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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    I feel there's not a huge upside with this one. A bigger phase would yield a big hit for DC, but dynamics would suck down here. Of course the phase could occur sooner and to our South, but we've seen how that has been a tough ask this year. I understand the GFS is currently in a pretty good position. I just think it's a bit of a thread the needle.
  2. olafminesaw
    Big shifts
  3. olafminesaw
    Flow too fast, waves too flat. Feel like this will continue through the rest of the winter
  4. olafminesaw
    Just warm enough to avoid major road issues. The I73 to I40 overpass was slick with a nasty looking crash on the shoulder though
  5. olafminesaw
    39/15, 3 degrees below the NWS forecast. We'll see if the trend continues overnight
  6. olafminesaw
    A ton of dry air to overcome though. I wouldn't necessarily expect any precip, even drizzle before 12z. Temps may be slow to budge though
  7. olafminesaw
    RAP is a weenie run. More sleet and snow than ZR, and pretty amped
  8. olafminesaw
    GSO Monday morning
  9. olafminesaw
    RGEM tends to be too cold with these type of systems, but verbatim, precip starts in the upper 20s and slowly warms
  10. olafminesaw
    That's a pretty rough screw zone. What's your Climo normally like relative to the Triad?
  11. olafminesaw
    B+ in Greensboro for a lot of the reasons stated, but we just had a bit more luck (and Climo on our side)
  12. olafminesaw
  13. olafminesaw
    The pattern continues
  14. olafminesaw
    The Euro has some light snow up there as well. Seems to be more of a mountains threat, but we shall see
  15. olafminesaw
    Wow! Still in the mid 40s in parts of the Piedmont. The wedge is starting to break here though. Above 50 and no longer foggy/misty
  16. olafminesaw
    There's a slim chance on the 7th/8th. Right now doesn't look like much cold air to work with, so would need a stronger system to generate it's own. But looks like the kind of system that would get squashed easily by any decent cold
  17. olafminesaw
    The NAM is the "singles in your area"
  18. olafminesaw
    Our next threat period around the 10th
  19. olafminesaw
    UKMET looksmore flat. I'm starting to lose faith in the GFS
  20. olafminesaw
    Columbia to Charlotte to Fayetville could be in for a big time storm for their standards
  21. olafminesaw
    GFS stops the bleeding a bit. Very similar to 6z, but nearly gets enough tilt towards the end to get the precip shield north.
  22. olafminesaw
    The 6z Euro is flat as a pancake
  23. olafminesaw
    I agree, although with the caveat that delayed storm development has been a consistent issue this winter. Could turn out more of a coastal threat. The good news about the 6z GFS is the high is in a great position. The only reason it warms so much is the LP is weak, there's hardly any precip and it's mid-day as the low is pulling away
  24. olafminesaw
    Yeah...not a great trend. The door is open, but closing fast. There's hope through at least the 0z trends tonight though
  25. olafminesaw
    So...model mayhem for the next for days then.... Cool, cool
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