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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
I just want one official forecast discussion to refer to weather conditions as "a vibe", lol -
Plenty of banding per microwave. I was thinking that annular cyclones have a somewhat lower intensity ceiling?
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I think it completed a few hours ago, but it ingested a ton of dry air in the process. This has caused a lopsided eye and a weakness on the north side of the storm. It seem to be starting to mix out the dry air and wrap convection around the eye, as the structure stabilizes. Weakening should at least stop before reaching Guam, and has a chance at re-intensification before landfall.
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Really starting to look like an EWRC may save Guam from a cat 5 impact. Barring a meld or quick completion, neither of which are especially likely
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For being such a tiny target, Guam is one of the most high end hurricane prone population centers in the world. They get a direct major hurricane strike about every 20 years or so. They'll be fine structurally, it's more a concern of life after the storm being difficult for weeks if not months after.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Looking increasingly likely that this system will bring soaking rain to the Carolinas. I for one welcome the moisture. May see some isolated flooding, especially in the Eastern mountains/escarpment -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Looks like it will be rolling through pretty late anyway and looks like the type to weaken past the mountains, especially with limited destabilization during the day. -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Maybe some slightly spicy weather tomorrow. Anything to break the monotony (although I confess, it has been rather nice) -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
That's kinda stupid at like peak severe season. Not that there's anything significant on the horizon thankfully. -
Spring 2023 Medium/Long Range Discussion
olafminesaw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Wowee, that's a lotta snow for the UP -
One of the prettiest radar images you'll see, as cat 5 ILSA comes ashore in sparsely populated Western Australia
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Lol! -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
About to get soggy! So much for drought concerns -
This one in Missouri looks legit.
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Massive hail in Oregon IL
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
At least now Easter Sunday high pressure is starting to move in, so should be clearing up throughout the day