jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Glad I won’t be in Albany. Since they downslope in almost any direction, it’ll scorch there for sure. Pretty good bet they hit 100 in this.
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Nice little soaker for the south shore, most places there look to have an inch or so.
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Yep. May 2015 in a 20”+ rain month there, Oct 2015 when there was over 10” in one day, and numerous severe warnings, and a tornado that went within 2 miles of my place. Severe weather wise and flooding it was crazy, but on the flip side I missed the Jan 2015 and 2016 blizzards and numerous other 6”+ storms those winters. I would trade to be here for those. The heat from now until after Labor Day there is also absolutely brutal.
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Take whatever can survive east of Queens this time of year. At least we’re getting this before the long dry/hot stretch.
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Mod-heavy rain and some thunder.
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You can see the various outflow/seabreeze boundaries in S NJ where the storms exploded as they collided. Of course that meant other places like yours got skipped over. Looks like LI might luck out here with these storms coming east. Sky getting dark to the west.
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South Jersey Alley rarely disappoints in these.
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Our real shot later is the stuff in central PA surviving. Hopefully all this crudvection doesn’t ruin it but probably will.
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Any decent amount of rain for the lawns would be great. I’ll believe any storms refiring for east of the city in June when I see it.
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Yep, with that we’d probably reach low 90s IMBY but the south shore would be mid 80s. Of course this makes the humidity worse and will drive the SSTs up faster. Even if it’s a few degrees cooler near the coast doesn’t make it feel any better.
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I guess now we need to start looking out for Nantucket Highs in the summer?
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Lawns will need it for sure given what’s coming. Hope we get it.
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Always the chance too that the ridge is too steep/centered west of us which would cause our winds to be southerly or even bring a back door front through. We’d want a flatter ridge for big heat like the Euro. If we start seeing more height falls to our NE again it’s a big red flag IMO.
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12z Euro has 100s area wide late next week. Even has 100 on LI.
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If we really heat up for a while, by Aug if anything we’d want the westerly winds near the coast because the onshore flow just jacks up the humidity with little/any cooling. 93/75 or higher is worse than 98/68. Up here on the N shore is the worst of both worlds.
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Yep, I’d think we want a flatter ridge to keep the flow westerly and downslope for the high end heat. A steep ridge might cause it to be too southerly and promote daily convection.
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Yup, and hopefully enough of this 50-50 trough can remain to recurve them. Of course an active Gulf/Caribbean season screws people regardless. FL is one huge hit into PBI-Miami or Tampa (way overdue) from an insurance catastrophe.
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May all hoodies and coats be thrown outdoors and spontaneously combust.
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The first time we get a deep westerly flow like that many of us will see 100s. We’ve been spoiled with SW or S wind heatwaves the last few summers. I guess we’re fortunate that there’s no major drought that westerly wind would come from but that’s a downslope flow that would heat up big time.
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Yep. I had to put on a… wait for it…. Hoodie!
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If we get a sustained westerly wind heat event (which might be hard with the ridge poking so far north, we’d be prone to more of a southerly flow) it’ll get well into the 100s for most.
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I guess the trade off for perma-Nina ruining our winters is beautiful summers like this without heat. Today I’ll definitely take it.
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Ended with 2-2.5” or so. Those storms just kept firing for most of the evening.
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Been getting drenched here IMBY.
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Yup. More back door garbage.
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