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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. it really is and i was gonna mention the same. i can't remember the last time a mecs hit midweek. maybe jan 2000. i traveled during 07-08 so maybe i missed something there.
  2. looks like a miller B, but the trough is digging far enough south to where we actually have a chance as opposed to some redeveloping clipper off the coast of maryland/delaware.
  3. this storm had (and still has) a lot of work to do before it could become a mecs here, so incremental improvements makes sense as opposed to some huge shift west.
  4. This Colorado talk is making me crave powder again. Took my bike out for a test ride today…think it’s doable in powder (ice is a no go). Long story short, I’ll take a 2-4” clipper…wouldn’t surprise me if this upcoming pattern finds a way to produce a minor event, regardless of a mecs.
  5. Gfs looks almost like a frontal passage. It’s gonna take bombogenesis if we’re talking a miller b. As others have said the trough is too east…not enough time to tap into the gulf at this latitude or the Atlantic at this longitude. 5-6 days out though…
  6. Aside from January ‘19, the argument could be made that he had the correct general idea lol.
  7. Jet steam next Friday looks similar to last night except further nw.
  8. I vote yay on that lol. The inland runner we had was a 500 low too far west, but that’s not showing up with these next systems at least so far.
  9. I’ve just been peeking around but any southern wave gets my attention when there’s a 1030+ high nosing down from Canada. Looks like that wave washes out the last couple runs bc of a lead vort to the north but we don’t know yet where the current coastal ends up which I’m assuming will dictate things upstream.
  10. Yea I don’t think it’s a cutter pattern with the ridging out west, but if there’s enough blocking then maybe it’ll go negative quick enough. I almost like the midweek potential more though maybe bc it’s sooner lol.
  11. Really want the trough a little further west to avoid a late phase. That’ll cause a coastal developing too far east (like last nights system) or north.
  12. I split the difference and brew my own loose leaf black tea (only the good stuff). And it’s gotta be iced.
  13. Yea my sister said 6” (she’s around 10 mins west of sandbridge, if that). They seem to get these types of storms every few years.
  14. my takeaway from the 18z gfs is that i may need new tires for my jeep sooner than later.
  15. my brother in law isn't hyped yet (pungo area), so i had to tell him that the mid level stuff isn't set to move through until later. i think se virginia gets a few inches from this. it's been light so far and still coating the ground there.
  16. either i'm getting older (i am) and/or i need a full suspension bike for the frederick watershed stuff because my back is making noises i never thought possible. one of the benefits of winter is it forces me to be lazy...which i probably could use. in other news, i haven't been able to find any buffalo trace products recently, but i am enjoying jefferson's aged at sea. thought it would be gimmicky, but it's actually pretty good.
  17. there's not much at the surface with this one and the trough is positive. definitely interested in what va beach ends up with, though. could be impactful for that area...snow at the beach.
  18. tread carefully lol. it does look promising, though. we're generally very good at precip here...as long as there's cold, it'll snow at some point.
  19. tuesday still doesn't look impossible on the gfs and that east coast stemwinder next weekend is intriguing. i'm turning my attention now towards mecs's.
  20. i can't tell if the cold air got delayed (probably at least part of the problem) or the precip was too quick to move through/low formed further south. either way, timing was definitely off for the nw crew. looks like eastern portions were at least able to snag some light stuff at the end.
  21. yea, though even the short-range high res models called for more. i'm not even sure a single flake fell in frederick and some of those models were calling for a couple of inches, though this is also why it's futile to just look at snow maps. i had some doubts yesterday when i looked at the surface obs and saw the wind shift was still out in the midwest...the cold air just got delayed in an anti-cad kind of way.
  22. Fog rolling off the mountains right now. Looks and feels like rain. Euro is still the king?
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