Big game for the Terps tonight. Reese and Scott's interior play are the x-factors, imo, mostly because Edey is a beast in the paint. I like Jahmir, but I pretty much know what to expect from him, which is steady guard play.
This winter is the anti-2009/10. This was the winter where we truly paid for that one. It's all downhill (or uphill, if you prefer climbing) from here.
Re jet stream...I'm just now looking at the Euro and the jet is about 100 miles further south than the GFS. Worth tracking if we can get a wave that actually produces east of the Apps. Let the model flip flopping begin.
My mom lives out in Henderson and called me while I was shooting hoops outside to tell me that it was a mixed bag of precip out there. She's already had more snow than me from the last event that left them up to 2". It's ridiculous. Usually the weather is the opposite from us, so I'm not surprised that with the mild temps here that it's been below normal out there. This is not our winter. Just look at the jet stream placement...even for that next week thing it looks further north than ideal.
Dews dipped last night with the hp drifting overhead...problem is it was about 12 hours before the precip arrived. This winter continues to non-winter.
That's a bummer. I live in Frederick, MD and have had maybe an inch all season from 2 jeep-toppers and a non-accumulating snow shower lol. This winter has not been friendly to the east coast, in general.
Chiming in here from the north...curious how the Asheville area has done? Was it a dud except for the very higher elevations? I visited Asheville last year so I'm trying to learn the area a bit. This seems like one of those systems where you need to be as close to the H5 low as possible, even further north.
I'm not betting on the game because I'm too competitive and start getting conflicted about who I should root for lol, but I lean towards the Eagles. They're hungry and have a lot of momentum going. Mahomes is a beast, though. He can literally throw from any angle and scramble, if needed...the equivalent of a good shooter as well as a slasher in the NBA.
The problem with today’s storm is that it isn’t cold outside. I literally shot hoops for about an hour before the rain moved in. Light wind made it completely doable. Next…
As others have preached...regardless of the LP track or wind direction, there just isn't enough cold air. We needed an arctic high, not a regular/fair weather HP. Looks like the Blue Ridge could have some icy stuff, but to the east...we will take our rain and we like it.
I think we need a closer ULL pass for this type of event to lower thicknesses as much as possible…which may only help out the higher elevations anyway.
I honestly don't care too much about when a storm thread is created, but obviously the issue is we're creating them at that "fork in the road" portion of the modeling when there's still time for significant adjustments. On one hand, it makes sense to separate out a storm threat if there's multiple threats, but with this being the only one I think it could have waited another day or so to avoid tracking debris clouds (which hopefully is not the case).