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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    I think it completed a few hours ago, but it ingested a ton of dry air in the process. This has caused a lopsided eye and a weakness on the north side of the storm. It seem to be starting to mix out the dry air and wrap convection around the eye, as the structure stabilizes. Weakening should at least stop before reaching Guam, and has a chance at re-intensification before landfall.
  2. olafminesaw
    Really starting to look like an EWRC may save Guam from a cat 5 impact. Barring a meld or quick completion, neither of which are especially likely
  3. olafminesaw
    For being such a tiny target, Guam is one of the most high end hurricane prone population centers in the world. They get a direct major hurricane strike about every 20 years or so. They'll be fine structurally, it's more a concern of life after the storm being difficult for weeks if not months after.
  4. olafminesaw
    Looking increasingly likely that this system will bring soaking rain to the Carolinas. I for one welcome the moisture. May see some isolated flooding, especially in the Eastern mountains/escarpment
  5. olafminesaw
    Looks like it will be rolling through pretty late anyway and looks like the type to weaken past the mountains, especially with limited destabilization during the day.
  6. olafminesaw
    Maybe some slightly spicy weather tomorrow. Anything to break the monotony (although I confess, it has been rather nice)
  7. olafminesaw
    7/3/2
  8. olafminesaw
    watch out Myanmar
  9. olafminesaw
    That's kinda stupid at like peak severe season. Not that there's anything significant on the horizon thankfully.
  10. olafminesaw
    Wowee, that's a lotta snow for the UP
  11. olafminesaw
    One of the prettiest radar images you'll see, as cat 5 ILSA comes ashore in sparsely populated Western Australia
  12. olafminesaw
  13. olafminesaw
    Lol!
  14. olafminesaw
    About to get soggy! So much for drought concerns
  15. olafminesaw
    This one in Missouri looks legit.
  16. olafminesaw
    Massive hail in Oregon IL
  17. olafminesaw
    At least now Easter Sunday high pressure is starting to move in, so should be clearing up throughout the day
  18. olafminesaw
    And we're at that sweet spot in the year where slightly below and slightly above average are fantastic, and well above or below are tolerable (barring a wedgy drizzle-fest)
  19. olafminesaw
    The whole evolution of this supercell has been wild. Could be studied for years.
  20. olafminesaw
    What a beadt Actually a pretty rural area, some small towns, but shouldn't run into anything major for a while, other than the interstate
  21. olafminesaw
    Office building in Little Rock, per reddit.
  22. olafminesaw
    My understanding is that fast storm motion can inhibit tornado formation as the updraft is continually being disrupted. If my memory serves anything over about 50 mph is when this starts coming into play. Just something to watch, but there are certainly exceptions to this rule, as fast moving tornadoes are definitely a thing.
  23. olafminesaw
    Wild to see a PDS tornado watch touching a WWA, and one county removed from a WSW
  24. olafminesaw
  25. olafminesaw
    The only other time a tor driven high risk was issued for that region was also in March. Does anyone know what date that was? I don't know my severe weather history all that well.
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