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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    that's the one i'm interested in.
  2. 87storms
    one thing is certain, i'm not spending all week tracking an ice storm lol. if this trends towards snow, i'm in.
  3. 87storms
    having the 540 line in toronto probably doesn't help with the mid levels, but it's also an overrunning event as opposed to a wound up storm. seems like this could work, but may want a little separation between waves to allow the cold air to settle in.
  4. 87storms
    well that's interesting... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2022013112&fh=90
  5. 87storms
    i'm on the ropes, too. commanders is suspect. it flows fine, but it sounds very corporate. i would have taken the blue heron over that. some think it will be the red hogs because they chose groundhog day for the event...which is probably better, but i would have preferred just plain hogs.
  6. 87storms
    you weren't kidding. it was tempting to contribute, but wisdom got the best of me lol. these discussions often times just end up going down a rabbit hole. fwiw, i'm kind of in the middle when it comes to "topics since early 2020". back to the weather...the late weekend system is kind of doing what i was thinking would be the way to get something to work here and that's have a shortwave right on the heels of a cold shot. 500 looked a bit north, but looks like other opps thereafter. this might be a good week to let the chips fall for thursday, focus on work/life, and regroup for the next phase of tracking.
  7. 87storms
    looks decent for cad, though, but we're gonna need a vort hot on its tail to get something to work. i don't know enough to say, but i imagine the lack of blocking is why the last storm formed way the heck out in the atlantic instead of reforming closer to the coast or even inland.
  8. 87storms
    Looks like the gfs, euro, and Canadian all have waves behind the late week system. That’s about all I can say lol. Just need to see how they behave with the southern stream energy out west.
  9. 87storms
    i think that's actually a fair analogy and a good one. however, there's a difference between saying (or assuming) a game is over after a pick 6 when there's still enough time and understanding that there may still be enough time. it's the difference between getting too high or low on something you can't control.
  10. 87storms
    think in terms of probabilities. the point bob is trying to get through to you is that much like in sports, there is no formula to predict 100% what the outcome will be, but a lot of people still watch sports. if your team is in the hunt for the playoffs (ns and ss potential phase), you'll want to track them more so than if they're 10 games under 500 (clipper-driven miller B), but if you love your team and/or the sport enough you'll track them no matter what (weather junkies).
  11. 87storms
    Looks like the low is down to 980, cranking out in the Atlantic right now. Around a foot of snow in OC. Well done, eastern shore…well done.
  12. 87storms
    without blocking (nao is still positive), may just need to find a sw or clipper type system on the heels of one of these systems because there is cold air available.
  13. 87storms
    https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DOX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad
  14. 87storms
    latest nam did kind of shift a little east. still solid for the coast though. edit: on second thought, pretty negligible.
  15. 87storms
    i think the idea is that it phases with the upper level energy in time. the low is definitely out in the gulf stream, but there's still quite a bit of mid level energy to get wrapped into it. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/SFCUS/last.html
  16. 87storms
    edit: the hornets are no longer dominating the lakers. good game in progress.
  17. 87storms
    this event reminds a lot of what i experienced in deep creek several years ago...basically a long duration snizzle that accumulates better than you'd expect.
  18. 87storms
    this thread is 87 pages long, so i'm going to post... currently consuming jefferson's at sea and chasing it with a guinness draught while watching the hornets dominate the lakers. also, i use youtubetv and don't have twc...but i do have weathernation. gonna put them to the test this storm to see what kind of coverage they provide.
  19. 87storms
    prob mentioned already, but surface low already formed off the coast of the carolinas...just wish it was 50 miles west.
  20. 87storms
    Getting a coating here as temps drop. Need to run an errand. Looking slicker though.
  21. 87storms
    Looks like some added lift at h5 moves through this evening which may enhance things along the corridor. We shall see…
  22. 87storms
    Yea it’s pretty light here now and roads just wet. My friend near olney confirmed the same. Miller Bs…what can ya do lol.
  23. 87storms
    i'm right on the northwest edge of that band between downtown frederick and germantown. very showery system so far. hopefully that builds north a bit, but i'm not overly confident in that.
  24. 87storms
    i was just kidding about the accumulation part then. guess rates are important lol.
  25. 87storms
    not really accumulating much here. been inside all day because my current project is tedious, but there were some calls by posters here about temps being a potential issue today for accumulation and that's been nailed. great call so far on that. still some solid snow tv here. gonna step outside and see what's going on.
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