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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Nam is probably overdone with the rain but some areas could definitely see 3-5" with this. With the ground being so saturated it will present problems quickly for river basins.
  2. jm1220
    Katrina may have been the worst case track. Easterly winds piled water into Lake Pontchartrain and also up the Miss. River, then the northerly winds pushed the lake into the city. This track is bad though too, it's a 1964 Betsy type track. That drives water up the river and from the lakes/swamp south of them, but those likely soak up some of the surge before reaching the city. The danger seems to be more Lake Pontchartrain overflowing right into the city.
  3. jm1220
    We’re at the time of year where the seabreeze doesn’t make the conditions cooler. The temp goes down but humidity goes up.
  4. jm1220
    Thanks as always WDrag, but I’ll go with a no on this one as well.
  5. jm1220
    Same here. Irene had a lot of front end rain in Long Beach and the surge was pretty bad-most basements flooded but not first floors like Sandy. We had 60mph winds or so but tree damage wasn’t too bad. 3/2010 and Sandy eliminated essentially every big tree here.
  6. jm1220
    Thankfully the wind didn’t materialize outside a small area in RI. If there was 70 mph wind in NYC with the 8” of rain the tree/power line damage would’ve been horrific. As bad as Isaias was wind wise it happened with less than 1” of rain east of NYC. In a way it’s a blessing for hurricanes up here.
  7. jm1220
    Tropical downpour here in Long Beach. Feels like a rainforest outside.
  8. jm1220
    A little over 4” in Long Beach I think and 3” in Huntington.
  9. jm1220
    A 946mb low in Atlantic City is about the most extreme event we will ever witness. Maybe out great great grandkids will see it again someday. Can’t emphasize sandy’s impact enough.
  10. jm1220
    It was the bend NW which models were showing but it’s see to believe. That plus the bent SW rain axis and it’s congrats NJ as usual.
  11. jm1220
    And that NJ somehow will get the heaviest rain amounts. Always works out some way.
  12. jm1220
    Awesome job by the GFS especially. Literally the swath it had the heavy rain for had the least of the tri state area. Hamptons might not even have 1”.
  13. jm1220
    I think Central Park’s already over 7”.
  14. jm1220
    Yep, it’s actually getting fairly gusty in Long Beach now that the rain stopped. Go figure.
  15. jm1220
    Might be close to 7” now. Heavy band is sitting over the city again. Crazy thing is Yonkers which is just north of the Bronx Westchester border probably has 2” tops. IMBY there’s been about 4”.
  16. jm1220
    The stadium effect in the eye over Watch Hill RI must've been awesome.
  17. jm1220
    Yeah.... with the Hurricane Bob/Carol/1938 comparisons
  18. jm1220
    Safe to say this was another JB bust?
  19. jm1220
    Flooded NYC subways aside we really lucked out with this one. It had a shot to intensify yesterday too and never really did so.
  20. jm1220
    Looks almost to a T like 2/25/10's radar as it pivoted over CT. Central Park might end up at 8" by the end.
  21. jm1220
    And I'm not surprised this came in as a TS. Models were showing that for days. It had a brief window yesterday to blow up when the eye started clearing out but never happened. Models generally showed a mid-cat 1 when it crossed the Gulf Stream, and then weakening as it kept going north.
  22. jm1220
    I'd say generously in Long Beach we had 25-30mph gusts. Now it's practically calm.
  23. jm1220
    6-7" of rain which radar estimates in Brooklyn/Manhattan is a boring event? But yeah wind/wave/water-wise it was very meh here.
  24. jm1220
    It'll linger around for a while but it seems like the back edge is inching its way north. We'll see I guess. It's definitely not over north of me through NYC and Hudson Valley. Sort of the same precip shield/orientation as 2/25/10 with the pivoting NW low.
  25. jm1220
    Lower Manhattan to Canarsie has 6-7" by radar estimates. Sky is brightening up south of me. Rain should be mostly be done here soon (not for northern NYC and North Shore-looks socked in for a while there).
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