87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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This is gonna be an easy warning level snow here. Thought it would take longer to start sticking but...mid January...
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Some street stickage here already. Steady light snow. Game on. Edit: more like steady here and sticking to everything.
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it really is another very healthy run. if it's right, then totals may need to be nudged up a little, but i'd side with the euro at this point. plenty of energy to move through all day tomorrow. could be a sunrise to sunset snow.
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1" qpf line creeping up towards dc again this run. looks like things are pretty set at this point.
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dc is pretty much squarely in the 0.5-.75"+ at this point.
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nam looking good again so far.
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Light flurries by the 270 split.
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smidge north than the 6z run. at this point, i think we're pretty solidly into a 4-6" event. whatever else falls is gravy. gonna step away for a bit and save my energy for the show. side note: looking at some of the wind maps...surface/850 circulation looks to really takeover near sunrise tomorrow, so i think that's when the real good stuff arrives. just how far north it gets is probably the wildcard for the bigger totals near dc.
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notably better than 6z, just not the nam. another nudge north approaching gametime.
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rgem nudged north. it's not a wallop like the icon and nam, but a good trend.
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I was getting hyped with just the combo of 0.5” qpf and temps in the 20s. That was a legendary nam run. Gotta take it with a grain of salt, but maybe it’s a signal we’re a little closer to coastal impacts than previous runs suggested.
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Its always the east and south most model on all these kinds of storms...and often driest it didn't really seem farther south and east this run. it almost looked better, but for some reason qpf was a little lighter on the north side. south side looked a little better, though. not sure what to take from that run.
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i've been there lol. that one was high ratio. the one right before snowmaggedon overperformed too. when it wants to snow, it just does.
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vanilla porter (breckenridge brewery) is pretty good. just wish i didn't leave it at my cousin's house.
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jan 2010 definitely springs to mind radar-wise with this one being further north, at least the waa portion... https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=60&interval=60&year=2010&month=1&day=29&hour=0&minute=0 wildcard is what it does along the coast, i guess.
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feb 6-7, 2003 sort of reminds me of this one...not exact, but maybe a further south version of that one, which also had temps to work with and layed down an easy 5-6". more of a coastal impact with that system, but i think boom is possible if we can get into a moderate band for a couple hours.
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i spoke too early. dammit, i try not to do that now, too. this is definitely a better run. i guess there's more coastal impact now. healthy, healthy run for md/va.
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it looks a little more consolidated for areas that were already primed like va/md. if anything, maybe a bit of a better run. it's game on. almost near nowcasting time.
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nam looks like a hold so far. i don't see much change. maybe a bit better than 12z for areas south and east.
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i'm in
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i don't think a lot has changed since yesterday. the same general idea on 12z applies...there's clues as to how this could boom and there's clues as to how this could bust. we need the first part of this storm to verify and/or the coastal to be further north and not get punted ots so easily by that stout high funneling in from the GL. we should know more by monday morning.
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it is. i'm a little concerned about having such a strong high beelining to the southeast like that, but if the front end stuff is as depicted, then it's game on. also...just checked gfs for next weekend...intriguing.
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it's a pretty flat look. the storm doesn't gain enough latitude and there's really nothing that keeps it from shooting ots. gonna need everything to be further north, but 500 isn't inspiring at all. at least we have temps on our side, so any scraps from the first part should stick.
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yup, that's what mine was. was unpleasant, to say the least. felt like a classic stomach flu, but the quick duration was odd, so maybe it was the norovirus.
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not gonna lie, i feel like this storm has some decent bust potential. upper levels are pretty foul, at least when comparing to the systems that do well here. boom scenario would be coastal impacts. bust would be stuck in no man's land during the coastal transfer. wouldn't surprise me if that initial WAA gets mangled on approach since we're talking about a fairly strung out system, but i hope i'm wrong because i'm ready for some snow.
