87storms

true, though i still have some doubts about the latter impacts for this storm. this event will make for an interesting case study. 60 degree temps for multiple days leading in with a dense cold air mass replacing it. we'll know tomorrow lol.

i will say, i stepped outside for the first time today (work meetings start my day) and it's definitely a thick cold out.

i can do without ice, but i don't hate sleet as much as i used to...i didn't expect my thought process would change on that because it was definitely a buzz kill growing up. and speaking of sleet, it's pinging here in the whittier area of frederick at the moment.

that too. i'm not emotionally invested in this storm one way or another. maybe my post came off that way, though i did mention shortly after that i was mostly kidding. the remaining skepticism is based on how ground temps (and tree/power lines, etc.) always seem to be a mystery leading into these types of events. i think it's actually an interesting topic and not discussed much. there's times where the snow sticks to the roads when you wouldn't expect it and there's times where it melts on contact because of the sun angle. which leads back to...who knows lol.

i'm not talking about snow. we know ice has a difficult time accumulating on roads here even in early january.

i was mostly kidding. i've been in this game long enough to know that debby'ing a storm can end up making someone look like an idiot, which is why i rarely do it anymore lol. i really am curious how quickly ground temps, etc., will follow air temps after the mild weather we've had. haven't seen it talked about anywhere, but it does matter. but yes, when dealing with ice, it's better to err on the side of caution...and to also wear shoes that don't make you fall on your ass. not that i would know anything about that.

i mean...honest question...how quickly will ground temps freeze after temps the last few days? we're also dealing with daylight mitigating a big drop in temps as well. i'm being imby, but i'm sure far northern and western md will be a different ballgame.

i'm sort of kidding, but it's literally been in the 60s for several days in a row leading into this. i suppose trees and such could ice, but there's some factors against impacts here. we'll see. i'd rather it just snow lol.

when will it be ok to break out a nothing burger gif for this storm?

yea, winter is supposed to be 3 months here lol. i don't need anymore than that. otherwise, it gets to a point of what exactly am i rooting for? there's too much to like about spring. ideally, i'd like 1 more snowstorm, but at this point i'd rather it be book-ended by mild weather.

the temperatures the last few days have been truly majestic. we left 2 months on the table where we could have snowed (november and feb), so we had our chances. it's time to get this party moving to spring. not to say i won't accept another snowfall...i will...but spring is starting to vibe.

yea, i expected more, but the last 2 winters were a joke in bethesda (where i used to live), so i was ok with this. i kinda feel like we might get one more storm...we'll see.

it's gotten breezy here as well, though it's certainly more tolerable when it's a southerly component.

I’m putting this winter as a B-, saved in Frederick by two decent storms. This is a relative grade compared to the last 2 winters. It’s my first time living up here and I’m just glad it actually snowed. Realistically, it’s probably a C+. One more warning level snowfall and it’s a solid B.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

satellite and water vapor show the roll clouds real well. pretty cool actually.

looks like hagerstown is first in line for that band. i was contemplating a bike ride or even a hike, but both might be a little sketch in this weather.

i'm game. just saw the radar...i might be on the southern fringe, but looks interesting for the northern tier.

i'm under the frederick blue. decent gusts just rolled through here already, whipping things around for a bit.

Let's cut the bs...is it gonna snow or not? Math is fun, though. Was recently trying to figure out why we drop a zero when doing long division of fractions. Not sure it was ever really taught in school, or I was just not paying attention (possibly dreaming of making the nba). Hint: cross multiplying. Re how it relates to the weather. Trig is a good start...probably some asymptotic functions thrown in as well to remind us of downsloping, low level warm air intrusion, and dry slots.

maybe in dc. gonna be more challenging up here in the valleys/ridges of frederick. it hasn't been all that warm the last 4 months, so while it's been a typical la nina winter, it's mostly due to it being dry. we'll need to see how much the se ridge flexes in the coming weeks.

yesterday's temps were awesome. looking forward to march madness soon and then cherry blossom updates. it can snow again if it wants, but i'm starting to turn the page on winter.

another burst of wind is cranking here right now. the 4-5am shower was legit, too. woke up to rain blasting my windows.

The radar is reminiscent of early fall with precip having an easier time along the m/d line. Have had some soakers here since late afternoon…more towards Hagerstown. The milder temps were welcome today.

My desire to play hoops or bike in 80 degree weather followed by an early evening severe thunderstorm is growing.