Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
  • Posts

    3,805
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. I agree, it's not so much ground temps I'm concerned about as getting the front to move through quick enough before the moisture arrives. Gotta watch trends here, if we can move it south and stronger, we're in business
  2. Hmmm, highs in the 60s the day before? Cold chasing moisture? What could go wrong?
  3. Still...gotta watch the initial disturbance, clipper thingy. Could drop a sneaky few inches somewhere. Currently favors to our North, but with the suppression trend, could work out around here
  4. Stays positively tilted and holds back the energy. Not a great run (brokenrecord.jpg)
  5. Hey I gotta cover for eyewall, lol I do feel a dusting-2" is a plausible outcome for the piedmont. It's our bread and butter anyway.
  6. I feel there's not a huge upside with this one. A bigger phase would yield a big hit for DC, but dynamics would suck down here. Of course the phase could occur sooner and to our South, but we've seen how that has been a tough ask this year. I understand the GFS is currently in a pretty good position. I just think it's a bit of a thread the needle.
  7. Flow too fast, waves too flat. Feel like this will continue through the rest of the winter
  8. Just warm enough to avoid major road issues. The I73 to I40 overpass was slick with a nasty looking crash on the shoulder though
  9. 39/15, 3 degrees below the NWS forecast. We'll see if the trend continues overnight
  10. A ton of dry air to overcome though. I wouldn't necessarily expect any precip, even drizzle before 12z. Temps may be slow to budge though
  11. RAP is a weenie run. More sleet and snow than ZR, and pretty amped
  12. RGEM tends to be too cold with these type of systems, but verbatim, precip starts in the upper 20s and slowly warms
  13. That's a pretty rough screw zone. What's your Climo normally like relative to the Triad?
  14. B+ in Greensboro for a lot of the reasons stated, but we just had a bit more luck (and Climo on our side)
  15. The Euro has some light snow up there as well. Seems to be more of a mountains threat, but we shall see
  16. Wow! Still in the mid 40s in parts of the Piedmont. The wedge is starting to break here though. Above 50 and no longer foggy/misty
  17. There's a slim chance on the 7th/8th. Right now doesn't look like much cold air to work with, so would need a stronger system to generate it's own. But looks like the kind of system that would get squashed easily by any decent cold
×
×
  • Create New...