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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
  2. olafminesaw
    It seems that SPC has to be at least considering a high risk, the biggest argument against being uncertainty regarding the location of the highest threat area. The only question that remains is to what extent/how long, will cells remain discrete
  3. olafminesaw
    https://schumacher.atmos.colostate.edu/hilla/csu_mlp/
  4. olafminesaw
  5. olafminesaw
    About doubled, both in terms of population and area. Also the Enhanced pushed well East all the way to Ohio. These threats that effect large areas with the mod/enh tend to be a bigger deal than a small high risk.
  6. olafminesaw
    I wish the mods could merge the threads from each sub, so it linked to the same place. Really mostly just applies to severe, but it's super annoying to keep up with two threads at once.
  7. olafminesaw
    That escalated quickly!
  8. olafminesaw
    47 degrees and no need for a jacket, with a light breeze and that warm march sun!
  9. olafminesaw
    Before DST root for cold in case of snow. Then root for warmth until Mother's day when we root for cooler than average temps until Halloween.
  10. olafminesaw
    Yep, suppressed and energy held back. Definitely a possibility and more of a fear for me at this point than a cutter.
  11. olafminesaw
    That last one looks fake. Like a zoomed in photo of one of those mini Christmas villages.
  12. olafminesaw
    Even WPC is highlighting a d7 threat for the mountains
  13. olafminesaw
    Overnight models looking surprisingly good for the lowlands. We may close in on a solution a little quicker this time around (for better or for worse) with a less progressive flow.
  14. olafminesaw
    Although the OP was a dud (more euro-like) the ensembles are the best yet.
  15. olafminesaw
    You simply flew to the wrong Portland!
  16. olafminesaw
    Fairly good signal for the mountains. Also a cluster of members that stay suppressed.
  17. olafminesaw
    Looks good to me
  18. olafminesaw
    CMC isn't far off, but wish there were some suppressed, cold/dry solutions from the globals.
  19. olafminesaw
    Drops 2" qpf in 12 hours in the Jackpot zone. Simply a beautiful run, despite the reality of how unlikely that is.
  20. olafminesaw
    Yeah, looking a bit less likely than yesterday, but still on the table. Let's see if the 6z GEFS is more on board.
  21. olafminesaw
    (sorry, can't help myself)
  22. olafminesaw
  23. olafminesaw
    Images starting to emerge. It's never good when you don't hear much news a couple days after landfall.
  24. olafminesaw
  25. olafminesaw
    Yeah the Euro has the same general look, but seems to just get the energy caught up out west and comes in too late to time the cold
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