much more reasonable FV3 map, to balance out the general clownishness around here. I would take this to the bank. Of course, we still have an eternity for things to go wrong, never forget that.
  19. Still, seems like an improvement, with the possibility of a transfer, much like the FV3
  20. Much faster, which should be better, with the positioning of the High
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