
87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Re scotch, I do like glenfiddich products…maybe there’s just less peat. GF14 was a good one. Also enjoyed green spot Irish whisky…tried that one a few months ago.
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Noted, thx!
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I still can’t get past the peat/smoke in scotch, but it is smooth. I may have to go on an eagle rare search soon, though. That was recommended to me here and still in my rotation.
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My basketball analogy isn’t gaining a lot of traction so far lol. I can’t be the only hoops junkie here.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
87storms replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I forgot about this thread.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
- cold canada
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It’s a tie at the end of the 3rd quarter and a win gets us into the playoffs. Each run for the next day is 3 mins each. The game plan is to win at least 3 of those, or we go home. Or something like that.
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i feel like i've been working 2 jobs this week. i'm ready for some model consensus.
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damn near gets us in the comma head this run.
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the question i have is how far west can the coastal reasonably come? will the storm have a chance to go north more than advertised before being shunted to the east? there is a southern energy component to this which is why we're not getting skunked on the models compared to other moisture starved clipper to miller b screwjobs. at this point, really won't take much of a westward shift, but how much is really possible given the suppressive highs to the northwest?
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all i know is that i hope the pbp doesn't involve the word "east".
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the northern piece is the one to pay attention to imo. want that to dive in further west/south (which looks like it is slightly doing so far).
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looks a little better so far...slightly west'er/more consolidated.
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need that energy diving in from the dakotas to be a little further west. it's a close shave for sure.
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it bombs out late, but it's workable. need a closer to the coast track, most likely. it's becoming a little clearer what's needed for this system to work out here.
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the more i look at this system, the more i think we (folks west of i95) want to rely on a more vigorous ns sw (the northern piece). i'm basing this on as-is...obviously, if that piece dives in further west, we're golden, but that's not the case at least on the gfs. so "as-is", i'm in agreement with what others have said that we may want to bank on that energy being legit enough to provide us with a classic "clipper-like" event for the western folks and then if the phase can occur soon enough to toss precip back against the mountains, then big bonus.
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That’ll do some things
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i think we should toss that one lol.
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yea i'm just saying it might not take much to get a better solution. imo 12z looked kinda wonky to an extent. how often is a trough that narrow like the gfs showed.
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the trough axis almost looked slightly better or at least more like the cmc as it neared our longitude. idk
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hard to really even find the key differences between 12 and 18z. seems like it was just a subtle difference with that energy that drops in from the pac nw/canada. probably want that energy to be a little more consolidated to carve out a better trough.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
87storms replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
it really is and i was gonna mention the same. i can't remember the last time a mecs hit midweek. maybe jan 2000. i traveled during 07-08 so maybe i missed something there.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
87storms replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
looks like a miller B, but the trough is digging far enough south to where we actually have a chance as opposed to some redeveloping clipper off the coast of maryland/delaware.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
87storms replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
this storm had (and still has) a lot of work to do before it could become a mecs here, so incremental improvements makes sense as opposed to some huge shift west.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
87storms replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
That was a significantly better run.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
87storms replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
This Colorado talk is making me crave powder again. Took my bike out for a test ride today…think it’s doable in powder (ice is a no go). Long story short, I’ll take a 2-4” clipper…wouldn’t surprise me if this upcoming pattern finds a way to produce a minor event, regardless of a mecs.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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